|

"Social Security Facts." By James D. Agresti
and Stephen F. Cardone. Just Facts, January
27, 2011.
Revised 4/5/13.
http://justfacts.com/socialsecurity.asp
A major source of information for this
research is the 2012 Social Security
Trustees Report.[1]
This report was published in April 2012 and
uses data from 2011 as a baseline. Thus, unless otherwise
stated, all future dollar figures are
indexed for inflation to produce numbers
that are consistent in terms of the years
2011/2012.
Whenever the word "projections" is used,
this refers to projections made by the
United States Social Security
Administration. The process of making
projections is not an exact science, and
actual outcomes often differ from those
predicted (see
Accuracy of Projections).
The Social Security Trustees Report contains
high, low, and intermediate projections.
Unless otherwise stated, the
intermediate figures are cited because these "reflect the Trustees' best
estimates of future experience."[2]
* In 1935, Congress passed and Democratic
President Franklin D. Roosevelt signed into
law the "Social Security Act." This law
created "a system of Federal old-age
benefits" for workers and their families. In
1956, the law was amended to also provide
disability benefits.[3]
[4]
* Social Security is composed of two
separate entities: The "Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance" program and the
"Disability Insurance" program. Each program
has separate finances handled through two
separate trust funds. For the purpose of
simplicity, the figures shown below reflect
the combination of both programs unless
otherwise stated.[5]
[6]
* The Supplemental Security Income (SSI)
program provides benefits for aged, blind,
and disabled people without regard to prior
workforce participation. It is administered
by the Social Security Administration, but
it is not funded by Social Security taxes.
Unless otherwise stated, this program is not
covered in this list of facts.[7]
* As of June 30, 2011, 54.8 million people
or 17.6% of the U.S. population were
receiving monthly Social Security
benefits.[8]
* Certain groups of workers were originally
exempt from Social Security including
government employees, railroad workers, the
self-employed, farm workers, domestic help,
and employees of nonprofit organizations. In
1950 and 1983, the law was changed to
require most of these individuals to
participate in the program, although about
25% of
state and local government workers are still exempted.[9]
[10]
Also, under certain
conditions, some members of the clergy and
religious groups are not required to
participate.[11]
* Payroll taxes are taxes that are levied on
the gross wages of workers.[12] From the
inception of the Social Security program
through 2010, payroll taxes have constituted
98% of all income to the Social Security
program (except interest on the Trust Fund).[13]
*
Social Security and Medicare payroll taxes
are sometimes called FICA taxes or SECA
taxes. The acronym FICA stands for the
"Federal Insurance Contributions Act," and
SECA stands for the "Self-Employment
Contributions Act."[14]
*
The SECA tax rates for people who are
self-employed are as follows:
[15]
*
The FICA tax rates for people who are
employees are as follows:
[16]
* The
FICA tax amounts shown on paychecks
generally do not account for the taxes that
employers pay.[17]
FICA taxes levied on employers are
predominately borne by employees in the form
of reduced wages (for more detail, see Just
Facts' research on
tax distribution).[18]
[19]
[20]
* Social Security FICA/SECA taxes are restricted
to a "taxable maximum" or "wage threshold."
Earnings above the threshold are not subject
to these taxes. For 2013, the threshold is
$113,700.[21]
* Previously, Medicare FICA/SECA taxes were
restricted to the same wage threshold as
Social Security. In 1993, the 103rd Congress and
Democratic President Bill Clinton passed a
law removing the taxable maximum for
Medicare, thus making all earnings subject
to these taxes.[22]
[23]
* The Social Security Act of 1935 set the
taxable maximum at $3,000. Income earned
above this amount was not subject to Social
Security taxes. This threshold was a fixed
amount that was not indexed for inflation or
wage levels.[24]
* Between 1950 and 1971, various Congresses
and Presidents passed six laws increasing
the taxable maximum by a total of 200%.[25]
* In 1972 and 1973, the 92nd and 93rd
Congresses and Republican President Richard
Nixon passed laws
increasing the taxable maximum for 1973
and 1974 by a total of 47%.
indexing the taxable maximum for 1975 and
annually thereafter based upon changes in
average wage levels.[26]
* In 1977, the 95th Congress and Democratic
President Jimmy Carter passed a law
increasing the taxable maximum faster than
average wage levels in 1979, 1980, and 1981
by a total of 68%.[27]
[28]
* Since 1982, the taxable maximum has been
annually indexed roughly based upon average
worker compensation levels.[29]
[30]
[31]
[32]
[33]
[34]
[35]
* Between 1990 and 2010, the taxable maximum
was increased by 108%.[36] During the same
period, average worker compensation
increased by 98%, and median worker
compensation increased by 82%.[37]
* Adjusting for inflation, the taxable
maximum has been increased by a factor of
3.8 times between 1950 and 2012.[38]
* The Social Security Act of 1935 set the
initial tax rate at 2% (employee and
employer combined) and specified increases
that would bring this rate to 6% by
1949.[39]
* Various Congresses and Presidents
postponed the tax rate increases scheduled
in the original Social Security Act so that
the 6% rate planned for 1949 did not take
effect until 1960.[40]
[41]
* Between 1950 and 1977, various Congresses
and Presidents passed ten laws increasing
the Social Security payroll tax rate above
the 6% level specified in the original
Social Security Act.[42]
* In 1983, the 98th Congress and Republican
President Ronald Reagan accelerated the
timeframe for previously enacted payroll tax
rate hikes and increased the rate for "the
self-employed to equal the combined
employee/employer rate but with partially
offsetting credits and deductions."[43]
* In 2010
and 2011, the 111th and 112th Congresses and
Democratic President Barack Obama passed
three laws that temporarily decreased the
Social Security payroll tax during 2011 and
2012 by two percentage points (from 12.4% to
10.4%). These laws also required that monies
equivalent to the decreased payroll taxes be
transferred to the Social Security program
from the general fund of the U.S. Treasury,
which is funded by individual income taxes,
corporate income taxes, some excise taxes,
estate taxes, and other miscellaneous
receipts.[44]
[45]
[46]
* Payroll tax rate history:
[47]
* At the outset of the Social Security
program, the federal government published an
informational pamphlet that stated the
following about Social Security
taxes:
|
And finally, beginning in 1949, 12 years
from now, you and your employer will each
pay 3 cents on each dollar you earn, up to
$3,000 a year. That is the most you will
ever pay.[48] |
* Accounting for inflation, this promise
equates to a maximum tax collection of
$1,741 per person.[49]
* For
2013, the maximum payroll tax collection per
person is $14,099 or eight
times the promised maximum.[50]
* This figure does not include other taxes
that are now used to fund Social Security,
such as the tax on Social Security benefits
(detailed here).
NOTE: The following projections are based
upon what the current law specifies. This
does not imply that the Social Security
program will have enough money to pay for
these benefits. Information concerning the
financial stability of the Social Security
program is contained in the
next section.
* In general, to qualify for old-age
benefits, a person must work for ten years
while earning at least $4,520 per year.[51]
* Old-age benefit amounts are generally
related to the amount of Social
Security payroll taxes paid by workers over the course
their lifetimes.[52] The Social
Security Administration has an
Online
Calculator that provides an estimate of
monthly old-age benefits based upon your
earnings, birth date, and expected
retirement age. The results can be delivered
in either today's dollars or in future
(inflated) dollars.[53]
* People with lower incomes receive higher
ratios of annual benefits to taxes.[54] The
graph below compares annual old-age benefits
to lifetime payroll taxes for 23-year-olds
who will work until the age of 67 while
earning constant incomes:

[55]
* Examples from the graph above:
1) a person who earns $15,000/year will pay
$86,000 in payroll taxes (employer and
employee combined) over 44 years of work.
When he retires, his annual benefit will be
$10,128 or 11.8% of his lifetime payroll
taxes.
2) a person who earns $50,000/year will pay
$285,000 in payroll taxes over 44 years of
work. When she retires, her annual benefit
will be $21,324 or 7.5% of her lifetime
payroll taxes.
3) a person who earns $110,000/year will pay
$627,000 in payroll taxes over 44 years of
work. When he retires, his annual benefit
will be $31,260/year or 5.0% of his lifetime
payroll taxes.[56]
* For workers who earned average wages and
retired at the age of 65 in 1980, it took
2.8 years of receiving old-age benefits to
recover the value of their payroll taxes
(including interest). For workers who
retired in 2003, it will take 17.4 years.
For workers who will retire in 2020, it will
take 21.6 years.[57] This assumes Social
Security will have enough money to pay
scheduled benefits for this entire period,
which it is not projected to have.[58]
* Old-age benefits are generally increased
each December based upon the rate of
inflation in the previous year. The benefit
increase for 2007 was 2.3%; for 2008, 5.8%;
for 2009, 0.0%; for 2010, 0.0%; and for
2011, 3.6%.[59]
* The age at which a worker receives full
Social Security old-age benefits is referred
to as the "full retirement age." A person's
full retirement age can be between 65 and 67
years old, depending upon his or her year of
birth. For those born after 1959, the full
retirement age is 67 (more details in
footnote).[60]
* Workers have the option to start receiving
Social Security benefits at the age of 62,
but the benefits are reduced (more details
in footnote).[61] Workers also have the
option to start receiving benefits later
than their full retirement age, and the
benefits are increased (more details in
footnote).[62]
* Family members of workers who are
receiving old-age benefits may also be
eligible for benefits, even if they have not
worked (more details in footnote).[63]
* When Social Security first began,
beneficiaries could take their benefits as a
lump sum.[64] The earliest reported
applicant for a lump sum Social Security
benefit was Ernest Ackerman of Cleveland,
OH. Mr. Ackerman retired one day after the
program began and paid $0.05 in Social
Security taxes. He received a lump sum
payment of $0.17 or a 240% return.[65]
* The statement issued by the Social
Security Administration to all participants
states the following:
|
Social Security is the largest source of
income for most elderly Americans today, but
Social Security was never intended to be
your only source of income when you retire.
You also will need other savings,
investments, pensions or retirement accounts
to make sure you have enough money to live
comfortably when you retire.[66] |
* According to the Social Security
Administration, "Social Security replaces
about 40 percent of an average wage earner's
income after retiring
."[67]
* In
2011, 23% of elderly married Social Security
beneficiaries received 90% or more of their
income from Social Security. Among unmarried
beneficiaries, 43% received 90% or more of
their income from Social Security.[68]
* As of 2012, Social Security pays an
average of $14,748/year to retired
individuals.[69]
In 2011, the U.S. Census Bureau's poverty
threshold for individuals over 65 years of
age was $10,788.[70]
* As of 2012, Social Security pays an
average of $23,928/year to retired
couples.[71]
In 2011, the U.S. Census Bureau's poverty
threshold for couples over 65 years of age
was $13,610.[72]
* Family members of workers who are
receiving old-age benefits may also be
eligible for benefits, even if they have not
worked (more details in footnote).[73]
* At the outset of the Social Security
program, the federal government published an
informational pamphlet that stated the
following with regard to old-age benefits:
|
You will get them regardless of the amount
of property or income you may have.[74] |
* Recipients of old-age benefits
with incomes of more than $25,000/year and
couples with incomes of more than
$32,000/year must pay income taxes on up to
50% of their old-age benefits. Half of an
individual's or couple's old-age benefits
are counted as income when determining if
they meet these $25,000 and $32,000
thresholds.[75]
[76] These income taxes on
Social Security benefits are used to fund
Social Security.[77]
* Recipients of old-age benefits with
incomes of more than $34,000/year and
couples with incomes of more than
$44,000/year must pay income taxes on up to
85% of their old-age benefits. Half of an
individual's or couple's old-age benefits
are counted as income when determining if
they meet these $34,000 and $44,000
thresholds.[78]
* The thresholds at which people are
required to pay income taxes on their
old-age benefits are not automatically
indexed to account for inflation or wage
growth.[79]
* Social Security pays benefits to the
families of workers who die and leave behind
spouses, children under the age of 20, and
sometimes other relations such as parents
and ex-spouses (more details in
footnote).[80]
* Each dependent receives about 75% to 100%
of the deceased worker's basic Social
Security benefit. However, as per the Social
Security Administration, "there is a limit
to the amount of money that can be paid each
month to a family. The limit varies, but is
generally equal to about 150 to 180 percent
of your benefit rate."[81]
* In general, to qualify for disability
benefits, there are two criteria that must
be satisfied:
1. A "recent work" test based on your age at
the time you became disabled; and
2. A "duration of work" test to show that
you worked long enough under Social Security
(more details in footnote).[82]
* In general, recipients begin to receive
disability benefits after they have been
disabled for five full months.[83]
* Disability benefits are calculated based
upon a formula that takes into account the
Social Security payroll taxes paid over the
course of workers' lifetimes.[84]
* Disability benefits are generally
increased once per year based upon the rate of
inflation.[85]
* Family members of workers who are
receiving disability benefits may also be
eligible for benefits, even if they have not
worked (more details in footnote).[86]
* Distribution of benefits in 2011:
[87]
* The
Social Security Administration's website
enables individuals to receive estimates of
their benefits and a list of their lifetime
earnings according to Social Security's
records. This
web-based utility replaces the paper
statements that Social Security used to send
to individuals each year.
* The Social Security Administration still
sends paper statements to workers in the
year they reach age 25 and when they are 60
and older (if they are not already receiving
Social Security benefits).[88]
* The Social Security program has an
independent budget that is separate from the
rest of the federal government.[89]
*
Social Security's sources of income include
its dedicated taxes (payroll taxes and taxes
on Social Security benefits), interest on
the Social Security Trust Fund, and
transfers from the general fund of the
Treasury (like those required under the 2011
and 2012 payroll tax holidays).[90]
[91]
* When
Social Security's sources of income exceed
its expenses, the resultant surpluses must
be loaned to the general fund of the U.S.
Treasury. By law, the Treasury must pay this
money back to the Social Security program
with interest.
[92]
[93]
[94]
* The
money owed by the Treasury to the Social
Security program is referred to as the
"Social Security Trust Fund," and at the
close of 2011, it had a balance of $2.7
trillion.[95]
* This
$2.7 trillion debt that the Treasury owes to
Social Security amounts to $8,734 for every
person living in the U.S. or $23,046 for
every household in the U.S.[96]
(Facts about the ability of the Treasury to
service this debt are detailed below in the
section entitled
Impact on
National Debt.)
* From
1985 through 2009, Social Security's
dedicated taxes exceeded its expenses. In
2010, this situation reversed, and expenses
exceeded dedicated taxes.[97]
This state of affairs continued in 2011 and
is projected to continue every year into the
foreseeable future.[98]
*
Despite the interest payments that Social
Security receives on the Trust Fund, the
Social Security Administration projects that
the Trust Fund will start declining in value
in 2013, which is six years earlier than
what was projected in 2011 and eight years
earlier than what was projected in 2010.[99]
[100]
[101]
(As explained in the
Introductory Notes,
all future dollar figures are indexed for
inflation. If inflation is not considered,
the Trust Fund is projected to begin
declining in 2021.[102])
*
After 2013, the Social Security Trust Fund
is projected to decline by a greater amount
each year until becoming exhausted in 2033.[103])
* After 2033, Social Security is projected
to run deficits every year into the
foreseeable future.[107] To cover these
deficits, it is projected that payroll taxes
would need to be increased by 32.8% starting
in 2033, rising to a 36.4% increase by
2086.[108] These shortfalls could also be
covered by reducing benefits by 23.6% starting
in 2033, rising to a 25.3% reduction by
2086.[109]
* There are several other ways to quantify
Social Security's projected deficits. The
measure commonly cited by the Social
Administration[110] and the press[111]
involves calculating how much money must be
immediately added to the Trust Fund so that
the principle and interest would cover
projected shortfalls for the next 75 years.
This is referred to as the "75-year open
group unfunded obligation," and it currently
amounts to $8.6 trillion.[112]
[113]
This is equivalent to 10.7 times the total
income for Social Security in 2011 or an
additional $54,500 from every person who
paid Social Security payroll taxes in
2011.[114]
[115]
* According to the U.S. Treasury's "Financial Report of the United States
Government," the 75-year open group unfunded
obligation "understates financial needs by
capturing relatively more of the revenues
from current and future workers and not
capturing all of the benefits that are
scheduled to be paid to them."[116] A
measure that accounts for this is called the
"closed group unfunded obligation." This
involves calculating how much money must be
immediately added to the Trust Fund to cover
the projected shortfalls for all current
taxpayers and beneficiaries in the Social
Security program.[117] As of January 1,
2012, this amounts to $21.6 trillion or an
additional $136,900 from every person who
paid Social Security payroll taxes in
2011.[118]
[119] This measure approximates
the method by which publicly traded
companies are required by law to report the
finances of their pension and retirement
plans.[120]
[121]
[122]
* Another way to quantify the projected
deficits of Social Security is to calculate
the total debt the program will accumulate
if corrective action is not taken and money
is borrowed to cover the shortfalls of the
next 75 years. This debt (including
interest) would amount to $65 trillion
or an additional
$276,000 (in 2012 dollars) for every person
expected to be paying Social Security taxes
in 2086.[123]
[124]
* According to the Social Security
Trustees' report, relying too heavily on a
75-year projection "can lead to incorrect
perceptions and policies that fail to
address financial sustainability for the
more distant future." To address this
shortcoming, the Trustees Report calculates how much
money must be placed in the Social Security
Trust Fund right now in order to finance
projected deficits for the infinite horizon.
This amounts to $20.5 trillion, which is
comprised of 8.6 trillion to cover the
shortfalls from 2012-2086 (as explained
above) and another 11.9 trillion to cover
the shortfalls for 2087 and beyond.[125]
* Projected financial status of the Social
Security program:
* The Social Security Trustees Report
states that the future finances of the
program depend upon
|
future birth rates, death rates,
immigration, marriage and divorce rates,
retirement-age patterns, disability
incidence and termination rates, employment
rates, productivity gains, wage increases,
inflation, and many other demographic,
economic, and program-specific factors.[126] |
* The report also states that "significant
uncertainty" surrounds the "best estimates"
of future circumstances.[127]
* The graph below compares Social Security's
yearly incomes to costs. The starting point
of each curve is an actual outcome. The rest
of each curve shows projections using data
from the 2001, 2008, and 2012 Trustees
Reports.

[128]
* Examples from the graph above:
The 2001 Trustees Report projected that
Social Security would have $1.38 in income
for every dollar it spent in 2011. The
actual figure turned out to be $1.09.
The 2008 Trustees Report projected that
Social Security would have $1.31 in income for every dollar it spent in 2011. The
actual figure turned out to be $1.09.
* The
graph below shows how much Social Security
payroll taxes would need to be decreased or
increased to make total taxes plus transfers
from the Treasury equal to the costs of the
program. Note that the values
on the vertical axis are inverted so that
upward = "good news" and downward = "bad
news."

[129]
* Examples from the graph above:
The 2001 Trustees Report projected that in
2011, Social Security would collect 9.8%
more in payroll taxes than the program
needed to keep total taxes plus transfers
equal to costs. In actuality, the program
collected 8% less in payroll taxes than what
was needed to keep total taxes plus
transfers equal to costs.
The
2012 Trustees Report projects that in 2080,
payroll taxes will need to be increased by
34.7% to keep total taxes plus transfers
equal to costs. The 2001 Trustees
Report placed this figure at 51.3%.
* In 1977, after nearly three years of
Social Security deficits,[130] the 95th
Congress passed and Democratic President
Jimmy Carter signed a bill that increased
Social Security taxes and changed the
formula governing benefit increases.[131]
Carter termed it "the most important Social
Security legislation since the program was
established," and at the signing ceremony,
he stated:
|
It is never easy for a
politically elected person to
raise taxes. But the Congress
has shown sound judgment and
political courage in restoring
the Social Security system to a
sound basis.
Now this legislation will guarantee that
from 1980 to the year 2030, the Social
Security funds will be sound.[132] |
* The bill was passed on December 20, 1977,
and the Social Security program ran deficits
every year for the next four years (not
accounting for inflation).[133] Accounting
for inflation, the Social Security Trust
Fund declined in value every year from 1973
to 1983,[134] at which time, the 98th
Congress and Republican President Ronald
Reagan increased taxes, raised the
retirement age, and made other changes to
keep the program solvent.[135]
* Six
days after the 2010 Social Security Trustees
Report was published, Nobel Prize-winning
economist Paul Krugman wrote in his New York
Times column that Social Security
|
won't have to turn to Congress for help or
cut benefits until or unless the trust fund
is exhausted, which the program's actuaries
don't expect to happen until 2037 and
there's a significant chance, according to
their estimates, that that day will never
come.[136] |
* In
addition to "intermediate" projections
predicting that the Trust Fund will be
depleted in 2037, the 2010 Trustees Report
included "high-cost" projections predicting
that the Trust Fund will be depleted in 2029 and "low-cost" projections
predicting that the program will "be able to
cover cost for the foreseeable future."[137]
* Regarding these projections, the
report states:
|
The actual outcome for future costs is
unlikely to be as extreme as either of the
outcomes portrayed by the low- and high-cost
projections. The method for constructing
these low- and high-cost projections does
not provide an estimate of the probability
that actual experience will lie within or
outside the range they define.[138] |
* The report also states that
|
because large, persistent annual deficits
are projected under all but the low-cost
assumptions, it is likely that income will
eventually need to be increased, program
costs will need to be reduced, or both, in
order to prevent exhaustion of the trust
funds.[139] |
* In an appendix to this report, there is an
analysis that "estimates a probability
distribution of future outcomes" that
"should be interpreted with caution and with
an understanding of the inherent
limitations." According to this analysis,
there is a 97.5% chance that the Trust Fund
will be depleted no later than 2055 and the
same chance that the Trust Fund won't be
depleted any earlier than 2030.[140]
* A primary cause of the projected Social
Security deficits is that the number of
workers paying taxes compared to the number
of people receiving benefits has fallen and
is projected to fall further:

[141]
* Factors contributing to the falling ratio
of people paying taxes compared to people
receiving benefits:
1) Increase in life expectancy without a
comparable increase in the retirement age:
From the inception of the Social Security
program through 2002, the full retirement
age of 65 was not changed. A law passed in
1983 requires that it be incrementally
increased to the age of 67 between the years
2003 and 2027.[142]
[143]
When Social Security began paying benefits
in 1940, the average 65-year-old male had a
period life expectancy of 11.9 years. By
2011, this figure had increased to 17.7
years, while the retirement age had
increased by 1.0 year. This amounts to a 40%
increase in the time spent collecting
old-age benefits.[144]
[145]
When Social Security began paying benefits
in 1940, the average 65-year-old female had
a period life expectancy of 13.4 years. By
2011, this figure had increased to 20.0
years, while the retirement age had
increased by 1.0 year. This amounts to a 42%
increase in the time spent collecting
old-age benefits.[146]
[147]
Benefits and taxes are automatically
indexed on an annual basis to compensate for
inflation and wage growth. The retirement
age is not automatically indexed to
compensate for increased life
expectancy.[148]
2) The higher birth rate of the baby boom
generation compared to other generations:
The baby boom generation was born between
1946 and 1965.[149] In 1957, the average
birth rate per woman reached a high of
3.68.[150]
By 1976, the average birth rate fell to a
low of 1.74. In 2006, it was 2.12.[151]
In 2011, the first wave of baby boomers
turned 65 years of age.[152] Between 2011
and 2030, it is projected that the number of
people eligible for old-age benefits will
increase by 65%, while the number of people
paying Social Security taxes will increase
by 15%.[153]
3) The increasing number of people receiving
disability benefits:
Between 1965 and 2011, the U.S. population
grew by 56%. During the same period, the
number of people receiving disability
benefits increased by 510%.[154]
[155]
* In 2011, the administrative costs of the
Social Security program were $6,405,000,000.
This was equal to 0.87% of all Social
Security outlays for the year or enough to
pay 434,296 retired workers the average
annual old-age benefit of $14,748 for
2012.[156]
[157]
* The figures above do not include the
administrative costs borne by employers,
which, according to Congressional Budget
Office, are "probably substantial" but
"difficult to assess." The same report
states that employers "bear the burden of
the collection costs" of Social Security
taxes and "are also responsible for
transmitting substantial amounts of
information to the SSA [Social Security
Administration] and the IRS."[158]
* In 2010, Social Security made roughly
$2,722,000,000 in improper overpayments.
This was equal to 0.39% of all Social
Security benefit
payments for the year or enough to
pay 194,874 retired workers the average
annual old-age benefit of $13,968 for
2010.[159]
[160]
* Between January 2004 and April 2007, the
Social Security Administration made 44,000
corrections for instances in which it had
erroneously listed individuals as deceased.
This required face-to-face interviews with
each person and the subsequent processing of
"resurrection transactions" to remove
individuals from the "death master
file."[161]
* Under the "2009 American Recovery and
Reinvestment Act" (a.k.a., "stimulus"), the
Social Security Administration was required
to administer the payment of $250 checks to
Social Security and Supplemental Security
Income beneficiaries. The Social Security
Administration identified and certified
about 52,000,000 people as eligible for the
checks, to whom the U.S. Treasury sent a
total of $13,000,000,000.[162]
* A 2010 report by the Inspector General of
the Social Security Administration found
that 71,688 of these checks (totaling
$18,000,000) were sent to people who were
deceased and thus ineligible to receive the
payments. This included:
63,481 people whose deaths had been
reported to the Social Security
Administration.[163]
roughly 8,000 dead people who were born
before the oldest living person in the
United States.[164]
a deceased person who was born in 1873 and
was supposedly 136-years-old.[165]
a man who had been deceased for 34 years,
left the United States before the Social
Security Act was passed, and had never
participated in the program.[166]
[167]
* A random audit of 50 such cases found that
26 of the payments had been returned. The
stimulus act did not provide authority to
reclaim payments issued to the deceased, and
thus, the Social Security Administration or
Treasury did not pursue collection of
unreturned payments.[168]
* In 2010, the Government Accountability
Office released the results of an
investigation of federal employees and
commercial drivers who were receiving
disability benefits administered by the
Social Security Administration.[169] The
investigators reported that:
the Social Security Administration does
not cross-check disability payments with
federal payroll data or Department of
Transportation records to prevent improper
payments. Instead, the Social Security
Administration uses IRS data, which is
typically 12 to 18 months old, thus making
"some overpayments inevitable."[170]
across the government, "once fraudulent or
improper payments are made, the government
is likely to only recover pennies on the
dollar."[171]
roughly 7,000 federal employees received
disability benefits in 2008 while also
receiving wages from federal jobs. The
Government Accountability Office estimated
that roughly 1,500 of these individuals "may
have improperly received benefits" based
upon their wages exceeding maximum income
thresholds.[172]
in 12 selected states, "62,000 individuals
received or renewed commercial driver's
licenses
after the Social Security Administration had
determined that these individuals were
eligible for full disability benefits.
[E]ach
case would require an investigation to
determine whether there were fraudulent
payments, improper payments, or both."[173]
* Out of the cases identified above, the
Government Accountability Office selected
and investigated a nonrandom sample of 20
individuals based upon factors such as
"higher overpayment amounts, the types of
employment, and the locations of
employment."[174] The investigators found
that:
all of the 20 individuals were ineligible
for the disability benefits they had
received.[175]
the Social Security Administration stopped
making improper payments to 10 of the 20
individuals before the report was
released.[176]
18 of the 20 received a $250 "stimulus"
check.[177]
because disability payment levels are tied
to lifetime earnings, 10 of the 20 received
disability benefit increases as a result of
receiving raises in the very jobs that made
them ineligible for disability benefits. In
one case, a U.S. postal worker received
three separate benefit increases over four
years due to raises he received on his
postal service job.[178]
one of the 20 received improper Social
Security disability benefits while
simultaneously working for the Social
Security Administration as a legal
secretary.[179]
one of the 20 received $108,000 in
improper disability benefits while working
as a security screener for the
Transportation Safety Administration. As of
2010, the person was living in a house
listed for sale at $1.8 million.[180]
the Social Security Administration "has
the authority to charge interest and
penalties" to people who have improperly
taken disability benefits but had not done
so in any of these 20 cases. Instead,
several of the individuals "were placed in
long-term, interest-free repayment plans."
For example, a psychology aide who worked
for the Department of Veterans Affairs while
taking $33,000 in improper benefits was
placed on an interest-free repayment plan
entailing $20 monthly installments. This
will take 130 years to repay, thus exceeding
the man's life expectancy.[181]
* Once the Social Security Administration
mistakenly overpays a beneficiary for more
than four years, it does not correct the
error if discovered, except in cases of
fraud.[182] This policy is called
"administrative finality," and it is
governed by regulations issued by the
Commissioner of Social Security,[183] who is
appointed by the U.S. President once every
six years.[184]
* In 2007, the Inspector General of the
Social Security Administration released the
results of an audit that found 77,969 Social
Security beneficiaries "whose benefit
records indicated that administrative
finality was involved."
* In a random sample of 275 of these
beneficiaries,[185] the investigators found
that:
57% were paid more in Social Security
benefits "than they otherwise would have
been paid because of administrative
finality."
36% "may" have been overpaid because of
administrative finality, but the
investigators "were unable to quantify the
amount because there was insufficient
information available."
7 percent "were unaffected by
administrative finality."[186]
* Based on the overpayment amounts of this
survey group, the Office of the Inspector
General estimated that as of June 2005,
44,230 active beneficiaries had their
benefits
|
incorrectly calculated, but the Agency did
not revise the amounts because of its
administrative finality rules. As a result,
we estimate these individuals were paid
about $140.5 million more in [Social
Security] benefits than they otherwise would
have been paid had the errors not occurred.
We also estimate about 25,801 of these
beneficiaries will be paid an additional
$49.8 million in the future because their
ongoing benefits were not corrected when the
Agency identified the calculation
errors.[187] |
* In the "Conclusion and Recommendation"
section of the audit report, the Inspector
General wrote that Social Security
|
beneficiaries should be paid
the benefits they were intended
to receive based on the formulas
provided in the Social Security
Act.
By invoking
administrative finality and not
correcting the errors, the
beneficiaries receive extra
monies that cost the [Social
Security] trust funds millions
of dollars.[188] |
* The Commissioner of Social Security
rejected this suggestion and responded in
part:
|
Correcting a record more than four years in
the past could cause undue hardship for our
beneficiaries, as well as create extensive
public relations issues for the Agency.[189] |
* Perception about Social Security benefits:
|
I am entitled to the money. It's my money.
I've saved it.[190]
[191] |
* All taxes that have been paid into the
Social Security system since its inception
have already been (1) spent to pay for
benefits, (2) spent to fund the
administrative overhead of the program, or
(3) loaned to the federal government.[192]
[193]
[194]
[195]
* The website of United States Social
Security Administration states:
|
There has been a temptation throughout the
program's history for some people to suppose
that their FICA payroll taxes entitle them
to a benefit in a legal, contractual sense.
Congress clearly had no such limitation in
mind when crafting the law. ... Benefits
which are granted at one time can be
withdrawn.
[196] |
* In 1960, the Supreme Court ruled that
entitlement to Social Security benefits is
not a contractual right.[197]
_______
* Perception about Social Security's
finances:
|
The only reason Social Security is in
trouble is that our "leaders" have looted it
for years. That is not the fault of Social
Security. It would be fine if it were
administered honestly.[198]
[199] |
* No money has been taken from the Social
Security program.[200]
[201] By law, Social
Security surpluses must be loaned to the
federal government,[202]
[203] which is a
requirement that was established in the
original Social Security Act of 1935.[204]
[205]
[206]
[207] The federal government is
legally required to pay back this money to
the Social Security program with
interest,[208] and it has never failed to do
so.[209]
[210]
* The assets of the Social Security program
include all of the money it has loaned to
the federal government.[211]
[212] Even if
this money is repaid with interest, it is
projected that the Social Security Trust
Fund will become exhausted in 2033,[213] and
the program will have deficits every year
thereafter into the foreseeable future.[214]
* If extra money had not been added to the
Social Security program by increasing tax
rates above the levels specified in the
original Social Security Act, the program
would have been unable to pay full benefits
since before 1980.[215]
NOTE: For an essay on this topic, visit our
article
The Impact
of Social Security on the National Debt.
* The Social Security program has an
independent budget that is separate from the
rest of the federal government.[216]
* When the Social Security program collects
more in taxes than it spends, it generates
surplus money. By law, the only thing that
the Social Security program can do with
surplus money is loan it to the U.S.
government.[217]
[218]
* The money that the federal government owes
to the Social Security program is held in
the form of securities issued by the United
States Treasury. These securities are
analogous to U.S. savings bonds, except that
they can be redeemed before maturity without
suffering a loss or enjoying a gain due to
market forces. These securities cannot be
purchased by the general public.[219]
* Bonds that represent the debt that the
U.S. government owes to Social Security are
located in a file cabinet at the Bureau of
Public Debt in Parkersburg, West Virginia.
Below is a photo of President George W. Bush
inspecting the documents along with Susan
Chapman of the Office of Public Debt
Accounting.[220]
[221]

* When the Social Security program loans
money to the U.S. government, the government
is obligated by law to pay this money back
to the Social Security program with
interest. This money becomes a part of the
national debt.[222]
[223]
* The U.S. Treasury Department publishes a
"Monthly Statement of the Public Debt" that
details the components of the national debt,
which includes the amounts owed to the
Social Security program.[224]
* In 2011, the U.S. government paid an
effective annual interest rate of 4.4% on
the debt that it owed to the Social Security
Trust Fund.[225]
* The U.S. government divides the national
debt into two categories:
1) Money that it owes to federal entities
such as the Social Security program and
federal employee retirement funds.
2) Money that it owes to non-federal
entities such as individuals who have
purchased U.S. savings bonds.[226]
[227]
* The federal law that governs the repayment
of the national debt draws no distinction
between the debt owed to federal and
non-federal entities. Both must be repaid
with interest.[228]
* As
of December 31, 2011, the national debt
consisted of:
[229]
* In February of 2001, while addressing
Congress, Republican President George W.
Bush stated:
|
Many of you have talked about the need to
pay down our national debt. I listened, and
I agree. We owe it to our children and
grandchildren to act now, and I hope you
will join me to pay down $2 trillion in debt
during the next 10 years.[231] |
* The debt that President Bush referred to
in this statement excludes the debt that is
owed to federal entities such as Social
Security.[232]
* The following information was not included
in Bush's speech to Congress. It was found
on page 201 of his budget proposal:
The reduction in the debt owed to
non-federal entities was offset by an
increase in debt owed to federal entities
such as Social Security.[233]
Under Bush's budget proposal, the national
debt was due to increase by 1.5 trillion
dollars over the subsequent ten years.[234]
* When the Social Security program loans
money to the U.S. government, the government
can use this money to pay down the debt that
it owes to other entities. This leaves the
national debt unchanged because the
government must still pay back this money to
the Social Security program. Some
politicians have referred to this action as,
"Putting Social Security into a
lockbox."[235]
[236]
* When the Social Security program loans
money to the U.S. government, the government
can also spend this money on other
government programs. This increases the
national debt because the government has
spent the money it has borrowed from Social
Security. Some politicians have referred to
this action as, "Raiding the Social Security
Trust Fund."[237]
[238]
* When the U.S. government takes either of
the above actions, the finances of the
Social Security program are not affected. In
both cases, the law requires the government
to pay back the money to the Social Security
program with interest.[239]
[240]
* The impact of one action as opposed to the
other is whether or not the national debt
increases.[241]
[242]
[243] The national
debt is not paid for with Social Security
taxes but with money from the general fund
of the U.S. Treasury,[244]
[245]
[246] which
comes from income taxes (66%), corporate
income taxes (23%), excise taxes (5%), and
other miscellaneous taxes (6%) [percentages
current as of 2006].[247]
* In 1999, Republican Congressman Wally
Herger sponsored a "lockbox" bill in the
House of Representatives. This law would
have restricted Congress from using money
borrowed from the Social Security program to
spend on other government programs. It
passed the House by a vote of 416 to
12.[248]
* Senate rules allow for a "filibuster," in
which certain votes can be blocked unless 60
of the Senate's 100 members agree to let it
take place.[249]
[250] In the Senate,
Republicans attempted to bring this bill up
for a vote, and it was blocked by a
filibuster conducted by Democrats. All 55
Republicans voted to allow the bill to move
forward. All but one of 45 Democrats voted
to block the bill, and one Democrat did not
vote.[251]
* As of December 31, 2011, the U.S.
government owes $2,679 billion to the Social
Security Trust Fund. This equates to $8,565
for every man, woman, and child living in
the United States or $22,572 per
household.[252]
[253]
[254]
* The
Social Security program started drawing
money from the Trust Fund in 2010 and is
projected to keep drawing this money every
year until the Trust Fund is exhausted in
2033.[255]
[256]
[257]
* The Clinton administration's 2000 budget
proposal states that the Social Security
Trust Fund does
|
not consist of real economic assets that can
be drawn down in the future to fund
benefits. Instead, they are claims on the
Treasury that, when redeemed, will have to
be financed by raising taxes, borrowing from
the public, or reducing benefits or other
expenditures.[258] |
* A 2010 Congressional Budget Office report
on "Debt and Interest Costs" states that the
monetary resources needed to pay back the
Social Security Trust Fund
|
must be generated from taxes, income from
other government sources, or borrowing by
the government in that year.[259] |
* At
the close of the federal government's 2012
fiscal year, the federal government had
$67.7 trillion in debts, liabilities, and
unfinanced obligations for current Social
Security and Medicare participants. This
equates to $215,311 for every person living
in the U.S. or $559,331 per household.[260]
* Social Security Administration publication
number 05-10024 states:
|
The money you pay in taxes is not held in a
personal account for you to use when you get
benefits. Your taxes are being used right
now to pay people who now are getting
benefits. Any unused money goes to the
Social Security trust funds, not a personal
account with your name on it.[261] |
* At the outset of the Social Security
program, the federal government published an
informational pamphlet that stated the
following with regard to Social Security
benefits:
|
The checks will come to you as a right.[262] |
* Three years later in 1939, Congress and
Democratic President Franklin D. Roosevelt
eliminated a lump-sum benefit payment for
the survivors of workers who died before the
age of 65.[263]
* The original Social Security Act of 1935
states:
|
The right to alter, amend, or repeal any
provision of this Act is hereby reserved to
the Congress.[264] |
* The Social Security Administration's web
site states:
|
There has been a temptation throughout the
program's history for some people to suppose
that their FICA payroll taxes entitle them
to a benefit in a legal, contractual sense.
Congress clearly had no such limitation in
mind when crafting the law. ... Benefits
which are granted at one time can be
withdrawn.
[265] |
* For
those planning to collect Social Security
after 2033, it is projected that the Trust
Fund will be depleted and all benefits will
be paid solely by workers who pay Social
Security taxes at that time.[266]
[267]
It is also projected that Social Security
taxes will be sufficient to pay 76% of
scheduled benefits at that time.[268]
* Proposals have been made to give workers
the option to change part of their Social
Security involvement from a benefit
program to a savings plan. These savings
would be the personal property of each
person who chose to participate. In turn,
their Social Security benefits would be
reduced to correspond with the amount of
taxes they paid to the program.[269]
* Proposals to give Social
Security an element of personal ownership
are generally structured to improve the program's
finances. Typically, there are transition
costs to cover the lowered taxes of those
who opt to have personal accounts, but these
costs are more than offset by the savings of
not paying these individuals full benefits.
For example, a proposal made in 2008 would
eliminate $4.3 trillion in deficits but add
$4.1 trillion in transition costs, thus
equating to about $200 billion in
savings.[270]
[271]
* To restrict speculation, personal
ownership plans typically regulate the types
of investments that can be made. Examples
include restricting investments to
broad-based funds or requiring that assets
be moved to lower-risk investments as
individuals approach retirement age. For
instance, a personal ownership bill
introduced by Republican Senator Jim DeMint
restricts investments to federal bonds and
private investment funds similar to those in
the federal Thrift Savings Plan (described
next).[272]
[273]
[274]
* Federal employees have access to a program
called the Thrift Savings Plan in which the
federal government and its employees invest
part of their compensation in funds with
varying mixes of investments.[275] At the
end of 2011, approximately 4.5 million
federal employees were enrolled,[276] and
the plan had $298 billion in net
assets.[277] This program has the following
attributes:
The federal government automatically
contributes an additional 1% of each
employee's pay into the fund. The federal
government also matches employee
contributions at a rate of a
dollar-for-dollar up to 3% of their pay and
then at 50 cents on a dollar for the next 2%
of their pay.[278]
[279]
Each participating worker has an
individual account into which his or her
contributions are deposited.[280] If
employees die, their assets are distributed
to the people and/or entities they have
chosen.[281]
Workers are given a choice of ten
government-approved investment funds managed
by the private-sector firms BlackRock
(formerly Barclays) and Mercer Investment
Consulting.[282]
[283]
[284]
* From 1926 through 2009, large company
stocks (i.e., the S&P 500) appreciated by an
average of 6.6% per year above the rate of
inflation. This figure is called the total
annual real geometric mean return (hereafter
referred to as "annual real return").[285]
From 1926 through 2009, the lowest annual
real return for any 45-year period in the
S&P 500 was 4.5%, and the highest was
8.6%.[286]
* For other classes of investments, the
annual real returns from 1926 through 2009
were as follows:
[287]
* The administrative costs associated with
pension plans include "collecting funds,
keeping records, managing assets,
calculating and paying benefits, overseeing
and enforcing rules, and (in some cases)
marketing and selling the plans."[288]
[289]
* Factors affecting administrative costs
include the number of individual accounts,
the variety of services provided, the range
of investments from which individuals are
able to choose, the degree to which the
system is centralized, and the amount of
competition involved.[290]
[291]
* Administrative overhead in pension systems
is often expressed in terms of annual
administrative costs divided by total
assets.[292]
[293] Hence, for a personal
ownership system with annual administrative
costs of $5 billion and total assets of $1
trillion, the annual administrative overhead
would be $5/$1,000 or 0.50%.[294]
* In the context of Social Security personal
ownership proposals, total administrative
costs are typically unaffected by account
balances. This is because the administrative
cost per account is about the same,
regardless of its value. Thus, proposals
that allow individuals to save more of their
payroll taxes generally have lower
administrative costs as a percentage of
assets.[295]
[296]
[297]
* In 2003, the chief actuary of the Social
Security Administration estimated that the
annual administrative costs of a personal
ownership proposal that would allow
individuals to save half of their payroll
taxes would be about 0.25% of assets.[298]
* In 2004, Democratic Congressman Charles
Stenholm and Republican Congressman Jim
Kolbe introduced a personal ownership bill
that would require individuals to save 18%
of their payroll taxes. This bill duplicates
features of the personal accounts in the
federal Thrift Savings Plan,[299]
[300]
which in 2009, had administrative costs of
about 0.03% of assets.[301]
[302]
* Under the current system, a 22-year-old
who works for the next 45 years earning
$50,000/year will contribute $279,000 to
Social Security.[303] When she turns 67
years-old, it is projected that all
of the money she has contributed to the
program will be spent. Hence, any old-age
benefits she receives will be derived from
taxpayers who contribute to Social Security
at that time.[304]
[305]
* If this same person were allowed to save
and invest 25% of her payroll taxes in the
S&P 500, and the rates of return and
administrative costs varied based upon the
facts cited above, she would accumulate the
following assets:
[306]
* If this same person were allowed to save
and invest 50% of her payroll taxes in the
S&P 500, and the rates of return and
administrative costs varied based upon the
facts cited above, she would accumulate the
following assets:
[307]
* If this same person were allowed to save
and invest 75% of her payroll taxes in the
S&P 500 for the first 30 years and then
progressively move all of these assets into
intermediate-term government bonds over the
last 15 years, and the rates of return and
administrative costs varied based upon the
facts cited above, she would accumulate the
following assets:
[308]
* In general, for Social Security
participants who are single and have no
children under the age of 20, their benefits
(or projected benefits) terminate when they
die regardless of how much they have paid in
Social Security taxes. There is no
heritability in these cases except for a
one-time death payment of $255 under certain
circumstances.[309]
[310]
* For workers who are 40-years-old, their
full retirement age is 67.[311] The
following table shows their life
expectancies beyond this age:
[312]
* Personal ownership allows individuals to
pass their Social Security savings to their
heirs upon death.[313]
* During the 110th Congress (2007-2008), two
bills were introduced that would have given
workers the option to save and invest a
portion of their Social Security payroll
taxes. Another bill was introduced that
would have made this mandatory for all
workers below 66 years of age, and another
bill was introduced that would have made
this optional for workers aged 22-54 and
mandatory for younger workers. All of these
bills were sponsored by Republicans. No
Congressional action was taken on any of
them.[314]
[315]
* The 2008 Republican Party Platform
supports giving workers "control over" their
Social Security contributions.[316]
* The 2008 Democratic Party Platform and
President Barack Obama oppose
"privatization" of Social Security.[317]
[318]
[319]
* Since 1980,
at least 28 countries have added an
element of personal ownership to their
social security systems.[320] The map below
is reproduced with permission from Josι Piρera, the architect of the personal
ownership system in Chile, which was the
first country to introduce such a plan.
Clicking on this map will bring you to an
interactive map on Dr. Piρera's site that
provides an overview (in Spanish) of the
system in each of these 28 countries.

* At a Presidential news conference on March
16, 2005, NBC reporter David Gregory said to
George W. Bush:
|
Mr. President, you say you're making
progress in the Social Security debate. Yet
private accounts, as the centerpiece of that
plan, something you first campaigned on 5
years ago and laid before the American
people, remains, according to every measure
we have, poll after poll, unpopular with a
majority of Americans.[321] |
* The day before this news conference, the
Washington Post released the results of poll
that asked among other questions,
|
Would you support or oppose a plan in which
people who chose to could invest some of
their Social Security contributions in the
stock market?" |
The results were 56% support, 41% oppose,
and 3% no opinion.[322] In the previous
eight Washington Post polls in which this
question was asked, the range of support
varied from 52% to 64%.[323]
* In a front page Washington Post article
about this poll entitled "Skepticism of
Bush's Social Security Plan Is Growing," the
author, Jonathan Weisman, did not report the
results of the question above.[324]
* In February of 2001, the New York Times
published an article written by Robert Pear
entitled:
|
Study Says Disabled Would Lose Benefits
Under New Social Security Plan. |
The article stated:
|
The new study, by the General Accounting
Office, an investigative arm of Congress,
concludes that "even under the best of
circumstances, Social Security reform
proposals would reduce benefits" for people
with disabilities.[325] |
* This study compared the disability
benefits produced by several personal
ownership proposals to the disability
benefits specified by current law. To pay
the disability benefits specified by current
law, the Social Security tax rate needed to
be increased over time by 49%.[326]
* This information appeared on page 44 of
the General Accounting Office study and
nowhere in the New York Times article.
* When this study compared the personal
ownership proposals to the current Social
Security system using the same tax rate for
both plans, in the majority of cases, the
personal ownership systems produced higher
disability benefits than the current Social
Security system.[327]
* This information appeared on page 36 of
the General Accounting Office study and
nowhere in the New York Times article.
* The New York Times article also stated
that George W. Bush "has championed the
rights of people with disabilities," yet he
"wants to let workers put some of their
Social Security payroll taxes into personal
investment accounts," which "would reduce
benefits for people with disabilities."[328]
* Bush's then-current plan did not propose
any changes to the disability component of
Social Security.[329] When Bush's Social
Security commission released a formal report
later that year, it stated:
|
The primary objective of this Commission has
been to reform the Social Security
retirement program. Although the Disability
Insurance (DI) program faces financial
problems similar to the Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance (OASI) program, the
nature of the issues facing the DI program
are far more complex.
Because of the
complexity and sensitivity of the issues
involved, we recommend that the President
address the DI program through a separate
policy development process.[330] |
* Starting in 1946, Social Security cards
had the following sentence imprinted on
them:
|
FOR SOCIAL SECURITY PURPOSES -- NOT FOR
IDENTIFICATION.[331] |
* Since 1961, various Congresses and
Presidential administrations have enacted
more than 40 laws, regulations, and policies
requiring the use of Social Security numbers
for identity-related functions.[332]
* Starting in 1972, the sentence reading
"For Social Security Purposes -- Not For
Identification" was removed from all newly
issued Social Security cards.[333]
* In 1994, Democratic Congressman Dick
Gephardt sponsored a law called the "Uruguay
Round Agreements Act" that passed Congress
with 67% of Democrats and 70% of Republicans
voting for it. Democratic President Bill
Clinton signed it into law. This legislation
contains a section entitled:
|
TAXPAYER IDENTIFICATION NUMBERS REQUIRED AT
BIRTH.[334] |
The law requires that parents submit Social
Security numbers for their children with
their tax return in order to obtain a tax
exemption for their children.[335]
* The web site of the U.S. Social Security
Administration states:
|
The Social Security number was originally
devised to keep an accurate record of each
individual's earnings, and to subsequently
monitor benefits paid under the Social
Security program. However, use of the number
as a general identifier has grown to the
point where it is the most commonly used and
convenient identifier for all types of
record-keeping systems in the United States. |
*
It goes on to state that "specific laws
require a person to provide his/her number
for certain purposes" and provides 15
examples of such including:
Internal Revenue Service for tax returns
Employers for wage and tax reporting
purposes
Banks for monetary transactions
States to administer any tax, general
public assistance, motor vehicle or drivers
license law within its jurisdiction
States for Medicaid
U.S. Treasury for U.S. Savings Bonds
It is also states:
|
If a business or other enterprise asks you
for your number, you can refuse to give it.
However, that may mean doing without the
purchase or service for which your number
was requested.[336] |
[1] "2012 Annual Report of
the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age
and Survivors Insurance and Disability
Insurance Trust Funds." United States Social
Security Administration, April 25, 2012.
http://www.ssa.gov/oact/tr/2012/tr2012.pdf
[2] "2010 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds." United States Social Security
Administration, August 9, 2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/2010/tr2010.pdf
Page 7: "The intermediate demographic and
economic assumptions shown in table II.C1
reflect the Trustees' best estimates of
future experience, and therefore most of the
figures in this overview depict only the
outcomes under the intermediate assumptions.
Any projection of the future is, of course,
uncertain. For this reason, alternatives I
(low-cost) and III (high-cost) are included
to provide a range of possible future
experience."
Page 15: "Uncertainty of the Projections
Significant uncertainty surrounds the
intermediate assumptions."
[3] "The Social Security Act of 1935."
United States Social Security
Administration.
http://www.ssa.gov/history/35act.html
The Social Security Act (Act of August 14,
1935) [House Resolution 7260]
An act to provide for the general welfare by
establishing a system of Federal old-age
benefits, and by enabling the several States
to make more adequate provision for aged
persons, blind persons, dependent and
crippled children, maternal and child
welfare, public health, and the
administration of their unemployment
compensation laws; to establish a Social
Security Board; to raise revenue; and for
other purposes.
[4] Report: "Major Decisions in the House
and Senate on Social Security." By Geoffrey Kollmann and Carmen Solomon-Fears. Domestic
Social Policy Division, Social Security
Administration, March 26, 2001.
http://www.ssa.gov/history/reports/crsleghist3.html
[House Resolution] 7225, the Social Security
Amendments of 1956, was signed by President
Eisenhower on August 1, 1956. The amendments
provided benefits, after a 6-month waiting
period, for permanently and totally disabled
workers aged 50 to 64 who were fully insured
and had at least 5 years of coverage in the
10-year period before becoming disabled; to
a dependent child 18 and older of a deceased
or retired insured worker if the child
became disabled before age 18; to women
workers and wives at the age of 62, instead
of 65, with actuarially reduced benefits;
reduced from 65 to 62 the age at which
benefits were payable to widows or parents,
with no reduction; extended coverage to
lawyers, dentists, veterinarians,
optometrists, and all other self-employed
professionals except doctors increased the
tax rate by 0.25% on employer and employee
each (0.375% for self-employed people) to
finance disability benefits (thereby raising
the aggregate tax rate ultimately to 4.25%);
and created a separate disability insurance
(DI) trust fund. The Social Security program
now consisted of old-age, survivors, and
disability insurance
.
[5] "2008 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds." United States Social Security
Administration, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf
Page 131: "The Federal Old-Age and Survivors
Insurance (OASI) Trust Fund was established
on January 1, 1940 as a separate account in
the United States Treasury. The Federal
Disability Insurance (DI) Trust Fund,
another separate account in the United
States Treasury, was established on August
1, 1956. All the financial operations of the
OASI and DI programs are handled through
these respective funds."
[6] Report: "Social Security Policy
Options." Congressional Budget Office, July
2010.
http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/115xx/doc11580/07-01-SSOptions_forWeb.pdf
"Revenues from payroll taxes and from taxes
on benefits, along with intragovernmental
interest payments, are credited to the two
Social Security trust fundsone for OASI
[Old-Age and Survivor's Insurance] and one
for DI [Disability Insurance]. The program's
benefits and administrative costs are paid
from those funds. Legally, the two funds are
separate, but they often are described
collectively as the OASDI trust funds."
[7] Report: "Charting the Future of Social
Security's Disability Programs: The Need for
Fundamental Change." Social Security
Advisory Board, January 2001.
http://www.ssab.gov/Publications/Disability/disabilitywhitepap.pdf
Page 2 (in pdf): "[The] Social Security
Advisory Board [is] an independent,
bipartisan Board created by the Congress and
appointed by the President and the Congress
to advise the President, the Congress, and
the Commissioner of Social Security on
matters related to the Social Security and
Supplemental Security Income programs."
Page ii: "SUPPLEMENTAL SECURITY INCOME (SSI)
is a means-tested income assistance program
for aged, blind, and disabled individuals
(regardless of prior workforce
participation) and is funded from general
revenues of the Treasury."
[8] Calculated with data from:
a)
"2012 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees
of The Federal Old-Age and Survivors
Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust
Funds." United States Social Security
Administration, April 25, 2012.
http://www.ssa.gov/oact/tr/2012/tr2012.pdf
Pages 53-54: "Table IV.B2.Covered Workers
and Beneficiaries, Calendar Years 1945-2090
2011 beneficiariesb = 54,816,000
b
Beneficiaries with monthly benefits in
current-payment status as of June 30."
b)
"Monthly Population Estimates for the United
States: April 1, 2010 to March 1, 2012."
U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division,
April 2012.
http://www.census.gov/popest/data/national/totals/2011/index.html
"Resident Population
July 1, 2011 [=]
311,591,917"
CALCULATION: 54,816,000 beneficiaries /
311,591,917 people = 17.6%
[9] Report: "Summary of Major Changes in the
Social Security Cash Benefits Program:
1935-1996." By Geoffrey Kollmann. Library of
Congress, Congressional Research Service.
Updated December 20, 1996.
http://www.ssa.gov/history/pdf/crs9436.pdf
Pages 1-2: "THE SOCIAL SECURITY ACT OF 1935
Nearly all workers in commerce and
industry under age 65, or about 60% of the
work force, were required to participate in
the Old-Age Insurance program. Principal
groups excluded from the program were
government workers, railroad employees, the
self-employed, farm and domestic workers,
and employees of nonprofit organizations."
Page 4:
1950 Amendments
The 1950 amendments substantially expanded
the scope of the Old-Age and Survivors
Insurance (OASI) program by extending
coverage to about 10 million additional
workers.
Covered regularly employed farm and domestic
workers, self-employed workers (except
farmers and professionals), federal civilian
employees not under a federal civil service
retirement system (e.g., temporary
employees), Americans employed outside the
United States by American employers, and
workers in Puerto Rico and the Virgin
Islands. Not-for-profit organizations could
elect coverage for their employees (except
ministers). State and local governments
could elect coverage for their employees not
under public employee retirement systems.*
Pages 16-17:
1983 Amendments
Coverage of federal civilian employees
hired after December 31, 1983, and most
current executive level political appointees
and elected officials (including Members of
Congress, the President, and the Vice
President) and Federal judges, effective
January 1984.
Compulsory coverage of all employees of
nonprofit organizations effective in January
1984 and a ban on the termination of
coverage of nonprofit organization and state
and local government employment after 1982.
* NOTES:
- "Unlike nearly all
private-sector workers and federal
employees, some workers employed by state
and local governmentsabout 25 percentare
not covered by Social Security." [Report:
"Reducing the Deficit: Spending and Revenue
Options." Congressional Budget Office, March
2011.
http://cbo.gov/ftpdocs/120xx/doc12085/03-10-ReducingTheDeficit.pdf]
- For example, Illinois's
"teachers and certain other workers do not
participate in Social Security
." [Article:
"The Illusion of Pension Savings." By Mary
Williams Walsh. New York Times,
September 17, 2010.
http://www.nytimes.com/2010/09/18/business/18pension.html?hpw]
[10] Report: "Annual Statistical Supplement
to the Social Security Bulletin, 2003."
Social Security Administration, Office of
Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, July
2004.
http://www.ssa.gov/policy/docs/statcomps/...
NOTE: Table 2.A1 in this report provides
detailed information on "Covered employment
and self-employment provisions, by year
enacted." This table is available at
http://www.ssa.gov/policy/docs/statcomps/...
[11] Web page: "Religious groups exempt from
Social Security. " United States Social
Security Administration. Updated April 22,
2010.
http://ssa-custhelp.ssa.gov/app/answers/detail/...
Members of certain religious groups may
qualify for an exemption from the Social
Security tax. To do so, they must:
Waive their rights to all benefits under
the Social Security Act, including hospital
insurance benefits; and
Meet the following requirements:
1. Be a member of a recognized religious
sect conscientiously opposed to accepting
benefits;.
2. Be a member of a religious sect that
makes a reasonable provision for its
dependent members and has done so
continuously since December 31, 1950.
3. Have never received or been entitled to
any benefits payable under Social Security
programs
[12] "2010 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds." United States Social Security
Administration, August 9, 2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/2010/tr2010.pdf
Page 216: "Payroll taxes. A tax levied on
the gross wages of workers."
[13] Calculated with the
dataset: "Old-Age and Survivors Insurance
Trust Fund Receipts [In millions]." United
States Social Security Administration,
Office of the Chief Actuary, July 18, 2011.
Accessed 6/13/12 at
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/OACT/STATS/table4a3.html#income
NOTE: An Excel file containing the data and
calculations is available
upon
request.
[14] Report: "Overview of
the Federal Tax System as in Effect for
2012." U.S. Congress, Joint Committee on
Taxation, February 24, 2012.
https://www.jct.gov/publications.html?func=startdown&id=4400
Page 14:
Social security benefits and certain
Medicare benefits are financed primarily by
payroll taxes on covered wages. The Federal
Insurance Contributions Act ("FICA") imposes
tax on employers based on the amount of
wages paid to an employee during the year.
The tax imposed is composed of two parts:
(1) the old age, survivors, and disability
insurance (OASDI) tax equal to 6.2 percent
of covered wages up to the taxable wage base
($110,100 in 2012); and (2) the Medicare
hospital insurance (HI) tax amount equal
to 1.45 percent of covered wages.20
In addition to the tax on employers, each
employee is subject to FICA taxes generally
equal to the amount of tax imposed on the
employer. The employee level tax generally
must be withheld and remitted to the Federal
government by the employer.
As a parallel to FICA taxes, the
Self-Employment Contributions Act ("SECA")
imposes taxes on the net income from
self-employment of self-employed
individuals. The rate of the OASDI portion
of SECA taxes is equal to the combined
employee and employer OASDI FICA tax rates
and applies to self-employment income up to
the FICA taxable wage base. Similarly, the
rate of the HI portion is the same as the
combined employer and employee HI rates and
there is no cap on the amount of
self-employment income to which the rate
applies.21
20 Since 1994, the HI payroll tax
has not been subject to a wage cap.
21 For purposes of computing net
earnings from self-employment, taxpayers are
permitted a deduction equal to the product
of the taxpayers earnings (determined
without regard to this deduction) and
one-half of the sum of the rates for OASDI
(12.4 percent) and HI (2.9 percent), i.e.,
7.65 percent of net earnings. This deduction
reflects the fact that the FICA rates apply
to an employees wages, which do not include
FICA taxes paid by the employer, whereas a
self-employed individuals net earnings are
economically equivalent to an employees
wages plus the employer share of FICA taxes.
[15] "2010 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds." United States Social Security
Administration, August 9, 2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/2010/tr2010.pdf
Page 180: "Table VI.F1.Contribution Rates
for the OASDI [Social Security] and HI
[Medicare Hospital Insurance] Programs"
Page 215: "Medicare consists of two separate
but coordinated programsHospital Insurance
(HI, Part A) and Supplementary Medical
Insurance (SMI)."
NOTE: Hospital Insurance is financed via a
payroll (FICA) tax. Supplemental Medical
Insurance is not funded via a payroll tax.
Page 172: "Estimates for the Supplementary
Medical Insurance (SMI) program are not
included in this appendix because adequate
financing is guaranteed in the law, and
because the SMI program is not financed
through a payroll tax."
[16] "2010 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds." United States Social Security
Administration, August 9, 2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/2010/tr2010.pdf
Page 180: "Table VI.F1.Contribution Rates
for the OASDI [Social Security] and HI
[Medicare Hospital Insurance] Programs"
Page 215: "Medicare consists of two separate
but coordinated programsHospital Insurance
(HI, Part A) and Supplementary Medical
Insurance (SMI)."
NOTE: Hospital Insurance is financed via a
payroll (FICA) tax. Supplemental Medical
Insurance is not funded via a payroll tax.
Page 172: "Estimates for the Supplementary
Medical Insurance (SMI) program are not
included in this appendix because adequate
financing is guaranteed in the law, and
because the SMI program is not financed
through a payroll tax."
[17] Determined by examining varied
paychecks.
[18] "Data on the
Distribution of Federal Taxes and Household
Income." Congressional Budget Office, April
2009.
http://www.cbo.gov/publications/collections/taxdistribution.cfm
Methodology (http://www.cbo.gov/publications/collections/tax/2009/methodology.pdf):
Who Pays Taxes?
CBOs analysis of effective tax rates
assumesas do most economiststhat
employers share of payroll taxes is passed
on to employees in the form of lower wages
than would otherwise be paid. Therefore, the
amount of those taxes is included in
employees income, and the taxes are counted
as part of employees tax burden.
[19] "2010 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds." Board of Trustees of the
Federal OASDI Trust Funds, August 9, 2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/2010/tr2010.pdf
Page 33:
[U]nder these new laws, a combination of
federal subsidies for individual insurance
through the health benefit exchanges,
penalties for being uninsured or not
offering coverage, an excise tax on employer
sponsored group health insurance cost, and
anticipated competitive premiums from health
benefit exchanges are expected to slow the
rate of growth in the total cost of
employer-sponsored group health insurance.
Most of this cost reduction is assumed to
result in an increase in the share of
employee compensation that will be provided
in wages that will be subject to the Social
Security payroll tax.
NOTE: To summarize the above, because the
cost of health insurance is part of
employers' cost of compensating employees,
if the cost of health insurance is
decreased, "most" of the cost savings will
be redirected to other forms of employee
compensation such as salary. This is because
employee compensation is generally driven by
laws of supply of demand (with the notable
exception of minimum wage laws). Likewise,
because employer payroll taxes are a direct
outcome of employers paying employees, most
of this cost is redirected from other forms
of employee compensation.
[20] Study: "Administrative Costs of Private
Accounts in Social Security." By Ben Page
under the direction of Douglas Hamilton and
Robert Dennis. Congressional Budget Office,
Macroeconomic Analysis Division, March 2004.
http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/52xx/doc5277/Report.pdf
Page 11: "The [Social Security]
administrative costs discussed above do not
include the burden on the private sector.
Costs to firms and individuals in the form
of time and increased paperwork are probably
substantial.
Evidence about the operation
of labor markets indicates that workers are
likely to bear most of that burden in the
long run."
[21] Web page:
"Contribution and Benefit Base." United
States Social Security Administration,
Office of the Chief Actuary. Last reviewed
or modified October 16, 2012.
http://www.ssa.gov/oact/cola/cbb.html
"Social Security's Old-Age, Survivors, and
Disability Insurance (OASDI) program limits
the amount of earnings subject to taxation
for a given year. The same annual limit also
applies when those earnings are used in a
benefit computation. This limit changes each
year with changes in the national average
wage index. We call this annual limit the
contribution and benefit base. For earnings
in 2013, this base is $113,700."
[22] Web page: "History of SSA-related
Legislation: 103rd Congress." United States
Social Security Administration. Accessed
October 31,2008 at
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/legislation/history/103.htm
"PL 103-66 The Omnibus Budget Reconciliation
Act of 1993 (enacted 8/10/93). Section 13207
repeals the limitation on the amount of
earnings subject to the HI [Medicare
Hospital Insurance] tax beginning in 1994."
[23] Web page: "Contribution and Benefit
Base." United States Social Security
Administration, Office of the Chief Actuary.
Last reviewed or modified October 29, 2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/oact/cola/cbb.html
"For Medicare's Hospital Insurance (HI)
program, the taxable maximum was the same as
that for the OASDI [Social Security] program
for 1966-1990. Separate HI taxable maximums
of $125,000, $130,200, and $135,000 were
applicable in 1991-93, respectively. After
1993, there has been no limitation on
HI-taxable earnings."
[24] "Social Security Act of 1935." United
States Social Security Administration.
http://www.ssa.gov/history/35act.html
SEC. 811. When used in this title- (a) The
term wages means all remuneration for
employment, including the cash value of all
remuneration paid in any medium other than
cash; except that such term shall not
include that part of the remuneration which,
after remuneration equal to $3,000 has been
paid to an individual by an employer with
respect to employment during any calendar
year, is paid to such individual by such
employer with respect to employment during
such calendar year.
[25] Report: "Summary of Major Changes in
the Social Security Cash Benefits Program:
1935-1996." By Geoffrey Kollmann. Library of
Congress, Congressional Research Service.
Updated December 20, 1996.
http://www.ssa.gov/history/pdf/crs9436.pdf
Pages 4-5: "1950 Amendments
Set the
earnings base (the minimum yearly amount of
earnings on which Social Security taxes are
paid and which is creditable for benefits)
at $3,600 for 1951 and thereafter."
Pages 5-6: "1954 Amendments
Raised the
earnings base from $3,600 to $4,200 a year,
effective in 1955
."
Page 7: "1958 Amendments
Raised the
earnings base from $4,200 to $4,800."
Page 9: "1965 Amendments
Increased the
earnings base from $4,800 to $6,600,
beginning in 1966."
Pages 10-11: "1967 Amendments
Increased the
earnings base from $6,600 to $7,800,
beginning in 1968.
Page 11: "The 1971 amendments increased
the
earnings base to $9,000, effective January
1972."
CALCULATION: ($9,000 - $3,000) / $3,000 =
2.0
[26] Report: "Summary of Major Changes in
the Social Security Cash Benefits Program:
1935-1996." By Geoffrey Kollmann. Library of
Congress, Congressional Research Service.
Updated December 20, 1996.
http://www.ssa.gov/history/pdf/crs9436.pdf
Page 11: "1972 Amendments
effective in
1975, the earnings base and the exempt
amount under the earnings test would be
adjusted automatically to keep pace with
changes in wage levels. The base was
increased in the meantime to $10,800 for
1973 and $12,000 for 1974."
Pages 12-13: "1973 Amendments
[T]he
amendments increased the earnings base in
1974 to $13,200
."
CALCULATION: ($13,200 - $9,000) / $9,000 =
.47
[27] Report: "Summary of Major Changes in
the Social Security Cash Benefits Program:
1935-1996." By Geoffrey Kollmann. Library of
Congress, Congressional Research Service.
Updated December 20, 1996.
http://www.ssa.gov/history/pdf/crs9436.pdf
Pages 13-14: "1977 Amendments
Increased the earnings base, on an ad hoc
basis, to $22,900 in 1979, $25,900 in 1980,
and $29,700 in 1981."
[28] Web page: "Contribution and Benefit
Base." United States Social Security
Administration, Office of the Chief Actuary.
Last reviewed or modified October 29, 2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/oact/cola/cbb.html
CALCULATION: ($29,700- $17,700) / $17,700 =
.68
[29] Report: "Summary of Major Changes in
the Social Security Cash Benefits Program:
1935-1996." By Geoffrey Kollmann. Library of
Congress, Congressional Research Service.
Updated December 20, 1996.
http://www.ssa.gov/history/pdf/crs9436.pdf
Pages 13-14: "1977 Amendments
After
1981, the base would be adjusted
automatically to keep up with average wages
as under the prior law."
[30] Actuarial Note: "Average Wages for
Indexing Under the Social Security Act and
the Automatic Determinations For 1979-81."
By Eli N. Donkar. United States Social
Security Administration, Office of the Chief
Actuary, May 1981.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/NOTES/note1980s/note103/...
"The amended Act requires the use of an
average wage for indexing described in
various sections of the law as "the average
of the total wages (as defined in
regulations of the Secretary. . .)." Such
general language leaves a wide range of
possibilities for a definition of such a
wage series."
[31] Web page: "Contribution and Benefit
Base." United States Social Security
Administration, Office of the Chief Actuary.
Last reviewed or modified October 29, 2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/oact/cola/cbb.html
"Social Security's Old-Age, Survivors, and
Disability Insurance (OASDI) program limits
the amount of earnings subject to taxation
for a given year.
This limit generally
increases each year with increases in the
national average wage index. We call this
annual limit the contribution and benefit
base."
[32] Web page: "National Average Wage
Index." United States Social Security
Administration, Office of the Chief Actuary.
Last reviewed or modified October 29, 2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/oact/cola/AWI.html
We use the average wage indexing series to
update several amounts that are important to
the operation of Social Security's Old-Age,
Survivors, and Disability Insurance (OASDI)
program.
OASDI contribution and benefit base (also
known as the taxable maximum)
[33] Web page: "Average Wage Index (AWI)."
United States Social Security
Administration, Office of the Chief Actuary.
Last reviewed or modified October 29, 2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/oact/cola/awidevelop.html
"We use the term 'wages' to refer to net
compensation."
[34] Web page: "Definition of Net
Compensation." United States Social Security
Administration, Office of the Chief Actuary.
Last reviewed or modified Friday Oct 29,
2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/cola/netcomp.html
In keeping with the legal term "national
average wage index," we often loosely refer
to the basis for the index as average wages.
To be more precise, however, the index is
based on compensation (wages, tips, and the
like) subject to Federal income taxes, as
reported by employers on Form W-2.
Beginning with the AWI [average wage index]
for 1991, compensation includes
contributions to deferred compensation
plans, but excludes certain distributions
from plans where the distributions are
included in the reported compensation
subject to income taxes. We call the result
of including contributions, and excluding
certain distributions, net compensation.
[35] NOTE: As shown in the next four
footnotes, Just Facts compared the
percentage increases in all available years
for (1) the taxable maximum (2) average
worker compensation and (3) the Social
Security Administration's "national average
wage index." The latter two of these
parameters concurred perfectly, but the tax
threshold did not align with the others.
Thus, we use the term "roughly." An Excel
file containing the data and calculations is
available
upon
request.
[36] Web page: "Contribution and Benefit
Base." United States Social Security
Administration, Office of the Chief Actuary.
Last reviewed or modified March 8, 2012.
http://www.ssa.gov/oact/cola/cbb.html
CALCULATION: ($106,800- $51,300) / $51,300 =
1.08
[37] Web page: "Measures of Central Tendency
for Wage Data." United States Social
Security Administration, Office of the Chief
Actuary. Last reviewed or modified November
1, 2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/cola/central.html
NOTE:
The cumulative increase in average net
compensation between 1990 (the earliest year
shown) and 2010 (the latest) is 98.09%. The
cumulative increase in median net
compensation between 1990 and 2010 is
81.83%.
[38] Calculated with data from:
a) Web page: "Contribution and Benefit
Base." United States Social Security
Administration, Office of the Chief Actuary.
Last reviewed or modified March 8, 2012.
http://www.ssa.gov/oact/cola/cbb.html
"1950
[=] $3,000
2012 [=] $110,100"
b) Web page: "CPI Inflation Calculator."
United States Department of Labor, Bureau of
Labor Statistics. Accessed June 2, 2012.
http://www.bls.gov/data/inflation_calculator.htm
"The CPI inflation calculator uses the
average Consumer Price Index for a given
calendar year. This data represents changes
in prices of all goods and services
purchased for consumption by urban
households. This index value has been
calculated every year since 1913. For the
current year, the latest monthly index value
is used."
CALCULATIONS: Using the above-cited
inflation calculator, $3,000 in 1950 is
equivalent to $28,641.29 in 2012. Hence,
$110,100 / $28,641 = 3.84
[39] "Social Security Act of 1935." United
States Social Security Administration.
http://www.ssa.gov/history/35act.html
SEC. 801.
In addition to other taxes, there shall be
levied, collected, and paid upon the income
of every individual a tax equal to the
following percentages of the wages (as
defined in section 811) received by him
after December 31, 1936, with respect to
employment (as defined in section 811) after
such date:
(1) With respect to employment during the
calendar years 1937, 1938, and 1939, the
rate shall be 1 per centum.
(2) With respect to employment during the
calendar years 1940, 1941, and 1942, the
rate shall be 1 per centum.
(3) With respect to employment during the
calendar years 1943, 1944, and 1945, the
rate shall be 2 per centum.
(4) With respect to employment during the
calendar years 1946, 1947, and 1948, the
rate shall be 2 per centum.
(5) With respect to employment after
December 31, 1948, the rate shall be 3 per
centum.
SEC. 804. In addition to other taxes, every
employer shall pay an excise tax, with
respect to having individuals in his employ,
equal to the following percentages of the
wages (as defined in section 811) paid by
him after December 31, 1936, with respect to
employment (as defined in section 811) after
such date:
(1) With respect to employment during the
calendar years 1937, 1938, and 1939, the
rate shall be 1 per centum.
(2) With respect to employment during the
calendar years 1940, 1941, and 1942, the
rate shall be 1 per centum.
(3) With respect to employment during the
calendar years 1943, 1944, and 1945, the
rate shall be 2 per centum.
(4) With respect to employment during the
calendar years 1946, 1947, and 1948, the
rate shall be 2 per centum.
(5) With respect to employment after
December 31, 1948, the rate shall be 3 per
centum.
[40] Report: "Summary of Major Changes in
the Social Security Cash Benefits Program:
1935-1996." By Geoffrey Kollmann. Library of
Congress, Congressional Research Service.
Updated December 20, 1996.
http://www.ssa.gov/history/pdf/crs9436.pdf
Pages 2-4: "1939 Amendments
Postponed the
increase in the tax rate, scheduled for
1940, until 1943. (Subsequent amendments
during the 1940s kept postponing the
increase so that it did not take effect
until 1950.)"
[41] Web page: "Social Security & Medicare
Tax Rates." United States Social Security
Administration, Office of the Chief Actuary.
Last reviewed or modified Wednesday June 30,
2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/oact/ProgData/taxRates.html
[42] Report: "Summary of Major Changes in
the Social Security Cash Benefits Program:
1935-1996." By Geoffrey Kollmann. Library of
Congress, Congressional Research Service.
Updated December 20, 1996.
http://www.ssa.gov/history/pdf/crs9436.pdf
Pages 4-5: "1950 Amendments
Raised payroll
taxes, so that the employee/employer share
would gradually rise to an ultimate rate of
3.25% in 1970. The tax for the self-employed
was set at 1 & 1/2 times the employee rate."
Pages 5-6: "1954 Amendments
Raised
the
ultimate tax rate to 4.0% for employers and
employees, each, effective in 1975."
Pages 6-7: "1956 Amendments
To finance the
new benefits, the legislation established a
Disability Insurance (DI) trust fund to
which an additional .25% of contributions
from employers and employees and .375% from
the self-employed were allocated, raising
the total employee/employer tax rate to
2.25% in 1957 and ultimately to 4.25% in
1975."
Pages 8-9: "1961 Amendments
Increased the
tax on employers and employees by one-eighth
of 1% and by three-sixteenths of 1% for the
self-employed."
Page 9: "1965 Amendments
In addition, the
contribution schedule for OASDI [Social
Security] was increased, raising the tax
rate on employers and employees from 3.625%
to 3.85%, and on self-employed persons from
5.4% to 5.8% beginning in 1966."
Pages 10-11: "1967 Amendments
The tax
rates were increased, rising from an
ultimate rate of 5.65% in 1987 to 5.9% for
employees and employers, each, and from 7.8%
to 7.9% for the self-employed."
Page 11: "1971 Amendments
The tax rate was
increased, rising from 5.9 to 6.05% in 1987
for employers and employees, each. The
self-employed tax rate was not changed."
Pages 11-12: "1972 Amendments
Raised
payroll taxes, effective in 1978
."
Pages 12-13: "1973 Amendments
raised
payroll taxes, effective in 1981
."
Pages 13-14: "1977 Amendments
Increased
tax rates slightly in 1979 and 1980, and
more significantly in 1981 and later
."
[43] Report: "Summary of Major Changes in
the Social Security Cash Benefits Program:
1935-1996." By Geoffrey Kollmann. Library of
Congress, Congressional Research Service.
Updated December 20, 1996.
http://www.ssa.gov/history/pdf/crs9436.pdf
Pages 16-17: "1983 Amendments
Acceleration
of scheduled tax increases for employees and
employers, with an offsetting tax credit for
employees for 1984; increase in the rates
for the self-employed to equal the combined
employee/employer rate but with partially
offsetting credits and deductions."
[44]
Public Law 111-312: "Tax Relief,
Unemployment Insurance Reauthorization, and
Job Creation Act of 2010." 111th U.S.
Congress. Signed into law by Barack Obama on
December 17, 2010.
http://thomas.loc.gov/
Title VI, Section 601:
Temporary Employee Payroll Tax Cut.
(a) In General- Notwithstanding any other
provision of law--
(1) with respect to any taxable year which
begins in the payroll tax holiday period,
the rate of tax under section 1401(a) of the
Internal Revenue Code of 1986 shall be 10.40
percent, and
(2) with respect to remuneration received
during the payroll tax holiday period, the
rate of tax under 3101(a) of such Code shall
be 4.2 percent (including for purposes of
determining the applicable percentage under
sections 3201(a) and 3211(a)(1) of such
Code).
(c) Payroll Tax Holiday Period- The term
'payroll tax holiday period' means calendar
year 2011.
(e) Transfers of Funds-
(1) TRANSFERS TO FEDERAL OLD-AGE AND
SURVIVORS INSURANCE TRUST FUND- There are
hereby appropriated to the Federal Old-Age
and Survivors Trust Fund and the Federal
Disability Insurance Trust Fund established
under section 201 of the Social Security Act
(42 U.S.C. 401) amounts equal to the
reduction in revenues to the Treasury by
reason of the application of subsection (a).
Amounts appropriated by the preceding
sentence shall be transferred from the
general fund at such times and in such
manner as to replicate to the extent
possible the transfers which would have
occurred to such Trust Fund had such
amendments not been enacted.
Public
Law 112-078: "Temporary Payroll Tax Cut
Continuation Act of 2011." 111th U.S.
Congress. Signed into law by Barack Obama on
December 23, 2011.
http://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/PLAW-112publ78/...
SEC.
101. EXTENSION OF PAYROLL TAX HOLIDAY.
(a) IN
GENERAL.Subsection (c) of section 601 of
the Tax Relief, Unemployment Insurance
Reauthorization, and Job Creation Act of
2010 (26 U.S.C. 1401 note) is amended to
read as follows: "(c) PAYROLL TAX HOLIDAY
PERIOD.The term 'payroll tax holiday
period' means
"(1)
in the case of the tax described in
subsection (a)(1), calendar years 2011 and
2012, and
"(2) in the case of the taxes described in
subsection (a)(2), the period beginning
January 1, 2011, and ending February 29,
2012.".
Public Law 112-96: "Middle Class Tax Relief
and Job Creation Act of 2012." 112th U.S.
Congress. Signed into law by Barack Obama on
February 22, 2012.
http://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/PLAW-112publ96/...
SEC.
1001. EXTENSION OF PAYROLL TAX REDUCTION.
(a) IN
GENERAL.Subsection (c) of section 601 of
the Tax Relief, Unemployment Insurance
Reauthorization, and Job Creation Act of
2010 (26 U.S.C. 1401 note) is amended to
read as follows:
"(c)
PAYROLL TAX HOLIDAY PERIOD.The term
'payroll tax holiday
period' means calendar years 2011 and
2012.".
[45] "Internal Revenue Manual." Internal
Revenue Service. Accessed January 11, 2011
at
http://www.irs.gov/irm/index.html
Part 1, Chapter 34, Section 1 (http://www.irs.gov/irm/part1/irm_01-034-001.html):
"The main financing component of the Federal
funds group is referred to as the General
Fund, which is used to carry out the general
purposes of Government rather than being
restricted by law to a specific program and
consists of all collections not earmarked by
law to finance other funds."
[46] The
Encyclopedia of Taxation & Tax Policy.
Edited by Joseph J. Cordes and others. Urban
Institute Press, 2005.
Page 469: "Spending from the general fund is
financed by general revenues, which include
the individual and corporation income taxes,
some excise taxes, estate and gift taxes,
tariffs, and miscellaneous receipts."
[47] Web page: "Social Security & Medicare
Tax Rates." United States Social Security
Administration, Office of the Chief Actuary.
Last reviewed or modified Wednesday June 30,
2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/oact/ProgData/taxRates.html
[48] "The 1936 Government Pamphlet on Social
Security." United States Social Security
Administration.
http://www.ssa.gov/history/ssn/ssb36.html
[49] Web page: "CPI
Inflation Calculator." United States
Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor
Statistics. Accessed January 12, 2013 at
http://www.bls.gov/data/inflation_calculator.htm
"The CPI inflation calculator uses the
average Consumer Price Index for a given
calendar year. This data represents changes
in prices of all goods and services
purchased for consumption by urban
households. This index value has been
calculated every year since 1913. For the
current year, the latest monthly index value
is used."
CALCULATIONS:
6% of $3,000 = $180
Using the above-cited inflation calculator,
$180 in 1949 is equivalent to $1,741.17 in
2012, which is the latest available year.
[50] Calculated with data
from the footnote above and:
a) Web
page: "Social Security & Medicare Tax
Rates." United States Social Security
Administration, Office of the Chief Actuary.
Last reviewed or modified March 8, 2012.
http://www.ssa.gov/oact/ProgData/taxRates.html
"1990 and later
OASDI [Social Security]
12.4[%]"
b) Web
page: "Contribution and Benefit Base."
United States Social Security
Administration, Office of the Chief Actuary.
Last reviewed or modified October 16, 2012.
http://www.ssa.gov/oact/cola/cbb.html
"Social Security's Old-Age, Survivors, and
Disability Insurance (OASDI) program limits
the amount of earnings subject to taxation
for a given year. The same annual limit also
applies when those earnings are used in a
benefit computation. This limit changes each
year with changes in the national average
wage index. We call this annual limit the
contribution and benefit base. For earnings
in 2013, this base is $113,700."
CALCULATIONS: $113,700 Χ 12.4% =
$14,099
$14,099 / $1,741 = 8.1
[51] Publication No.
05-10072: "How You Earn Credits." U.S.
Social Security Administration, January
2012.
http://www.ssa.gov/pubs/10072.pdf
Page 2:
The credits are based on the amount of your
earnings. We use your work history to
determine your eligibility for retirement or
disability benefits or your familys
eligibility for survivors benefits when you
die.
In 2012, you receive one credit for each
$1,130 of earnings, up to the maximum of
four credits per year.
Each year the amount of earnings needed for
credits goes up slightly as average earnings
levels increase. The credits you earn remain
on your Social Security record even if you
change jobs or have no earnings for a while.
Page
4:
How long you must work to qualify for
Social Security
The number of credits you need to be
eligible for benefits depends on your age
and the type of benefit.
Retirement benefits
Anyone born in 1929 or later needs 10 years
of work (40 credits) to be eligible for
retirement benefits. People born before 1929
need fewer years of work.
[52] Publication number 05-10070: "Your
Retirement Benefit: How it is Figured."
United States Social Security
Administration, January 2010.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/pubs/10070.html
Many people wonder how their benefit is
figured. Social Security benefits are based
on your lifetime earnings. Your actual
earnings are adjusted or "indexed" to
account for changes in average wages since
the year the earnings were received. Then
Social Security calculates your average
indexed monthly earnings during the 35 years
in which you earned the most. We apply a
formula to these earnings and arrive at your
basic benefit, or "primary insurance amount"
(PIA). This is how much you would receive at
your full retirement age65 or older,
depending on your date of birth.
NOTE: The above statement is imprecise
because it states that "benefits are based
on your lifetime earnings," when in fact,
benefits are based on lifetime taxable
earnings, which may be lower than lifetime
earnings due to the wage threshold.* Since
lifetime taxable earnings are taxed at a
flat rate, lifetime taxable earnings are
directly proportional to Social Security
taxes paid.
* Web page: "Contribution and Benefit Base."
United States Social Security
Administration, Office of the Chief Actuary.
Last reviewed or modified October 29, 2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/oact/cola/cbb.html
"Social Security's Old-Age, Survivors, and
Disability Insurance (OASDI) program limits
the amount of earnings subject to taxation
for a given year. The same annual limit also
applies when those earnings are used in a
benefit computation."
Web page: "Social Security & Medicare Tax
Rates." United States Social Security
Administration, Office of the Chief Actuary.
Last reviewed or modified Wednesday June 30,
2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/oact/ProgData/taxRates.html
[53] Web page: "Online Calculator." United
States Social Security Administration,
December, 2011.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/retire2/AnypiaApplet.html
[54] Web page: "Automatic Increases: Primary
Insurance Amount." United States Social
Security Administration, Office of the Chief
Actuary. Last reviewed or modified October
29, 2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/COLA/piaformula.html
PIA definition
The "primary insurance amount" (PIA) is the
benefit (before rounding down to next lower
whole dollar) a person would receive if
he/she elects to begin receiving retirement
benefits at his/her normal retirement age.
At this age, the benefit is neither reduced
for early retirement nor increased for
delayed retirement.
PIA formula bend points
The PIA is the sum of three separate
percentages of portions of average indexed
monthly earnings. The portions depend on the
year in which a worker attains age 62,
becomes disabled before age 62, or dies
before attaining age 62.
For 2011 these portions are the first $749,
the amount between $749 and $4,517, and the
amount over $4,517. These dollar amounts are
the "bend points" of the 2011 PIA formula. A
table shows bend points, for years beginning
with 1979, for both the PIA and maximum
family benefit formulas.
PIA formula
For an individual who first becomes eligible
for old-age insurance benefits or disability
insurance benefits in 2011, or who dies in
2011 before becoming eligible for benefits,
his/her PIA will be the sum of:
(a) 90 percent of the first $749 of his/her
average indexed monthly earnings, plus
(b) 32 percent of his/her average indexed
monthly earnings over $749 and through
$4,517, plus
(c) 15 percent of his/her average indexed
monthly earnings over $4,517.
NOTE: The above PIA formula weights lower
earnings (and thus lower taxes paid) more
than greater earnings (and thus higher taxes
paid).
[55] Constructed with data from:
a) Web page: "Social Security & Medicare Tax
Rates." United States Social Security
Administration, Office of the Chief Actuary.
Last reviewed or modified Wednesday March 8,
2012.
http://www.ssa.gov/oact/ProgData/taxRates.html
NOTE:
For 1990 and later, the payroll tax rate for
employees/employers combined or for
self-employed persons is 12.4%. This does
not account for the payroll tax holidays in
2011 and 2012, which are financed by general
revenues. General revenue taxes are
progressive so that higher-income households
pay higher tax rates:
http://www.justfacts.com/healthcare.asp#general_revenues.
b) Web page: "Online Calculator." United
States Social Security Administration,
December 2011.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/retire2/AnypiaApplet.html
NOTES:
- On
June 12, 2012, the following data
was entered into the Online Calculator:
An individual born December 29, 1989.
First year of work is 2012 (works the full
year).
Retirement date of December 29, 2056 (67
years old).
Projected benefits to be quoted in today's
(2012) dollars.
- An Excel file containing the data and
calculations is available
upon
request.
[56] See previous footnote.
[57] Report: "Social Security Reform:
Current Issues and Legislation." By Dawn Nuschler. Congressional Research Service,
September 14, 2010.
http://aging.senate.gov/crs/ss6.pdf
Pages 13-14:
Until recent years, Social Security
recipients received more, often far more,
than the value of the Social Security taxes
they paid. However, because Social Security
payroll tax rates have increased over the
years and the full retirement age (the age
at which unreduced benefits are first
payable) is being increased gradually, it is
becoming more apparent that Social Security
will be less of a good deal for many future
retirees. For example, for workers who
earned average wages and retired in 1980 at
the age of 65, it took 2.8 years to recover
the value of the retirement portion of the
combined employee and employer shares of
their Social Security taxes plus interest.
For their counterparts who retired at the
age of 65 in 2003, it will take 17.4 years.
For those retiring in 2020, it will take
21.6 years.
[58] The Social Security
Trust Fund is projected to be depleted in
2033,* after which, the program will be
unable to pay full benefits. For more
information, see the section on
Financial
Status.
[59] Web page: "Cost of Living Adjustments."
United States Social Security
Administration. Last reviewed or modified
October 19, 2011.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/OACT/COLA/colaseries.html
Since 1975, Social Security general benefit
increases have been cost-of-living
adjustments or COLAs. The 1975-82 COLAs were
effective with Social Security benefits
payable for June in each of those years;
thereafter COLAs have been effective with
benefits payable for December.
The first COLA, for June 1975, was based on
the increase in the Consumer Price Index for
Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers
(CPI-W) from the second quarter of 1974 to
the first quarter of 1975. The 1976-83 COLAs
were based on increases in the CPI-W from
the first quarter of the prior year to the
corresponding quarter of the current year in
which the COLA became effective. After 1983,
COLAs have been based on increases in the
CPI-W from the third quarter of the prior
year to the corresponding quarter of the
current year in which the COLA became
effective.
[60] Publication number 05-10024:
"Understanding the Benefits." United States
Social Security Administration, May 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/pubs/10024.html
For those born before 1938, the full
retirement age to qualify for Social
Security benefits is 65 years old.
For those born between 1938 and 1959, the
full retirement age to qualify for Social
Security benefits is defined by the
following chart:
For those born after 1959, the full
retirement age to qualify for Social
Security benefits is 67 years old.
[61] Publication number 05-10024:
"Understanding the Benefits." United States
Social Security Administration, May 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/pubs/10024.html
You may start receiving benefits as early as
age 62. However, if you start your benefits
early, your benefits are reduced
permanently. Your benefit is reduced about
one-half of one percent for each month you
start your Social Security before your full
retirement age. For example, if your full
retirement age is 66 and you sign up for
Social Security when you are 62, you would
only get 75 percent of your full benefit.
NOTE: The reduction will be greater in
future years as the full retirement age
increases.
[62] Publication number 05-10024:
"Understanding the Benefits." United States
Social Security Administration, May 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/pubs/10024.html
If you choose to delay receiving benefits
beyond your full retirement age, your
benefit will be increased by a certain
percentage, depending on the year you were
born. The increase will be added in
automatically from the time you reach full
retirement age until you start taking
benefits or reach age 70, whichever comes
first. If, for example, you were born in
1940, your benefit would increase 7 percent
for each year, between your full retirement
age and age 70, that you do not get
retirement benefits.
[63] Publication number 05-10024:
"Understanding the Benefits." United States
Social Security Administration, May 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/pubs/10024.html
NOTE:
Family members include a spouse, children
under the age of 19, and adult children who
are disabled. Each family member may be
eligible for benefits equal to 50% of the
worker's benefit, but there is a limit on
the amount of benefits that a single family
can receive.
[64] Publication No. 21-059: "Social
Security: A Brief History." United States
Social Security Administration, October
2007.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/history/pdf/2007historybooklet.pdf
Page 5: "Under the 1935 law, monthly
benefits were to start in 1942. From 1937
until 1942, Social Security was to pay
benefits to retirees in the form of a
single, lump-sum refund payment."
[65] Publication No. 21-059: "Social
Security: A Brief History." United States
Social Security Administration, October
2007.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/history/pdf/2007historybooklet.pdf
Page 5:
Under the 1935 law, monthly benefits were to
start in 1942. From 1937 until 1942, Social
Security was to pay benefits to retirees in
the form of a single, lump-sum refund
payment. The earliest reported applicant for
a lump-sum refund was a retired Cleveland
motorman named Ernest Ackerman, who retired
one day after the Social Security program
began. During his one day of participation
in the program, a nickel was withheld from
Mr. Ackerman's pay for Social Security, and,
upon retiring, he received a lump-sum
payment of 17 cents.
[66] Web page: "Your Social Security
Statement." United States Social Security
Administration, August 16, 2010.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/mystatement/currentstatement.pdf
[67] Publication number
05-10024: "Understanding the Benefits."
United States Social Security
Administration, March 2012.
http://www.ssa.gov/pubs/10024.html
Page
4: "Social Security replaces about 40 percent
of an average wage earner's income after
retiring, and most financial advisors say
retirees will need 70 percent or more of
pre-retirement earnings to live
comfortably."
[68] "Fiscal Year 2011
Performance and Accountability Report."
United States Social Security
Administration, November 7, 2011.
http://www.ssa.gov/finance/2011/Full FY 2011
PAR.pdf
Page 7: "Among elderly Social Security
beneficiaries, 23 percent of married couples
and 43 percent of unmarried individuals rely
on Social Security for 90 percent or more of
their income."
[69] Publication number 05-10024:
"Understanding the Benefits." United States
Social Security Administration, March 2012.
http://www.ssa.gov/pubs/10024.pdf
Page
21: "Average 2012 monthly Social Security
benefits
Retired worker: $1,229"
CALCULATION: $1,229/month Χ 12 months/year =
$14,748/year
[70] Dataset:
"Preliminary Estimates of Weighted Average
Poverty Thresholds for 2011." United States
Census Bureau. January 30, 2012.
http://www.census.gov/hhes/www/poverty/data/threshld/index.html
[71] Publication number 05-10024:
"Understanding the Benefits." United States
Social Security Administration, March 2012.
http://www.ssa.gov/pubs/10024.pdf
Page
21: "Average 2012 monthly Social Security
benefits
Retired couple: $1,994"
CALCULATION: $1,994/month Χ 12 months/year =
$23,928/year
[72] Dataset:
"Preliminary Estimates of Weighted Average
Poverty Thresholds for 2011." United States
Census Bureau. January 30, 2012.
http://www.census.gov/hhes/www/poverty/data/threshld/index.html
[73] Publication number 05-10024:
"Understanding the Benefits." United States
Social Security Administration, January
2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/pubs/10024.html
When you start receiving Social Security
retirement or disability benefits, other
family members also may be eligible for
payments. For example, benefits can be paid
to your husband or wife:
If he or she is age 62 or older; or
At any age if he or she is caring for your
child (the child must be younger than 16 or
disabled and entitled to Social Security
benefits on your record).
Benefits also can be paid to your unmarried
children if they are:
Younger than 18;
Between 18 and 19 years old, but in
elementary or secondary school as full-time
students; or
Age 18 or older and severely disabled (the
disability must have started before age 22).
If you become the parent of a child
(including an adopted child) after you begin
receiving benefits, let us know about the
child, so we can decide if the child is
eligible for benefits.
How much can family members get?
Each family member may be eligible for a
monthly benefit that is up to half of your
retirement or disability benefit amount.
However, there is a limit to the total
amount of money that can be paid to you and
your family. The limit varies, but is
generally equal to about 150 to 180 percent
of your retirement or disability benefit.
[74] "The 1936 Government Pamphlet on Social
Security." United States Social Security
Administration.
http://www.ssa.gov/history/ssn/ssb36.html
"The checks will come to you as a right. You
will get them regardless of the amount of
property or income you may have. They are
what the law calls "Old-Age Benefits" under
the Social Security Act."
[75] Publication number 05-10024:
"Understanding the Benefits." United States
Social Security Administration, January
2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/pubs/10024.html
"You will have to pay taxes on your benefits
if you file a federal tax return as an
'individual' and your total income is more
than $25,000. If you file a joint return,
you will have to pay taxes if you and your
spouse have a total income that is more than
$32,000."
[76] Publication No. 915: "Social Security
and Equivalent Railroad Retirement Benefits
for Use in Preparing 2010 Returns." United
States Department of the Treasury, Internal
Revenue Service, Nov 16, 2010.
http://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-pdf/p915.pdf
Page 2:
Are Any of Your Benefits Taxable?
To find out whether any of your benefits may
be taxable, compare the base amount
(explained later) for your filing status
with the total of:
1. One-half of your benefits, plus
2. All your other income, including
tax-exempt interest.
When making this comparison, do not reduce
your other income by any exclusions for:
Interest from qualified U.S. savings
bonds,
Employer-provided adoption benefits,
Foreign earned income or foreign housing,
or
Income earned by bona fide residents of
American Samoa or Puerto Rico.
Page 6:
How Much Is Taxable?
If part of your benefits are taxable, how
much is taxable depends on the total amount
of your benefits and other income.
Generally, the higher that total amount, the
greater the taxable part of your benefits.
Maximum taxable part. However, up to 85% of
your benefits can be taxable if either of
the following situations applies to you.
The total of one-half of your benefits and
all your other income is more than $34,000
($44,000 if you are married filing jointly).
You are married filing separately and
lived with your spouse at any time during
2007.
[77] "2010 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds." United States Social Security
Administration, August 9, 2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/2010/tr2010.pdf
Page 136: "Under present law, the OASI
[Old-Age and Survivors Insurance] and DI
[Disability Insurance] Trust Funds are
credited with the additional income taxes
attributable to the taxation of up to the
first 50 percent of OASI and DI benefit
payments. (The remainder of the income taxes
attributable to the taxation of up to 85
percent of OASI and DI benefit payments is
credited to the HI [Hospital Insurance,
which is part of Medicare] Trust Fund.)"
[78] See three footnotes above.
[79] "2010 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds." United States Social Security
Administration, August 9, 2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/2010/tr2010.pdf
Page 47: "The projected income from the taxation of
benefits, expressed as a percentage of
taxable payroll, is expected to increase for
two reasons. First, benefits are rising
faster than payroll. Second, the benefit
taxation threshold amounts are not indexed,
so that an increasing share of benefits will
be subject to tax."
[80] Publication number 05-10024:
"Understanding the Benefits." United States
Social Security Administration, January
2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/pubs/10024.html
Survivors benefits
When you die, your family may be eligible
for benefits based on your work.
Family members who can collect benefits
include a widow or widower who is:
60 or older; or
50 or older and disabled; or
Any age if he or she is caring for your
child who is younger than 16 or disabled and
entitled to Social Security benefits on your
record.
Your children can receive benefits, too, if
they are unmarried and:
Younger than 18 years old; or
Between 18 and 19 years old, but in an
elementary or secondary school as full-time
students; or
Age 18 or older and severely disabled (the
disability must have started before age 22).
Additionally, your parents can receive
benefits on your earnings if they were
dependent on you for at least half of their
support.
Payment after death
If you have enough credits, a one-time
payment of $255 also will be made after your
death. This benefit may be paid to your
spouse or minor children if they meet
certain requirements.
If you are divorced
If you are divorced, your ex-spouse may be
eligible for survivors benefits based on
your earnings when you die. He or she must:
Be at least age 60 years old (or 50 if
disabled) and have been married to you for
at least 10 years; or
Be any age if he or she is caring for a
child who is eligible for benefits based on
your earnings; and
Not be eligible for an equal or higher
benefit based on his or her own work; and
Not be currently married, unless the
remarriage occurred after age 60 or after
age 50 if disabled.
Benefits paid to an ex-spouse will not
affect the benefit rates for other survivors
receiving benefits on your earnings record.
NOTE: If you are deceased and your ex-spouse
remarries after age 60, he or she may be
eligible for Social Security benefits based
both on your work and the new spouse's work,
whichever is higher.
[81] Publication number 05-10024:
"Understanding the Benefits." United States
Social Security Administration, January
2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/pubs/10024.html
How much will your survivors get?
Your survivors receive a percentage of your
basic Social Security benefitusually in a
range from 75 to 100 percent each. However,
there is a limit to the amount of money that
can be paid each month to a family. The
limit varies, but is generally equal to
about 150 to 180 percent of your benefit
rate.
[82] Publication No. 05-10029: "Disability
Benefits." United States Social Security
Administration, August 2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/pubs/10029.pdf
Page 5:
Page 6:
[83] Publication No. 05-10029: "Disability
Benefits." United States Social Security
Administration, August 2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/pubs/10029.pdf
Page 12: "When do my benefits start? If your
application is approved, your first Social
Security disability benefits will be paid
for the sixth full month after the date your
disability began."
[84] Publication No. 05-10029: "Disability
Benefits." United States Social Security
Administration, August 2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/pubs/10029.pdf
Page 12: "How much will my benefits be? The
amount of your monthly disability benefit is
based on your average lifetime earnings. The
Social Security Statement that you receive
each year displays your lifetime earnings
and provides an estimate of your disability
benefit."
NOTE: The above statement is imprecise
because it states that benefits are based on
"average lifetime earnings" when in fact
benefits are based on lifetime taxable
earnings, which may be lower than lifetime
earnings due to the wage threshold.* Since
lifetime taxable earnings are taxed at a
flat rate, lifetime taxable earnings are
directly proportional to Social Security
taxes paid.
* Web page: "Contribution and Benefit Base."
United States Social Security
Administration, Office of the Chief Actuary.
Last reviewed or modified October 29, 2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/oact/cola/cbb.html
"Social Security's Old-Age, Survivors, and
Disability Insurance (OASDI) program limits
the amount of earnings subject to taxation
for a given year. The same annual limit also
applies when those earnings are used in a
benefit computation."
Web page: "Social Security & Medicare Tax
Rates." United States Social Security
Administration, Office of the Chief Actuary.
Last reviewed or modified Wednesday June 30,
2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/oact/ProgData/taxRates.html
[85] Web page: "Cost of Living Adjustments."
United States Social Security
Administration. Last reviewed or modified
October 29, 2010.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/OACT/COLA/colaseries.html
Since 1975, Social Security general benefit
increases have been cost-of-living
adjustments or COLAs. The 1975-82 COLAs were
effective with Social Security benefits
payable for June in each of those years;
thereafter COLAs have been effective with
benefits payable for December.
The first COLA, for June 1975, was based on
the increase in the Consumer Price Index for
Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers
(CPI-W) from the second quarter of 1974 to
the first quarter of 1975. The 1976-83 COLAs
were based on increases in the CPI-W from
the first quarter of the prior year to the
corresponding quarter of the current year in
which the COLA became effective. After 1983,
COLAs have been based on increases in the
CPI-W from the third quarter of the prior
year to the corresponding quarter of the
current year in which the COLA became
effective.
[86] Publication number 05-10024:
"Understanding the Benefits." United States
Social Security Administration, January
2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/pubs/10024.html
When you start receiving Social Security
retirement or disability benefits, other
family members also may be eligible for
payments. For example, benefits can be paid
to your husband or wife:
If he or she is age 62 or older; or
At any age if he or she is caring for your
child (the child must be younger than 16 or
disabled and entitled to Social Security
benefits on your record).
Benefits also can be paid to your unmarried
children if they are:
Younger than 18;
Between 18 and 19 years old, but in
elementary or secondary school as full-time
students; or
Age 18 or older and severely disabled (the
disability must have started before age 22).
If you become the parent of a child
(including an adopted child) after you begin
receiving benefits, let us know about the
child, so we can decide if the child is
eligible for benefits.
How much can family members get?
Each family member may be eligible for a
monthly benefit that is up to half of your
retirement or disability benefit amount.
However, there is a limit to the total
amount of money that can be paid to you and
your family. The limit varies, but is
generally equal to about 150 to 180 percent
of your retirement or disability benefit.
[87] Calculated with data
from the "2012 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds." United States Social Security
Administration, April 25, 2012.
http://www.ssa.gov/oact/tr/2012/tr2012.pdf
Page
32: "Table III.A5.Distribution of Benefit
Payments by Type of Beneficiary or Payment,
Calendar Years 2010 and 2011 (Amounts in
millions)
2011
Total OASDI benefit
payments [=] 725,148
Retired workers and
auxiliaries [=] 489,699
Survivors of
deceased workers [=] 106,310
Lump-sum
death payments [=] 204
DI benefit
payments, total [=] 128,935"
NOTE: Total may not add to 100% due to
rounding.
CALCULATIONS:
489,699 Retired workers and auxiliaries /
725,148 = 0.6753
(106,310 Survivors of deceased workers + 204
Lump-sum death payments) / 725,148 = 0.1468
128,935 DI benefit payments / 725,148 =
0.1778
[88] News release:
"Social Security Statement Now Available
Online at www.socialsecurity.gov." Social
Security Administration, May 1, 2012.
http://www.ssa.gov/pressoffice/pr/ss-online-statement-pr-alt.pdf
Michael J. Astrue, Commissioner of Social
Security, today announced an online version
of the Social Security Statement is now
available at www.socialsecurity.gov. The new
online Statement provides eligible workers
with secure and convenient access to their
Social Security earnings and benefit
information.
In February 2012, Social Security resumed
mailing paper Statements to workers age 60
and older if they are not already receiving
Social Security benefits. Later this year,
the agency plans to mail paper Statements to
workers in the year they reach age 25.
[89] "2010 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds." United States Social Security
Administration, August 9, 2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/2010/tr2010.pdf
Page 138: "The Federal Old-Age and Survivors
Insurance (OASI) Trust Fund was established
on January 1, 1940 as a separate account in
the United States Treasury. The Federal
Disability Insurance (DI) Trust Fund,
another separate account in the United
States Treasury, was established on August
1, 1956. All the financial operations of the
OASI and DI programs are handled through
these respective funds."
[90] Dataset: "Old-Age
and Survivors Insurance Trust Fund Receipts
[In millions]." United States Social
Security Administration, Office of the Chief
Actuary, July 18, 2011. Accessed 6/13/12 at
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/OACT/STATS/...
" Total receipts
Net payroll tax
contributions
Income from taxation of
benefits
General fund reimbursements
Net
interest"
[91]
Public Law 111-312: "Tax Relief,
Unemployment Insurance Reauthorization, and
Job Creation Act of 2010." 111th U.S.
Congress. Signed into law by Barack Obama on
December 17, 2010.
http://thomas.loc.gov/
Title VI, Section 601:
Temporary Employee Payroll Tax Cut.
(a) In General- Notwithstanding any other
provision of law--
(1) with respect to any taxable year which
begins in the payroll tax holiday period,
the rate of tax under section 1401(a) of the
Internal Revenue Code of 1986 shall be 10.40
percent, and
(2) with respect to remuneration received
during the payroll tax holiday period, the
rate of tax under 3101(a) of such Code shall
be 4.2 percent (including for purposes of
determining the applicable percentage under
sections 3201(a) and 3211(a)(1) of such
Code).
(c) Payroll Tax Holiday Period- The term
'payroll tax holiday period' means calendar
year 2011.
(e) Transfers of Funds-
(1) TRANSFERS TO FEDERAL OLD-AGE AND
SURVIVORS INSURANCE TRUST FUND- There are
hereby appropriated to the Federal Old-Age
and Survivors Trust Fund and the Federal
Disability Insurance Trust Fund established
under section 201 of the Social Security Act
(42 U.S.C. 401) amounts equal to the
reduction in revenues to the Treasury by
reason of the application of subsection (a).
Amounts appropriated by the preceding
sentence shall be transferred from the
general fund at such times and in such
manner as to replicate to the extent
possible the transfers which would have
occurred to such Trust Fund had such
amendments not been enacted.
Public
Law 112-078: "Temporary Payroll Tax Cut
Continuation Act of 2011." 111th U.S.
Congress. Signed into law by Barack Obama on
December 23, 2011.
http://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/PLAW-112publ78/...
SEC.
101. EXTENSION OF PAYROLL TAX HOLIDAY.
(a) IN
GENERAL.Subsection (c) of section 601 of
the Tax Relief, Unemployment Insurance
Reauthorization, and Job Creation Act of
2010 (26 U.S.C. 1401 note) is amended to
read as follows: "(c) PAYROLL TAX HOLIDAY
PERIOD.The term 'payroll tax holiday
period' means
"(1)
in the case of the tax described in
subsection (a)(1), calendar years 2011 and
2012, and
"(2) in the case of the taxes described in
subsection (a)(2), the period beginning
January 1, 2011, and ending February 29,
2012.".
Public Law 112-96: "Middle Class Tax Relief
and Job Creation Act of 2012." 112th U.S.
Congress. Signed into law by Barack Obama on
February 22, 2012.
http://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/PLAW-112publ96/...
SEC.
1001. EXTENSION OF PAYROLL TAX REDUCTION.
(a) IN
GENERAL.Subsection (c) of section 601 of
the Tax Relief, Unemployment Insurance
Reauthorization, and Job Creation Act of
2010 (26 U.S.C. 1401 note) is amended to
read as follows:
"(c)
PAYROLL TAX HOLIDAY PERIOD.The term
'payroll tax holiday
period' means calendar years 2011 and
2012.".
[92] Web page: "Trust
Fund FAQs." United States Social Security
Administration. Last reviewed or modified
Thursday Aug 5, 2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/ProgData/fundFAQ.html
"By law, income to the trust funds must be
invested, on a daily basis, in securities
guaranteed as to both principal and interest
by the Federal government. All securities
held by the trust funds are 'special issues'
of the United States Treasury. Such
securities are available only to the trust
funds."
[93] Web page: "Debt
versus Deficit: What's the Difference?"
United States Department of the Treasury,
Bureau of the Public Debt. Last updated
August 5, 2004. Last Updated October 10,
2008.
http://www.treasurydirect.gov/news/...
"Additionally, the Government Trust Funds
are required by law to invest accumulated
surpluses in Treasury securities. The
Treasury securities issued to the public and
to the Government Trust Funds
(intragovernmental holdings) then become
part of the total debt."
[94] United States Code
Title 31, Subtitle III, Chapter 31,
Subchapter II, Section 3123: Payment of
obligations and interest on the public
debt. Accessed April 7, 2011 at
http://www4.law.cornell.edu/uscode/31/3123.html
Section (a): "The faith of the United States
Government is pledged to pay, in legal
tender, principal and interest on the
obligations of the Government issued under
this chapter."
[95] "2012 Annual Report
of the Board of Trustees of The Federal
Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and
Disability Insurance Trust Funds." United
States Social Security Administration, April
25, 2012.
http://www.ssa.gov/oact/tr/2012/tr2012.pdf
Page
6: "Table II.B1.Summary of 2011 Trust Fund
Financial Operations (In billions).
OASDI
Assets at the end of 2011
$ 2,677.9"
[96]
Calculated with data
from the footnote above and:
a) Dataset: "Monthly Population Estimates
for the United States: April 1, 2010 to
March 1, 2012." U.S. Census Bureau,
Population Division, April 2012.
http://www.census.gov/popest/data/national/totals/2011/index.html
"Resident Population
March 1, 2012 [=]
313,104,674"
b) Dataset: "Average Number of People per
Household, by Race and Hispanic Origin,
Marital Status, Age, and Education of
Householder: 2011." U.S. Census Bureau,
November 2011.
http://www.census.gov/population/www/socdemo/...
Total households = 118,682,000
CALCULATIONS:
$2,735,200,000,000 / 313,104,674 people =
$8,736/person
$2,735,200,000,000 / 118,682,000 households
= $23,046/household
[97] Calculated with the
dataset: "Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability
Insurance Trust Funds, 1957-2010 [In
millions]." United States Social Security
Administration, Office of the Chief Actuary,
July 18, 2011. Accessed 6/13/12 at
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/OACT/STATS/table4a3.html
NOTE: An Excel file containing the data and
calculations is available
upon
request.
[98] "2012 Annual Report
of the Board of Trustees of The Federal
Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and
Disability Insurance Trust Funds." United
States Social Security Administration, April
25, 2012.
http://www.ssa.gov/oact/tr/2012/tr2012.pdf
Page 2:
In 2011, Social Securitys cost continued to
exceed both the programs tax income and its
non-interest income, a trend that the
Trustees project to continue throughout the
short-range period and beyond. The 2011
deficit of tax income relative to cost was
$148 billion, and the projected 2012 deficit
is $165 billion. The sizes of these deficits
are largely due to a temporary reduction in
the Social Security payroll tax for 2011 and
2012. The legislation establishing the
payroll tax reduction also provided for
transfers from the General Fund of the
Treasury to the trust funds to replicate to
the extent possible revenues that would
have occurred in the absence of the payroll
tax reduction. Including these general
revenue reimbursements, the 2011 deficit of
non-interest income relative to cost was $45
billion, and the projected 2012 deficit is
$53 billion.
Page 4: "Under the long-range intermediate
assumptions, the Trustees project that
annual cost for the OASDI [Social Security]
program will exceed non-interest income in
2012 and remain higher throughout the
remainder of the long-range period."
[99] Calculated with data
from Table VI.F7: "Operations of the
Combined OASI and DI Trust Funds, in
CPI-indexed 2012 Dollars, Calendar Years
2012-90 [In billions]." United States Social
Security Administration, Office of the Chief
Actuary. Last reviewed or modified April 23,
2012.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/2012/lr6f7.html
NOTES:
-
The "combined OASI and DI Trust Funds"
comprise the "Social Security Trust Fund."
- An Excel file containing the data and
calculations is available
upon
request.
[100] Calculated with
data from Table VI.F7: "Operations of the
Combined OASI and DI Trust Funds, in
Constant 2011 Dollars, Calendar Years
2011-86 [In billions]." United States Social
Security Administration, Office of the Chief
Actuary. Last reviewed or modified May 13,
2011.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/2011/lr6f7.html
NOTES:
-
The "combined OASI and DI Trust Funds"
comprise the "Social Security Trust Fund."
- An Excel file containing the data and
calculations is available
upon
request.
[101] Calculated with
data from Table VI.F7: Operations of the
Combined OASI and DI Trust Funds, in
Constant 2010 Dollars, Calendar Years
2010-85 [In billions]. United States Social
Security Administration, Office of the Chief
Actuary. Last reviewed or modified August 5,
2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/2010/lr6f7.html
NOTES:
-
The "combined OASI and DI Trust Funds"
comprise the "Social Security Trust Fund."
- An Excel file containing the data and
calculations is available
upon
request.
[102] "2012 Annual
Report of the Board of Trustees of The
Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and
Disability Insurance Trust Funds." United
States Social Security Administration, April
25, 2012.
http://www.ssa.gov/oact/tr/2012/tr2012.pdf
Page
3: "The Trustees project that annual cost
will exceed non-interest income throughout
the long-range period under the intermediate
assumptions. The dollar level of the
combined trust funds declines beginning in
2021 until assets are exhausted in 2033."
[103] Calculated with
data from Table VI.F7: "Operations of the
Combined OASI and DI Trust Funds, in
CPI-indexed 2012 Dollars, Calendar Years
2012-90 [In billions]." United States Social
Security Administration, Office of the Chief
Actuary. Last reviewed or modified April 23,
2012.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/2012/lr6f7.html
"2032 b
b The
combined OASI and DI Trust Funds become
exhausted in 2033 under the intermediate
assumptions and in 2027 under the high-cost
assumptions, so estimates for later years
are not shown."
NOTES:
- The
"combined OASI and DI Trust Funds" comprise
the "Social Security Trust Fund."
- An Excel file containing the data and
calculations is available
upon
request.
[107] "2012 Annual
Report of the Board of Trustees of The
Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and
Disability Insurance Trust Funds." United
States Social Security Administration, April
25, 2012.
http://www.ssa.gov/oact/tr/2012/tr2012.pdf
Page
11: "Figure II.D2.OASDI Income, Cost, and
Expenditures as Percentages of Taxable
Payroll [Under Intermediate Assumptions]"
NOTE: The "Cost" curve in Figure II.D2
exceeds the "Expenditures" curve for all
years starting in 2033. This graph ends in
2090. For the years beyond this, see the
following excerpt from the same report.
Pages 15-16: "Extending the horizon beyond
75 years increases the measured unfunded
obligation. Through the infinite horizon,
the unfunded obligation, or shortfall,
equals $20.5 trillion in present value,
which represents 3.9 percent of future
taxable payroll or 1.3 percent of future
GDP. The summarized shortfalls for the
75-year period and through the infinite
horizon both reflect annual cash-flow
shortfalls for all years after trust fund
exhaustion."
[108] Calculated with
data from Table 8 Alt2: "Trust Fund
Operations in Current Dollars, 2012-2090,
Intermediate Assumptions, 2012 Trustees
Report." United States Social Security
Administration, Office of the Chief Actuary.
Transmitted to Just Facts on May 14, 2012.
NOTE: An Excel file containing the data and
calculations is available
upon
request.
[109] Calculated with
data from Table 8 Alt2: "Trust Fund
Operations in Current Dollars, 2012-2090,
Intermediate Assumptions, 2012 Trustees
Report." United States Social Security
Administration, Office of the Chief Actuary.
Transmitted to Just Facts on May 14, 2012.
NOTE: An Excel file containing the data and
calculations is available
upon
request.
[110] "2010 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds." United States Social Security
Administration, August 9, 2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/2010/tr2010.pdf
Pages 63-64: "Consistent with practice since
1965, this report focuses on the 75-year
period (from 2010 to 2084 for this report)
for the evaluation of the long-run financial
status of the OASDI program on an open group
basis (i.e., including taxes and cost for
past, current, and future participants
through the year 2084)."
[111] Based upon reading dozens of articles
and editorials by leading publications, Just
Facts found that the press almost always
cites the 75-year open group unfunded
liability when discussing Social Security's
shortfalls, often without providing a
substantive explanation of what it means or
what the implications may be.
[112] "2012 Annual
Report of the Board of Trustees of The
Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and
Disability Insurance Trust Funds." United
States Social Security Administration, April
25, 2012.
http://www.ssa.gov/oact/tr/2012/tr2012.pdf
Page
63: "The present value of future cost less
future non-interest income over the
long-range period, minus the amount of trust
fund assets at the beginning of the
projection period, amounts to $8.6 trillion
for the OASDI [Social Security] program.
This amount is the 75-year 'open group
unfunded obligation'
."
Page 230 (Appendix):
Unfunded obligation. A measure of the
shortfall of trust fund income to fully
cover program cost through a specified date
after exhaustion of trust fund assets. This
measure is computed as the excess of the
present value of the projected cost of the
program through a specified date over the
sum of:
(1) the value of trust fund assets at the
beginning of the valuation period; and
(2) the present value of the projected
non-interest income of the program through a
specified date, assuming scheduled tax rates
and benefit levels. This measure can apply
for all participants through a specified
date, i.e. the open group, or be limited to
a specified subgroup of participants.
[113] Report: "Social Security and Medicare
Trust Funds and the Federal Budget." By
James Duggan and Christopher Soares. U.S.
Department of Treasury, Office of Economic
Policy, March 2008.
http://www.treas.gov/offices/economic-policy/...
Page 16:
Present values recognize that a dollar next
year is worth less than a dollar today,
because a dollar today could be saved and
earn a year's-worth of interest. To create a
present value, future amounts are thus
reduced using an assumed interest rate, and
those reduced amounts are summed. The
resulting present value is the amount that
would have to be put in the bank today at
the assumed interest rate to fund the future
cash flows.
[114] Calculated with
data from the "2012 Annual Report of the
Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds." United States Social Security
Administration, April 25, 2012.
http://www.ssa.gov/oact/tr/2012/tr2012.pdf
Page
6: "Table II.B1.Summary of 2011 Trust Fund
Financial Operations (billions $)
Total
income in 2011 [=] 805.1"
CALCULATION: $8,600 billion shortfall /
$805.1 billion income = 10.68
[115] Calculated with data from
the "2012 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds." United States Social Security
Administration, April 25, 2012.
http://www.ssa.gov/oact/tr/2012/tr2012.pdf
Pages 53-54: "Table IV.B2.Covered Workers
and Beneficiaries, Calendar Years 1945-2090
Covered workersa (in thousands)
2011 [=] 157,736
a Workers who are paid at some
time during the year for employment on which OASDI taxes are due."
CALCULATION: $8,600,000,000,000 shortfall /
157,736,000 workers = $54,521/worker
[116] "2010 Financial Report of the United
States Government." U.S. Department of the
Treasury, December 21, 2010.
http://www.fms.treas.gov/fr/10frusg/10frusg.pdf
Page 1: "The fiscal year (FY) 2010 Financial
Report of the United States Government
(Report) provides the President, Congress,
and the American people with a comprehensive
view of the Federal Government's finances,
i.e., its financial position and condition,
its revenues and costs, assets and
liabilities, and other obligations and
commitments."
Page 171: "The 75-year horizon
is
consistent with the primary focus of the
Social Security and Medicare Trustees'
Reports.
[W]hen calculating unfunded
obligations, a 75-year horizon includes
revenue from some future workers but only a
fraction of their future benefits.
"
Page 172: "The shorter [75-year] horizon
understates financial needs by capturing
relatively more of the revenues from current
and future workers and not capturing all of
the benefits that are scheduled to be paid
to them."
[117] "2010 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds." Board of Trustees of the
Federal OASDI Trust Funds, August 9, 2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/2010/tr2010.pdf
Page 65: "[The] closed group unfunded
obligation
represents the shortfall of
lifetime contributions for all past* and
current participants relative to the cost of
benefits for them."
NOTE: * The past participants wash out of
the "shortfall" calculation because all of
their benefits have already been paid.
Page 209 [appendix]: "Closed group
unfunded obligation. This measure is computed like
the open group unfunded obligation except
that individuals under the age of 15 (or not
yet born) are excluded. In other words, only
persons who attain age 15 or older during
the first year of the projection period are
included in the calculations."
[118] Calculated with
data from the "2012 Annual Report of the
Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds." United States Social Security
Administration, April 25, 2012.
http://www.ssa.gov/oact/tr/2012/tr2012.pdf
Page
6: "Table II.B1.Summary of 2011 Trust Fund
Financial Operations (In billions).
OASDI
Assets at the end of 2011
$ 2,677.9"
Page 67:
Table IV.B7.Present Values of OASDI [Social
Security] Cost Less Non-interest Income and
Unfunded Obligations for Program
Participants, Based on Intermediate
Assumptions [Present values as of January 1,
2012; dollar amounts in trillions]
[P]resent value of future cost for current
participants [=] 47.9
[P]resent value of future dedicated tax
income for current participants [=] 23.5
[P]resent value of future general fund
reimbursements over the infinite horizon
a [=] 0.1
a Distribution of general fund
reimbursements among past, current, and
future participants cannot be determined.
NOTES:
- The past participants wash out of the
shortfall calculation because their benefits
have already been paid.
- The general fund of the U.S. Treasury
is "used to carry out the general purposes
of Government rather than being restricted
by law to a specific program
." ["Internal
Revenue Manual." Internal Revenue Service.
Accessed January 11, 2011 at
http://www.irs.gov/irm/index.html. Part
1, Chapter 34, Section 1 (http://www.irs.gov/irm/part1/irm_01-034-001.html)]
- Prior to 2012, the Social Security
Trustees Report provided an explicit "closed
group unfunded obligation" for the Social
Security program. Since this figure is not
provided in the 2012 Report, Just Facts has
calculated it using the methodology provided
in the 2011 Report ["2011 Annual Report of
the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age
and Survivors Insurance and Disability
Insurance Trust Funds." United States Social
Security Administration, May 13, 2011.
http://www.ssa.gov/oact/tr/2011/tr2011.pdf.
Page 66: "The present value of future cost
reduced by future non-interest income over
the next 100 years for all current
participants1 equals $21.4
trillion. Subtracting the current value of
the trust fund gives a closed group unfunded
obligation of $18.8 trillion, which
represents the shortfall of lifetime
contributions for all past and current
participants relative to the cost of
benefits for them. ... 1
Individuals who attain age 15 or older in
2011."]
CALCULATION: $47.9 present value of future
cost for current participants - $23.5
present value of future dedicated tax income
for current participants - $0.1 present
value of future general fund reimbursements
over the infinite horizon $2.7 current
value of the trust fund = $21.6 closed group
unfunded obligation
[119] Calculated with data from
the "2012 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds." United States Social Security
Administration, April 25, 2012.
http://www.ssa.gov/oact/tr/2012/tr2012.pdf
Pages 53-54: "Table IV.B2.Covered Workers
and Beneficiaries, Calendar Years 1945-2090
Covered workersa (in thousands)
2011 [=] 157,736
a Workers who are paid at some
time during the year for employment on which OASDI taxes are due."
CALCULATION: $21,600,000,000,000 shortfall /
157,736,000 workers = $136,938/worker
[120] Report: "Enron: Selected Securities,
Accounting, and Pension Laws Possibly
Implicated in its Collapse." By Michael V. Seitzinger, Marie B. Morris, and Mark
Jickling. Congressional Research Service,
Library of Congress, January 16, 2002.
http://fpc.state.gov/documents/organization/7960.pdf
Page 2:
Among the disclosures of publicly traded
companies are accounting statements. Since
financial information is of little use to
investors unless all firms use comparable
accounting methods, the securities laws give
the Securities and Exchange Commission broad
authority to establish standards for
financial reporting. The SEC has delegated
the task of writing accounting standards to
private sector bodies, and since 1973 the
Financial Accounting Standards Board has
been charged with formulating accounting and
financial reporting standards.
[121] Summary of Statement No. 106:
"Employers' Accounting for Postretirement
Benefits Other Than Pensions." Financial
Accounting Standards Board, December 1990.
http://www.fasb.org/st/summary/stsum106.shtml
This Statement establishes accounting
standards for employers' accounting for
postretirement benefits other than
pensions
. It will significantly change the
prevalent current practice of accounting for
postretirement benefits on a pay-as-you-go
(cash) basis by requiring accrual, during
the years that the employee renders the
necessary service, of the expected cost of
providing those benefits to an employee and
the employee's beneficiaries and covered
dependents.
The Board believes that measurement of the
obligation and accrual of the cost based on
best estimates are superior to implying, by
a failure to accrue, that no obligation
exists prior to the payment of benefits. The
Board believes that failure to recognize an
obligation prior to its payment impairs the
usefulness and integrity of the employer's
financial statements.
The provisions of this Statement are
similar, in many respects, to those in FASB
Statements No. 87, Employers' Accounting for
Pensions, and No. 88, Employers' Accounting
for Settlements and Curtailments of Defined
Benefit Pension Plans and for Termination
Benefits.
This Statement relies on a basic premise of
generally accepted accounting principles
that accrual accounting provides more
relevant and useful information than does
cash basis accounting.
[L]ike accounting for other deferred
compensation agreements, accounting for
postretirement benefits should reflect the
explicit or implicit contract between the
employer and its employees.
[122] Book: Finance for Managers. By Richard Luecke and Samuel L. Hayes. Harvard Business
School Press, 2002. Page 39:
In contrast to cash-basis accounting,
accrual accounting records transactions as
they are made, whether or not the cash has
actually changed hands. Most companies of
any size use accrual accounting. This system
provides a better matching between revenues
and their associated cost, which helps
companies understand the true causes and
effect of business activities. Accordingly,
revenues are recognized during the period in
which the sales activities occur, whereas
expenses are recognized in the same period
as their associated revenues.
[123] Calculated with data from:
a)
Calculated with data from Table 8 Alt2:
"Trust Fund Operations in Current Dollars,
2012-2090, Intermediate Assumptions, 2012
Trustees Report." United States Social
Security Administration, Office of the Chief
Actuary. Transmitted to Just Facts on May
14, 2012.
"Year 2086
Assets (end of year) =
-$485,645,035,000,000"
NOTE: An Excel file containing the data is
available
upon
request.
b)
Table VI.F6: "Selected Economic Variables,
Calendar Years 2011-90." United States
Social Security Administration. Last
reviewed or modified April 23, 2012.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/2012/lr6f6.html
"Year 2086
Adjusted CPIa [=]
746.01
a
The adjusted CPI is the CPI-W indexed to
calendar year 2012."
CALCULATION: -485.6 trillion (2086 $) /
(746.01/100) = -65.1 trillion (2012 $)
[124] Calculated with
data from the footnote above and Table
IV.B2: "Covered Workers and Beneficiaries,
Calendar Years 1945-2090." United States
Social Security Administration, Office of
the Chief Actuary. Last reviewed or modified
April 23, 2012.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/2012/lr4b2.html
"Calendar year 2086
Covered workersa (in
thousands) [=] 235,881
a Workers who are
paid at some time during the year for
employment on which OASDI taxes are due."
CALCULATION: $65,100,000,000,000 /
235,881,000 = $275,987
[125] a) "2010 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds." United States Social Security
Administration, August 9, 2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/2010/tr2010.pdf
Page 64:
However, there are limitations on what can
be conveyed using summarized measures alone.
For example, overemphasis on summary
measures (such as the actuarial balance and
open group unfunded obligation) for the
75-year period can lead to incorrect
perceptions and policies that fail to
address financial sustainability for the
more distant future.
Another measure that reflects the continued,
and possibly increasing, annual shortfalls
after 75 years is the unfunded obligation
extended to the infinite horizon. The
extension assumes that the current-law OASDI
program and the demographic and economic
trends used for the 75-year projection
continue indefinitely.
b) "2012 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds." United States Social Security
Administration, April 25, 2012.
http://www.ssa.gov/oact/tr/2012/tr2012.pdf
Page
65: "Table IV.B6 reports that the OASDI open
group unfunded obligation over the infinite
horizon is $20.5 trillion, which is $11.9
trillion larger than for the 75-year period.
The $11.9 trillion increment reflects a
significant financing gap projected for
OASDI for years after 2086. Of course, the
degree of uncertainty associated with
estimates beyond 2086 is substantial."
[126] "2010 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds." Board of Trustees of the
Federal OASDI Trust Funds, August 9, 2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/2010/tr2010.pdf
Page 7.
[127] "2010 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds." United States Social Security
Administration, August 9, 2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/2010/tr2010.pdf
Page 7: "The intermediate demographic and
economic assumptions shown in table II.C1
reflect the Trustees' best estimates of
future experience, and therefore most of the
figures in this overview depict only the
outcomes under the intermediate assumptions.
Any projection of the future is, of course,
uncertain. For this reason, alternatives I
(low-cost) and III (high-cost) are included
to provide a range of possible future
experience."
Page 15: "Uncertainty of the Projections
Significant uncertainty surrounds the
intermediate assumptions."
[128] Graph constructed with data from:
a) Table 8.1 2001TR Alt2: "Trust Fund
Operations in Current Dollars, Intermediate
Assumptions, 2001 Trustees Report." United
States Social Security Administration,
Office of the Chief Actuary, February 13,
2001.
b) Table 8.1 2008TR Alt2: "Trust Fund
Operations in Current Dollars, Intermediate
Assumptions, 2008 Trustees Report." United
States Social Security Administration,
Office of the Chief Actuary. Transmitted to
Just Facts on October 16, 2008.
c)
Table 8 Alt2: "Trust Fund Operations in
Current Dollars, 2012-2090, Intermediate
Assumptions, 2012 Trustees Report." United
States Social Security Administration,
Office of the Chief Actuary. Transmitted to
Just Facts on May 14, 2012.
d) "2001 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds." United States Social Security
Administration, March 19, 2001.
http://www.ssa.gov/oact/tr/TR01/tr01.pdf
Page 3: "Table II.B1.Summary of 2000 Trust
Fund Financial Operations"
e)
"2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees
of The Federal Old-Age and Survivors
Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust
Funds." United States Social Security
Administration, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf
Page 4: "Table II.B1.Summary of 2007 Trust
Fund Financial Operations"
f) "2012 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds." United States Social Security
Administration, April 25, 2012.
http://www.ssa.gov/oact/tr/2012/tr2012.pdf
Page 6: "Table II.B1.Summary of 2011 Trust
Fund Financial Operations"
NOTE: An Excel file containing all of the
data cited above is available
upon
request.
[129] Graph constructed with data from:
a) Table 8.1 2001TR Alt2: "Trust Fund
Operations in Current Dollars, Intermediate
Assumptions, 2001 Trustees Report." United
States Social Security Administration,
Office of the Chief Actuary, February 13,
2001.
b)
Table 8.1 2010TR Alt2: "Trust Fund
Operations in Current Dollars, Intermediate
Assumptions, 2010 Trustees Report." United
States Social Security Administration,
Office of the Chief Actuary. Transmitted to
Just Facts on December 20, 2010.
c) "2001 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds." United States Social Security
Administration, March 19, 2001.
http://www.ssa.gov/oact/tr/TR01/tr01.pdf
Page 3: "Table II.B1.Summary of 2000 Trust
Fund Financial Operations"
d)
"2012 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees
of The Federal Old-Age and Survivors
Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust
Funds." United States Social Security
Administration, April 25, 2012.
http://www.ssa.gov/oact/tr/2012/tr2012.pdf
Page
6: "Table II.B1.Summary of 2011 Trust
Fund Financial Operations"
NOTE: An Excel file containing all of the
data cited above is available
upon
request.
[130] Dataset: "Old-Age, Survivors, and
Disability Insurance Trust Funds, 1957-2009
[In millions]." United States Social
Security Administration, Office of the Chief
Actuary. Last reviewed or modified Friday
February 12, 2010.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/OACT/STATS/table4a3.html
[131] Report: "Summary of Major Changes in
the Social Security Cash Benefits Program:
1935-1996." By Geoffrey Kollmann. Library of
Congress, Congressional Research Service.
Updated December 20, 1996.
http://www.ssa.gov/history/pdf/crs9436.pdf
Pages 13-14:
1977 Amendments
In 1973, the Social Security Board of
Trustees began to project financial problems
for the system in both the near and long
term. The financing problem grew worse
throughout the mid-seventies
.
Under the 1972 law, future benefit levels
were highly dependent upon the future
relationship of wage and price growth. As a
result, future benefits could be lower or
higher than intended, and the prevailing
view in the mid-1970s was that they would be
much higher than anticipated. In fact, it
was projected that if the benefit
computation rules were left unchanged,
benefits for many individuals retiring in
the future would exceed their earnings
before retirement.
The 1977 amendments were enacted primarily
to alleviate these financing problems. The
amendments increased future revenues by
raising tax rates and the earnings base
[taxable maximum], but more significantly,
they changed the benefit formula that was
raising initial benefits too rapidly.
These actions improved the forecasts of the
financial condition of the program
significantly. At the time of enactment, the
Social Security actuaries projected that the
OASDI trust funds would be solvent for the
next 50 years, although by a small margin in
the late 1970s and early 1980s.
Major provisions of the 1977 amendments:
Changed the benefit formula for those
reaching age 62, becoming disabled, or dying
in 1979 or later. Initial benefits would be
computed using a formula that would be
indexed to the growth in average wages over
the years, so that they would generally
maintain pace with the standard of living.
Increased tax rates slightly in 1979 and
1980, and more significantly in 1981 and
later. The ultimate OASDHI tax rate would be
7.65% on employees and employers, each, in
1990. (Formerly, the rate in 1990 was 6.45%
and the ultimate rate 7.45% in 2011.)
Increased the earnings base, on an ad hoc
basis, to $22,900 in 1979, $25,900 in 1980,
and $29,700 in 1981. After 1981, the base
would be adjusted automatically to keep up
with average wages as under the prior law.
[132] Web Page: Presidential Statements,
Jimmy Carter." United States Social Security
Administration. Accessed January 4, 2011.
http://www.ssa.gov/history/carterstmts.html
Social Security Amendments of 1977
Remarks at the Bill Signing Ceremony.
December 20, 1977
It is never easy for a politically elected
person to raise taxes. But the Congress has
shown sound judgment and political courage
in restoring the social security system to a
sound basis.
The most important thing, of course, is that
without this legislation, the social
security reserve funds would have begun to
be bankrupt in just a year or two, by 1979.
Now this legislation will guarantee that
from 1980 to the year 2030, the social
security funds will be sound. ...
Written Statement on Signing S.305 Into Law.
December 20, 1977
Taken together, these are tremendous
achievements and represent the most
important social security legislation since
the program was established.
[133] Dataset: "Old-Age, Survivors, and
Disability Insurance Trust Funds, 1957-2009
[In millions]." United States Social
Security Administration, Office of the Chief
Actuary. Last reviewed or modified Friday
February 12, 2010.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/OACT/STATS/table4a3.html
[134] Calculated with data from the citation
above and Table V.B1.: "Principal Economic
Assumptions, Calendar Years 1960-2084."
United States Social Security
Administration, Office of the Chief Actuary.
Last reviewed or modified August 5, 2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/2010/lr5b1.html
NOTE: An Excel file containing the data and
calculations is available
upon
request.
[135] Report: "Summary of Major Changes in
the Social Security Cash Benefits Program:
1935-1996." By Geoffrey Kollmann. Library of
Congress, Congressional Research Service.
Updated December 20, 1996.
http://www.ssa.gov/history/pdf/crs9436.pdf
Pages 16-17:
Although the 1977 amendments had been
projected to keep Social Security solvent
for 50 years, but with a fairly thin margin
of safety in the early 1980s the performance
of the economy was much worse than expected
in the years immediately following
enactment, and trust fund reserves continued
to decline rapidly. As forecasts of a cash
shortfall worsened, stopgap measures were
enacted to buy time for Congress to assess
the problem.
1983 Amendments
To resolve OASDI's [Social Security's]
financing problems President Reagan and
congressional leaders formed a bipartisan
panel, the National Commission on Social
Security Reform. In January 1983, a majority
of its members reached agreement on a
compromise solution that was estimated to
produce enough in additional OASDI income
and benefit reductions to solve the
short-range financing problem and reduce the
OASDI deficit projected over the next 75
years by two-thirds.
In March 1983, Congress incorporated the
Commission's recommendations, with some
modifications, as well as additional
provisions to resolve the remaining
long-range deficit, into the 1983 Social
Security Amendments. The major provisions of
the amendments included:
A gradual increase in the age of
eligibility for full retirement benefits
from age 65 to age 66 in 2009 and age 67 in
2027.
Coverage of federal civilian employees
hired after December 31, 1983, and most
current executive level political appointees
and elected officials (including Members of
Congress, the President, and the Vice
President) and Federal judges, effective
January 1984.
Compulsory coverage of all employees of
nonprofit organizations effective in January
1984 and a ban on the termination of
coverage of nonprofit organization and state
and local government employment after 1982.
A delay of the June 1983 Social Security
COLA to December 1983. All future COLAS
would also be effective in December.
Acceleration of scheduled tax increases
for employees and employers, with an
offsetting tax credit for employees for
1984; increase in the rates for the
self-employed to equal the combined
employee/employer rate but with partially
offsetting credits and deductions.
Inclusion of up to 50% of Social Security
benefits in the taxable income of higher
income beneficiaries and transfer of
projected revenues therefrom to the Social
Security trust funds. The income thresholds
(adjusted gross income plus one-half of
Social Security benefits) were set at
$25,000 for single individuals, $32,000 for
couples filing jointly, and zero for couples
filing separately.
[136] Editorial: "Attacking Social
Security." By Paul Krugman. New York Times,
August 15, 2010.
http://www.nytimes.com/2010/08/16/opinion/...
[137] "2010 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds." Board of Trustees of the
Federal OASDI Trust Funds, August 9, 2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/2010/tr2010.pdf
Page 57: "Even under the high-cost
assumptions, however, the combined OASI and
DI funds on hand plus their estimated future
income would be able to cover their combined
cost for 19 years (until 2029). Under the
intermediate assumptions, the combined
starting funds plus estimated future income
would be able to cover cost for 27 years
(until 2037). The program would be able to
cover cost for the foreseeable future under
the more optimistic low-cost assumptions."
[138] "2010 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds." Board of Trustees of the
Federal OASDI Trust Funds, August 9, 2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/2010/tr2010.pdf
Page 15.
[139] "2010 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds." Board of Trustees of the
Federal OASDI Trust Funds, August 9, 2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/2010/tr2010.pdf
Page 57.
[140] "2010 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds." Board of Trustees of the
Federal OASDI Trust Funds, August 9, 2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/2010/tr2010.pdf
Page 173:
The Trustees Report has traditionally shown
additional estimates using the low-cost and
high-cost sets of specified assumptions to
reflect the presence of uncertainty. These
additional estimates provide a range of
possible outcomes for the projections.
However, they provide no indication of the
probability that actual future experience
will be inside or outside the range of these
estimates. This appendix presents the
results of a model, based on stochastic
modeling techniques, that estimates a
probability distribution of future outcomes
of the financial status of the combined OASI
and DI Trust Funds.
It should be noted that this model is
subject to further development. Future
improvements and refinements are expected to
be more likely to expand, rather than
reduce, the indicated range of uncertainty.
Page 174: "The results from this model
should be interpreted with caution and with
an understanding of the inherent
limitations. Results are very sensitive to
equation specifications, degrees of
interdependence among variables, and the
historical periods used for the estimates.
Substantial shifts, as predicted by many
experts and as seen in prior centuries, are
not fully reflected in the current model."
Page 175:

Page 178: "Table VI.E1.Long-Range Estimates
Relating to the Actuarial Status of the
Combined OASDI Program
First year assets
become exhausted [Footnote c]
95-percent
confidence interval
2.5th percentile [=]
2030
97.5th percentile [=] 2055
[Footnote c: For some stochastic
simulations, the first year in which trust
fund assets become exhausted does not
indicate a permanent exhaustion of assets.]
[141] Dataset: "Covered
Workers and Beneficiaries." United States
Social Security Administration, Office of
the Chief Actuary. Last reviewed or modified
April 23, 2012.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/2012/lr4b2.html
[142] Summary of P.L. 98-21 (H.R. 1900):
"Social Security Amendments of 1983." Social
Security Administration, Office of
Legislative and Congressional Affairs,
November 26, 1984.
http://www.ssa.gov/history/1983amend.html
"Raises the age of eligibility for unreduced
retirement benefits in two stages to 67 by
the year 2027. Workers born in 1938 will be
the first group affected by the gradual
increase."
[143] Publication number 05-10024:
"Understanding the Benefits." United States
Social Security Administration, May 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/pubs/10024.html
For those born before 1938, the full
retirement age to qualify for Social
Security benefits is 65 years old.
For those born between 1938 and 1959, the
full retirement age to qualify for Social
Security benefits is defined by the
following chart:
For those born after 1959, the full
retirement age to qualify for Social
Security benefits is 67 years old.
[144] Publication No. 21-059: "Social
Security: A Brief History." United States
Social Security Administration, October
2007.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/history/pdf/2007historybooklet.pdf
Page 21: "[On January 31, 1940] Ida May
Fuller became the first person to receive an
old-age monthly benefit check."
[145] Calculated with
data from:
a) Publication number 05-10024:
"Understanding the Benefits." United States
Social Security Administration, May 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/pubs/10024.html
"For those born between 1938 and 1959, the
full retirement age to qualify for Social
Security benefits is defined by the
following chart
Year of Birth [=] 1943
1954
Full Retirement Age [=] 66"
b) Table V.A3.: "Period Life Expectancy."
United States Social Security
Administration, Office of the Chief Actuary.
Last reviewed or modified April 23, 2012.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/2012/lr5a3.html
"The period life expectancy at a given age
for a given year represents the average
number of years of life remaining if a group
of persons at that age were to experience
the mortality rates for that year over the
course of their remaining lives."
CALCULATIONS:
2011 65 years old = born in 1946, which
means a retirement age of 66
((17.7 11.9) (66-65)) / 11.9 = 40%
[146] Publication No. 21-059: "Social
Security: A Brief History." United States
Social Security Administration, October
2007.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/history/pdf/2007historybooklet.pdf
Page 21: "[On January 31, 1940] Ida May
Fuller became the first person to receive an
old-age monthly benefit check."
[147] Calculated with
data from:
a) Publication number 05-10024:
"Understanding the Benefits." United States
Social Security Administration, May 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/pubs/10024.html
"For those born between 1938 and 1959, the
full retirement age to qualify for Social
Security benefits is defined by the
following chart
Year of Birth [=] 1943
1954
Full Retirement Age [=] 66"
b) Table V.A3.: "Period Life Expectancy."
United States Social Security
Administration, Office of the Chief Actuary.
Last reviewed or modified April 23, 2012.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/2012/lr5a3.html
"The period life expectancy at a given age
for a given year represents the average
number of years of life remaining if a group
of persons at that age were to experience
the mortality rates for that year over the
course of their remaining lives."
CALCULATIONS:
2011 65 years old = born in 1946, which
means a retirement age of 66
((20.0 13.4) (66-65)) / 13.4 = 42%
[148] "2010 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds." Board of Trustees of the
Federal OASDI Trust Funds, August 9, 2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/2010/tr2010.pdf
NOTE: See pages 107-114, which explain
"automatically adjusted program parameters"
in detail.
[149] "2010 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds." Board of Trustees of the
Federal OASDI Trust Funds, August 9, 2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/2010/tr2010.pdf
Page 208: "Baby boom. The period from the
end of World War II (1946) through 1965
marked by unusually high birth rates."
[150] Table V.A1.: "Principal Demographic
Assumptions, Calendar Years 1940-2085."
United States Social Security
Administration, Office of the Chief Actuary.
Last reviewed or modified August 5, 2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/2010/lr5a1.html
"The total fertility rate for any year is
the average number of children who would be
born to a woman in her lifetime if she were
to experience the birth rates by age
observed in, or assumed for, the selected
year, and if she were to survive the entire
childbearing period."
[151] Table V.A1.: "Principal Demographic
Assumptions, Calendar Years 1940-2085."
United States Social Security
Administration, Office of the Chief Actuary.
Last reviewed or modified August 5, 2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/2010/lr5a1.html
NOTE: Data from 2006 is cited because it is
the latest available year that is not an
estimate.
[152] Article: "Medicare Bound to Bust as
First Boomers Hit 65." By Sharyl Attkisson. CBS, December 30, 2010.
http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2010/12/30/...
"On New Year's Day, the first baby boomers
will celebrate the big 6-5, and they're not
just getting older."
[153] Calculated
with data from Table IV.B2.: "Covered
Workers and Beneficiaries." United States
Social Security Administration, Office of
the Chief Actuary. Last reviewed or modified
April 23, 2012.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/2012/lr4b2.html
a Workers who are paid at some time during
the year for employment on which OASDI taxes
are due.
b Beneficiaries with monthly benefits in
current-payment status as of June 30.
CALCULATIONS:
(73,320,000 - 44,388,000) / 44,388,000 =
65.2%
(181,233,000 - 157,736,000) / 157,736,000 =
14.9%
[154] Calculated with data from the footnote
below:
Populations: (317,579,000 - 203,948,000) /
203,948,000 = 55.7%
Disability Beneficiaries: (10,614,000 -
1,739,000) / 1,739,000 = 510.3%
[155] "2012 Annual
Report of the Board of Trustees of The
Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and
Disability Insurance Trust Funds." United
States Social Security Administration, April
25, 2012.
http://www.ssa.gov/oact/tr/2012/tr2012.pdf
Page
87: "Table V.A2.Social Security Area
Population as of July 1 and Dependency
Ratios, Calendar Years 1950-2090
Population (in thousands)
Total
1965 [=]
203,948
2011 [Estimated] [=] 317,579"
Page 131: "Table V.C5.DI Beneficiaries With
Benefits in Current-Payment Status at the
End of Calendar Years 1960-2090 (in
thousands)
Total beneficiaries
1965 [=]
1,739
2011 [=] 10,614"
[156] Calculated with
data from the "2012 Annual Report of the
Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds." United States Social Security
Administration, April 25, 2012.
http://www.ssa.gov/oact/tr/2012/tr2012.pdf
Page
30: "Table III.A3.Operations of the
Combined OASI and DI Trust Funds, Calendar
Year 2011 [In millions].
Net
administrative expenses [=] $6,405
Total
disbursements [=] $736,083"
CALCULATION: $6,405 / $736,083 = 0.87%
NOTE: The "combined OASI and DI Trust Funds"
comprise the "Social Security Trust Fund."
See the column labeled "Assets at end of
year."
[157] Calculated with data from the footnote
above and Publication number 05-10024:
"Understanding the Benefits." United States
Social Security Administration, March 2012.
http://www.ssa.gov/pubs/10024.pdf
Page
21: "Average 2012 monthly Social Security
benefits
Retired worker: $1,229"
CALCULATION: ($6,405,000,000 administrative
expenses) / [($1,229 average
benefit/worker/month) Χ (12 months/per
year)] = 434,296 workers
[158] Study: "Administrative Costs of
Private Accounts in Social Security." By Ben
Page under the direction of Douglas Hamilton
and Robert Dennis. Congressional Budget
Office, Macroeconomic Analysis Division,
March 2004.
http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/52xx/doc5277/Report.pdf
Page 11:
The [Social Security] administrative costs
discussed above do not include the burden on
the private sector. Costs to firms and
individuals in the form of time and
increased paperwork are probably
substantial. However, it is difficult to
assess the administrative burden for
employers in dollar values because those
costs depend on the individual circumstances
of each employer (for example, their use of
electronic reporting and the size of their
workforce). Furthermore, it is difficult to
separate the cost to employers of processing
payroll tax contributions from other costs,
such as remitting income taxes withheld from
employees. For those reasons, this analysis
makes no attempt to estimate the
administrative burden on the private sector.
Evidence about the operation of labor
markets indicates that workers are likely to
bear most of that burden in the long run.
Page 9:
Employers bear the burden of the collection
costs. They collect payroll taxes from
employees and transfer them to the IRS
together with other withheld income taxes.
Most employers with $50,000 or less in total
income and payroll tax payments during a
four-quarter look-back period must deposit
the taxes withheld from wages within a month
after the wages are paid. Employers with
more than $50,000 in tax payments during
that period must deposit their taxes
semiweekly. Any employer who accrues a total
liability of $100,000 in one day must
deposit all withheld taxes by the following
day. The deposits can be made either at a
Federal Reserve Bank branch or at a
financial institution that is authorized by
the IRS. The IRS determines the tax payments
for the trust funds from the information
provided by employers on Form 941. Moreover,
tax payments on Social Security benefits are
transferred to the trust funds according to
the information on individual tax returns.
Employers are also responsible for
transmitting substantial amounts of
information to the SSA and the IRS.
Employers must report the wages subject to
Social Security taxes annually to the SSA.
The SSA receives a copy of each W-2 form
that is issued to employees for tax-filing
purposes at the beginning of the year,
detailing earnings and payroll taxes
withheld during the previous calendar year.
Moreover, employers must file form W-3,
which summarizes aggregate tax withholdings,
with the SSA. The IRS receives similar
aggregate tax information from employers
each quarter on Form 941. The self-employed
do not file their earnings reports directly
with the SSA. Instead, they calculate and
report their Social Security tax (also
called a self-employment tax) on schedule SE
of the income tax return. After processing
the tax form, the IRS furnishes the
information about taxable earnings of the
self-employed to the SSA.
[159] "Fiscal Year 2011
Performance and Accountability Report."
United States Social Security
Administration, November 7, 2011.
http://www.ssa.gov/finance/2011/Full FY 2011
PAR.pdf
Page 194: "Table 1: OASDI [Social Security]
Improper Payments Experience, FY [Fiscal
year] 2008 FY 2010 (dollars in millions)
FY 2010
Total benefit payments [=]
$695,469
Underpayments [=] $1,788 (0.25%)
Overpayments [=] $2,722 (0.39%)"
NOTE: Pages 211-212 detail the results of
overpayment collection measures used by the
Social Security Administration. There is no
way to calculate from this data how much of
the above-cited overpayments have been
collected.
[160] Calculated with data from the footnote
above and Publication number 05-10024:
"Understanding the Benefits." United States
Social Security Administration, January
2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/pubs/10024.html
"Average 2010 monthly Social Security
benefits
Retired worker: $1,164."
CALCULATION: ($2,722,000,000 improper
overpayments) / [($1,164 average
benefit/worker/month) Χ (12 months/per
year)] = 194,874 workers
[161] Report: "Benefit Payments in Instances
Where the Social Security Administration
Removed a Death Entry From the Beneficiary's
Record," United States Social Security
Administration, Office of the Inspector
General. June 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/oig/ADOBEPDF/A-06-07-27156.pdf
Page 2:
In instances when death reports are posted
in error, SSA deletes the death entry from
the DMF [death master file] ("resurrect" the
record) and, when applicable, reinstates
benefit payments. SSA employees may only
process transactions to resurrect a record
when presented with proof the original death
entry was posted in error. Unless the
mistake resulted from an administrative
error, the resurrection transaction should
not be processed before completion of a
face-to-face interview with the beneficiary
or recipient. To validate the integrity of
these transactions, SSA requires that two
employees be involved in the process. SSA
also requires that employees document the
events leading to and facts supporting the
transaction.
Since January 2004, SSA has provided us with
electronic files containing updates made to
the DMF, including instances when individual
records were removed from the DMF.
Preliminary analysis of these files
indicated that, from January 2004 through
April 2007, SSA deleted more than 44,000
individuals' death entries from the DMF. SSA
records indicated 20,623 of these
individuals were in current payment status
on or after April 27, 2007 and received
approximately $17.2 million in monthly SSA
benefit payments.
[162] Audit report: "Economic Recovery
Payments for Social Security and
Supplemental Security Income Beneficiaries."
United States Social Security
Administration, Office of the Inspector
General, September 2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/oig/ADOBEPDF/A-09-10-11017.pdf
Page 1: "ARRA [the American Recovery and
Reinvestment Act] provided for a one-time
ERP [Economic Recovery Payment] of $250 to
certain adult Social Security and
Supplemental Security Income (SSI)
beneficiaries."
Page 2: "SSA [The Social Security
Administration] was required to identify and
certify the Social Security and SSI
beneficiaries eligible for an ERP and
provide the Department of the Treasury
(Treasury) with the information to disburse
the payments.
In April 2009, SSA
identified all beneficiaries who met the
eligibility criteria from its payment
records. In May 2009, about 52 million
beneficiaries received their $250 payments,
totaling about $13 billion."
[163] Audit report: "Economic Recovery
Payments for Social Security and
Supplemental Security Income Beneficiaries."
United States Social Security
Administration, Office of the Inspector
General, September 2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/oig/ADOBEPDF/A-09-10-11017.pdf
Page 3:
Our review disclosed that 71,688
beneficiaries who were deceased before the
payment certification date received an ERP
[Economic Recovery Payment]. This included
63,481 beneficiaries whose deaths had been
reported to SSA [the Social Security
Administration]
.
ARRA [the American Recovery and Reinvestment
Act] states that an ERP shall not be issued
to any individual whose date of death occurs
before the date on which the individual is
certified to receive a payment. SSA policy
states that if a beneficiary is eligible to
receive an ERP, but dies before payment, no
ERP will be issued.
[164] Audit report: "Economic Recovery
Payments for Social Security and
Supplemental Security Income Beneficiaries."
United States Social Security
Administration, Office of the Inspector
General, September 2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/oig/ADOBEPDF/A-09-10-11017.pdf
Page 4:
The 1966 amendments to the [Social Security]
Act included a provision, referred to as the
Prouty amendment, that provides for special
payments to individuals aged 72 and older
who were too old to have worked long enough
after passage of the Act to be insured for
Social Security benefits.[footnote omitted]
Of the 71,688 deceased beneficiaries who
received an ERP [Economic Recovery Payment],
8,207 were Prouty beneficiaries whose deaths
were generally not reported to SSA [the
Social Security Administration]. Based on a
random sample of 50 beneficiaries, we found
these individuals were, according to SSA's
records, between the ages of 112 and 136 and
had not received a Social Security benefit
for at least 30 years.
The oldest
validated living centenarian in the United
States was age 114 as of November
2009.[footnote omitted]
As a result, we concluded it was unlikely
that any Prouty beneficiaries were entitled
to an ERP. SSA subsequently informed us
there was one Prouty beneficiary who was
still alive and eligible for an ERP.
When SSA determined these beneficiaries were
eligible for an ERP, it considered neither
the age of the beneficiaries nor the lack of
contact with these individuals in over 30
years.
NOTES:
- Given that the Prouty amendment was
enacted in 1966 and applies to people who
were aged 72 and older at that time, the
latest birth date for any worker to whom
this law applies is 1894 (1966 72 = 1894).
- Given that the stimulus passed in 2009,
the youngest of these workers would have
been 115-years-old at the time (2009 1894
= 115), which is one year older than the
oldest living person as of November 2009.
- Given that the Inspector General found
someone as young as 112 years who had
received a check under this law, this may be
an error in Social Security's records or
reflect a stipulation of the law. Thus, Just
Facts cites an estimate of 8,000 people
instead of the 8,207 people who posthumously
received a check under this law.
[165] Audit report: "Economic Recovery
Payments for Social Security and
Supplemental Security Income Beneficiaries."
United States Social Security
Administration, Office of the Inspector
General, September 2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/oig/ADOBEPDF/A-09-10-11017.pdf
Page 4: "Based on a random sample of 50
beneficiaries, we found these individuals
were, according to SSA's records, between
the ages of 112 and 136."
NOTE: Given that the individual was
136-years-old and the law was implemented in
2009, this person was born in 1873 (2009
136 = 1873).
[166] Article: "Dead People Get Stimulus
Checks." My Fox New York, May 14, 2009.
http://www.myfoxny.com/dpp/your_money/...
Antoniette Santopadre of Valley Stream was
expecting a $250 stimulus check. But when
her son finally opened it, they saw that the
check was made out to her father, Romolo
Romonini, who died in Italy 34 years ago.
He'd been a U.S. citizen when he left for
Italy in 1933, but only returned to the
United Stated for a seven-month visit in
1969.
Romonini
[was] never even part of the
Social Security system.
[167] "The Social Security Act of 1935."
United States Social Security
Administration.
http://www.ssa.gov/history/35act.html
[168] Audit report: "Economic Recovery
Payments for Social Security and
Supplemental Security Income Beneficiaries."
United States Social Security
Administration, Office of the Inspector
General, September 2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/oig/ADOBEPDF/A-09-10-11017.pdf
Page 2: "Finally, ARRA [the American
Recovery and Reinvestment Act] did not
provide the authority for SSA [the Social
Security Administration] or Treasury to
reclaim erroneous ERPs [Economic Recovery
Payments] issued to deceased
beneficiaries.."
Page 4: "[S]ince SSA could not initiate
reclamation for the ERPs, it only received
returned checks or credits for 26 (52
percent) of the 50 beneficiaries in our
sample."
[169] Report: "Social Security
Administration: Cases of Federal Employees
and Transportation Drivers and Owners Who
Fraudulently and/or Improperly Received SSA
Disability Payments." United States
Government Accountability Office, June 25,
2010.
http://www.gao.gov/new.items/d10444.pdf
Preface:
GAO [The Government Accountability Office]
was asked to (1) determine whether federal
employees and commercial drivers and company
owners may be improperly receiving
disability benefits and (2) develop case
study examples of individuals who
fraudulently and/or improperly receive these
benefits. To do this, GAO compared DI
[Disability Insurance] and SSI [Supplemental
Security Income*] benefit data to civilian
payroll records of certain federal agencies
and carrier/driver records from the
Department of Transportation (DOT) and 12
selected states.
* Page 6: "Created in 1972, the SSI program
is a nationwide federal cash benefit program
administered by SSA [the Social Security
Administration] that provides a minimum
level of income to financially needy
individuals who are aged, blind, or
considered eligible for benefits because of
physical or mental impairments. Payments
under the SSI program
and are funded from
the government's General Fund, which is
financed through tax payments from the
American public."
[170] Report: "Social Security
Administration: Cases of Federal Employees
and Transportation Drivers and Owners Who
Fraudulently and/or Improperly Received SSA
Disability Payments." United States
Government Accountability Office, June 25,
2010.
http://www.gao.gov/new.items/d10444.pdf
Preface: "SSA currently does not perform a
federal payroll or DOT records match to
identify individuals improperly receiving
benefits."
Page 34 (Appendix IV, Comments from the
Social Security Administration): "While SSA
conducts a match of its beneficiary file to
IRS data for all wage earners, it does not
match its records to Federal payroll or DOT
data to potentially identify persons who may
be improperly receiving benefits."
Page 44 (General Accounting Office comments
on the Social Security Administration's
letter dated May 28, 2010): "IRS provides
summary earnings data for a calendar year.
We have previously reported that the IRS
earnings data used by SSA in its enforcement
operations are typically 12 to 18 months old
when SSA first receives them, thus making
some overpayments inevitable."
[171] Report: "Social Security
Administration: Cases of Federal Employees
and Transportation Drivers and Owners Who
Fraudulently and/or Improperly Received SSA
Disability Payments." United States
Government Accountability Office, June 25,
2010.
http://www.gao.gov/new.items/d10444.pdf
Page 44 (General Accounting Office comments
on the Social Security Administration's
letter dated May 28, 2010):
In the report, we identify those cases where
SSA has sent an overpayment notification
letter to the individual. However, we do not
believe that identifying fraudulent or
improper payments after dollars have been
disbursed is an effective internal control.
Our work across the government has shown
that once fraudulent or improper payments
are made, the government is likely to only
recover pennies on the dollar. Preventive
controls are the most efficient and
effective.
[172] Report: "Social Security
Administration: Cases of Federal Employees
and Transportation Drivers and Owners Who
Fraudulently and/or Improperly Received SSA
Disability Payments." United States
Government Accountability Office, June 25,
2010.
http://www.gao.gov/new.items/d10444.pdf
Pages 7-8:
It is impossible to determine from data
mining alone the extent to which
beneficiaries improperly or fraudulently
received disability payments. To adequately
assess an individual's work status, a
detailed evaluation of all the facts and
circumstances should be conducted. This
evaluation would include contacting the
beneficiary and the beneficiary's employer,
obtaining corroborating evidence such as
payroll data and other financial records,
and evaluating the beneficiary's daily
activities.
Our analysis of federal civilian salary data
and SSA disability data found that about
7,000 individuals at selected agencies had
been wage-earning employees for the federal
government while receiving SSA disability
benefits during fiscal year 2008. The exact
number of individuals who may be improperly
or fraudulently receiving SSA disability
payments cannot be determined without
detailed case investigations. Our analysis
of federal salary data from October 2006
through December 2008 found that about 1,500
federal employees' records indicate that
they may be improperly receiving payments.
[Footnote 11] The individuals were
identified using the following criteria: (1)
DI beneficiaries who received more than 12
months of federal salary payments above the
maximum SSA earnings threshold for the DI
program (e.g., $940 per month for nonblind
DI beneficiaries during calendar year 2008)
after the start date of their
disabilities[Footnote 12] or (2) SSI
recipients who received more than 2
months[Footnote 13] of federal salary above
the maximum SSA earnings threshold for the
SSI program after the start date of their
disabilities.[Footnote 14] Based on their
SSA benefit amounts, we estimate that these
approximately 1,500 federal employees
received about $1.7 million of payments
monthly.
[Footnote 11] The actual estimate of federal
employees who may be improperly receiving
benefits was 1,487.
[Footnote 16] Our estimate of federal employees with
potential improper payment indicators is
likely underestimated. It does not include
salary payments that these individuals may
have received outside of the federal
government. Also, we had only the net pay
amounts for federal employees disbursed by
Department of the Treasury, not gross pay.
For these employees the salary we used was
reduced for deductions such as health
insurance, income taxes, and other
withholdings.
[173] Report: "Social Security
Administration: Cases of Federal Employees
and Transportation Drivers and Owners Who
Fraudulently and/or Improperly Received SSA
Disability Payments." United States
Government Accountability Office, June 25,
2010.
http://www.gao.gov/new.items/d10444.pdf
Page 3: "[Footnote 9] The 12 selected states
were California, Florida, Illinois,
Kentucky, Maryland, Michigan, Minnesota,
Montana, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia, and
Wisconsin. The 12 states were selected
primarily based on the size of the licensed
commercial driver population. These 12
selected states represented about 42 percent
of all commercial driver's licenses
contained in CDLIS."
Pages 9-10:
Our analysis of data from DOT on commercial
drivers and from SSA on disability
beneficiaries found that about 600,000
individuals had been issued CDLs and were
receiving full Social Security disability
benefits. The actual number of SSA
disability beneficiaries with active CDLs
cannot be determined for two reasons. First,
states maintain the current status of CDLs,
not DOT.[Footnote 17] Second, possession of
a CDL does not necessarily indicate that the
individual returned to work. Because federal
regulations require interstate commercial
drivers to be examined and certified by a
licensed medical examiner to be able to
physically drive a commercial vehicle once
every 2 years, we selected a
nonrepresentative selection of 12 states
[Footnote 18] to determine how many SSA
disability beneficiaries had CDLs issued
after their disabilities were determined by
SSA. Of the 600,000 CDL holders receiving
Social Security disability benefits, about
144,000 of these individuals were from our
12 selected states. As figure 2 shows, about
62,000 of these 144,000 individuals, or
about 43 percent, had CDLs that were issued
after SSA determined that the individuals
met the federal requirements for full
disability benefits.
Page 7:
It is impossible to determine from data
mining alone the extent to which
beneficiaries improperly or fraudulently
received disability payments. To adequately
assess an individual's work status, a
detailed evaluation of all the facts and
circumstances should be conducted. This
evaluation would include contacting the
beneficiary and the beneficiary's employer,
obtaining corroborating evidence such as
payroll data and other financial records,
and evaluating the beneficiary's daily
activities.
[174] Report: "Social Security
Administration: Cases of Federal Employees
and Transportation Drivers and Owners Who
Fraudulently and/or Improperly Received SSA
Disability Payments." United States
Government Accountability Office, June 25,
2010.
http://www.gao.gov/new.items/d10444.pdf
Pages 3-4:
To illustrate actual cases of fraudulent
payments and/or improper payments from our
overall analysis, we nonrepresentatively
selected 20 cases that illustrate the types
of fraudulent and improper activity we found
in SSA disability programs. The 20 cases
were primarily selected based on our
analysis of SSA electronic and paper files
for the higher overpayment amounts, the
types of employment, and the locations of
employment. Because this is a
nonrepresentative selection, the results of
these 20 case investigations cannot be
projected to other federal employees,
commercial drivers, or commercial vehicle
owners who received SSA disability payments.
[175] Report: "Social Security
Administration: Cases of Federal Employees
and Transportation Drivers and Owners Who
Fraudulently and/or Improperly Received SSA
Disability Payments." United States
Government Accountability Office, June 25,
2010.
http://www.gao.gov/new.items/d10444.pdf
Page 11: "[W]e nonrepresentatively selected
20 examples of federal employees, commercial
drivers, and registrants of commercial
vehicle companies who received disability
payments fraudulently and/or improperly.
In each case, SSA's internal controls did
not prevent improper and fraudulent
payments
."
[176] Report: "Social Security
Administration: Cases of Federal Employees
and Transportation Drivers and Owners Who
Fraudulently and/or Improperly Received SSA
Disability Payments." United States
Government Accountability Office, June 25,
2010.
http://www.gao.gov/new.items/d10444.pdf
Preface: "SSA continued to improperly pay
individuals who informed SSA of their
employment."
Page 11: "For 10 of the 20 cases, SSA
continued to pay these individuals their SSA
disability benefits through October 2009
primarily because the agency had not yet
identified their ineligibility for benefits.
For the other cases, SSA has terminated the
disability benefits and has negotiated
repayment agreements for 2 of those cases."
Page 12:
Finally, our investigations found four cases
with no evidence of fraud but, rather, of
administrative error. In these situations,
the beneficiaries told our investigators
that they reported their employment to SSA
and SSA had evidence in its files that such
contact did occur. Thus, we concluded that
SSA made improper payments to these
individuals because SSA was aware of the
employment but continued to make disability
payments to those individuals.
NOTE: In at least one case, the SSA took
action only after GAO informed them of the
problem [Page 19: "The SSA Office of
Inspector General opened an investigation of
the employee after we informed the agency of
her employment status
."].
[177] Report: "Social Security
Administration: Cases of Federal Employees
and Transportation Drivers and Owners Who
Fraudulently and/or Improperly Received SSA
Disability Payments." United States
Government Accountability Office, June 25,
2010.
http://www.gao.gov/new.items/d10444.pdf
Page 28: "For 18 cases, SSA sent the SSA
beneficiaries and recipients the $250
economic stimulus check."
[178] Report: "Social Security
Administration: Cases of Federal Employees
and Transportation Drivers and Owners Who
Fraudulently and/or Improperly Received SSA
Disability Payments." United States
Government Accountability Office, June 25,
2010.
http://www.gao.gov/new.items/d10444.pdf
Page 28: "For 10 cases, SSA improperly
increased the benefit amounts of the
disability payments because the individuals
had increases in the reported wages on which
the disability benefit payments are based."
Preface: "Using a process called Automated
Earnings Reappraisal Operations (AERO), SSA
examined the earnings for several
individuals and automatically increased
these individuals' disability payments
because of raises in salary from their
federal employment."
Pages 12-13:
SSA has an automated process, called
Automated Earnings Reappraisal Operations
(AERO), that screens changes in an
individual's earnings record and uses that
information to compute changes in the
monthly disability benefit payment.[Footnote
21] However, SSA currently does not use AERO
to identify individuals who return to work
and alert SSA staff to review these
individuals' records for possible suspension
of disability payments. As a result, SSA
increased the monthly disability benefits of
several individuals based on the higher
wages the individuals' current employers
reported to the agency but did not properly
suspend the payments to those individuals.
Page 26:
Case no. 18 Details
The beneficiary was a mail clerk for the
U.S. Postal Service who worked in New York.
The estimated overpayment was about $58,000
In November 2006, SSA notified the
beneficiary that based on wages earned in
2005 his benefits would be increased;
In November 2007, SSA notified the
beneficiary that based on wages earned in
2006 his benefits would be increased;
In November 2008, SSA notified the
beneficiary that based on wages earned in
2007 his benefits would be increased;
As of October 2009, SSA continued to pay
the beneficiary a monthly benefit of $1,775.
SSA also sent the beneficiary a $250
economic stimulus payment.
[179] Report: "Social Security
Administration: Cases of Federal Employees
and Transportation Drivers and Owners Who
Fraudulently and/or Improperly Received SSA
Disability Payments." United States
Government Accountability Office, June 25,
2010.
http://www.gao.gov/new.items/d10444.pdf
Page 19:
Case no. 8 Details
The beneficiary was a legal assistant for
SSA who worked in Arizona. The estimated
overpayment was about $11,000;
SSA approved DI payments starting in 2003
for affective/mood disorders and
osteoarthrosis;
The beneficiary began working for SSA in
the third quarter of 2007
In November 2008, SSA notified the
beneficiary that based on wages earned in
2007 her benefits would be increased;
The SSA Office of Inspector General opened
an investigation of the employee after we
informed the agency of her employment
status;
According to SSA officials, SSA disability
programs do not have access to SSA's payroll
records to determine whether their employees
are receiving disability payments and thus
should be evaluated for eligibility;
[180] Report: "Social Security
Administration: Cases of Federal Employees
and Transportation Drivers and Owners Who
Fraudulently and/or Improperly Received SSA
Disability Payments." United States
Government Accountability Office, June 25,
2010.
http://www.gao.gov/new.items/d10444.pdf
Page 16:
Case no. 2 Details
The beneficiary was a Transportation
Safety Administration screener who worked in
California. The estimated overpayment was
about $108,000;
SSA approved DI payments starting in 1995
for mood and anxiety disorders;
The beneficiary began full-time federal
employment in 2003.
In November 2005, SSA notified the
beneficiary that based on wages earned in
2004 her benefits would be increased
In November 2007, SSA notified the
beneficiary that based on wages earned in
2006 her benefits would be increased
.
The beneficiary resides in a house that is
currently listed for sale at about
$1,800,000.
[181] Report: "Social Security
Administration: Cases of Federal Employees
and Transportation Drivers and Owners Who
Fraudulently and/or Improperly Received SSA
Disability Payments." United States
Government Accountability Office, June 25,
2010.
http://www.gao.gov/new.items/d10444.pdf
Page 13:
Certain individuals who claim that they are
unable to immediately repay the disability
benefits they improperly received can be put
on long-term repayment plans that span years
or decades. Although SSA has the authority
to charge interest and penalties, SSA did
not do so on these agreements. As a result,
several individuals from our cases were
placed in long-term, interest-free repayment
plans for improperly accepting disability
overpayments. For 1 of our 20 cases, SSA
placed an individual on a repayment plan to
repay approximately $33,000 in overpayments
through $20 monthly installments. Based on
this agreement, it will take over 130 years
to repay this debt, exceeding the life
expectancy for this individual.
Page 24:
The beneficiary was a psychology aide for
the Department of Veterans Affairs who
worked in Florida. The estimated overpayment
was about $33,000.
SSA approved DI payments starting in 1996
for muscular dystrophy.
In September 2008, SSA notified the
beneficiary that "your disability has ended
and you are not entitled to payments." The
notice stated that the trial work period
ended in September 1998, 10 years prior.
In November 2008, SSA notified the
beneficiary that based on the wages he
earned in 2007, it would be increasing his
benefits. The agency also noted that it
would send a payment of $4,478 on or about
December 3, 2008, that would include the new
regular monthly benefit, plus the difference
between what SSA actually paid in 2008 and
what it should have paid according to the
wage increase.
In January 2009, SSA notified the
beneficiary that it had paid him $32,858 too
much in benefits. SSA stated that he should
refund this overpayment within 30 days. SSA
placed the beneficiary in a repayment plan
for $20 per month.
[182] Audit report: "Administrative Finality
in the Old-Age, Survivors and Disability
Insurance Program." United States Social
Security Administration, Office of the
Inspector General, September 24, 2007.
http://199.173.225.108/oig/ADOBEPDF/A-01-07-27029.pdf
Page 2:
Once SSA [the Social Security
Administration] determines the payment
amount due a beneficiary, that determination
may be reopened and revised later under
certain conditions. The discretionary rules
that SSA uses to reopen and revise
determinations are known as the rules of
administrative finality.[Footnote 4]
Under administrative finality, SSA will
generally revise an incorrect OASDI [Social
Security] payment amount if the error is
discovered within 4 years. However, if the
error is discovered after 4 years, the
Agency will generally only revise the
payment determination if it was obtained by
fraud or similar fault or it was wholly or
partially unfavorable to the beneficiary as
a result of a clerical error or error on the
face of the evidence.[Footnote 5]
If administrative finality is applied, a
revision will only be made when SSA makes a
new payment determination-such as when
benefits are converted from disability to
retirement upon a beneficiary's attainment
of full retirement age. If a new
determination is not made, the payment
amounts will not be revised and will
continue until death.
[183] Regulations at 20 CFR 416.1487
416.1494: "Title XVI Administrative Finality
Background." Last revised June 28, 2007.
Accessed January 10, 2011 at
https://secure.ssa.gov/poms.nsf/lnx/0504070001
When it has been determined that an
individual is eligible for SSI payments,
he/she should be able to rely on that
determination. Moreover, it is a well
established principle in Federal payment
programs that, generally, the administrative
agency should not be required to establish
findings of fact after the lapse of a
considerable time from the date of the
events involved.
The rules regarding administrative finality
are set by regulation, not statute, under
the Commissioner's rulemaking authority
under Section 1631(a) (1) of the Social
Security Act. The regulatory language
parallels administrative finality
regulations for Titles II and XVIII.
[184] United States Code Title 42, Chapter
7, Subchapter VII, Section 902:
"Commissioner; Deputy Commissioner; other
officers."
http://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/42/902.html
(1) There shall be in the Administration a
Commissioner of Social Security (in this
subchapter referred to as the
"Commissioner") who shall be appointed by
the President, by and with the advice and
consent of the Senate.
(3) The Commissioner shall be appointed for
a term of 6 years, except that the initial
term of office for Commissioner shall
terminate January 19, 2001. In any case in
which a successor does not take office at
the end of a Commissioner's term of office,
such Commissioner may continue in office
until the entry upon office of such a
successor. A Commissioner appointed to a
term of office after the commencement of
such term may serve under such appointment
only for the remainder of such term. An
individual serving in the office of
Commissioner may be removed from office only
pursuant to a finding by the President of
neglect of duty or malfeasance in office.
NOTE: As per the link on this page entitled,
How current is this?, "Title 42 of the US
Code as currently published by the US
Government reflects the laws passed by
Congress as of Feb. 1, 2010, and it is this
version that is published here."
[185] Audit report: "Administrative Finality
in the Old-Age, Survivors and Disability
Insurance Program." United States Social
Security Administration, Office of the
Inspector General, September 24, 2007.
http://199.173.225.108/oig/ADOBEPDF/A-01-07-27029.pdf
Page 2: "We initiated this current review to
assess the full impact of administrative
finality on the OASDI program. To accomplish
our objective, we identified a population of
77,969 OASDI beneficiaries who were
receiving benefits as of June 2005 and whose
benefit records indicated that
administrative finality was involved. From
this population, we selected a random sample
of 275 cases for detailed analysis."
[186] Audit report: "Administrative Finality
in the Old-Age, Survivors and Disability
Insurance Program." United States Social
Security Administration, Office of the
Inspector General, September 24, 2007.
http://199.173.225.108/oig/ADOBEPDF/A-01-07-27029.pdf
Page 2:
Of the 275 beneficiaries in our sample:
156 (57 percent) were paid more in OASDI
benefits than they otherwise would have been
paid because of administrative finality;
99 (36 percent) may have received more
OASDI benefits because of administrative
finality, but we were unable to quantify the
amount because there was insufficient
information available; and
20 (7 percent) were unaffected by
administrative finality.[Footnote 9]
[187] Audit report: "Administrative Finality
in the Old-Age, Survivors and Disability
Insurance Program." United States Social
Security Administration, Office of the
Inspector General, September 24, 2007.
http://199.173.225.108/oig/ADOBEPDF/A-01-07-27029.pdf
Page 3:
We estimate SSA identified about 44,230
beneficiaries whose benefits had been
incorrectly calculated, but the Agency did
not revise the amounts because of its
administrative finality rules. As a result,
we estimate these individuals were paid
about $140.5 million more in OASDI benefits
than they otherwise would have been paid had
the errors not occurred. We also estimate
about 25,801 of these beneficiaries will be
paid an additional $49.8 million in the
future because their ongoing benefits were
not corrected when the Agency identified the
calculation errors.
NOTE: Details on the methodology are given
in Appendix C of the report.
[188] Audit report: "Administrative Finality
in the Old-Age, Survivors and Disability
Insurance Program." United States Social
Security Administration, Office of the
Inspector General, September 24, 2007.
http://199.173.225.108/oig/ADOBEPDF/A-01-07-27029.pdf
Page 5:
CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATION
Based on our analysis, we estimate that
SSA's administrative finality rules cost the
OASDI program about $190 million. We
recognize that SSA established the rules, in
part, to help protect beneficiaries from
hardships that could result from the
correction of Agency errors. However, OASDI
beneficiaries should be paid the benefits
they were intended to receive based on the
formulas provided in the Social Security
Act. We believe that, when SSA discovers
errors in the payments to beneficiaries, the
Agency should correct them rather than
continuing the errors in future benefit
payments. By invoking administrative
finality and not correcting the errors, the
beneficiaries receive extra monies that cost
the OASDI trust funds millions of dollars.
[189] Audit report: "Administrative Finality
in the Old-Age, Survivors and Disability
Insurance Program." United States Social
Security Administration, Office of the
Inspector General, September 24, 2007.
http://199.173.225.108/oig/ADOBEPDF/A-01-07-27029.pdf
Pages D1-D3 (Appendix IV, Comments from the
Social Security Administration):
Date: June 19, 2007
As noted above, ongoing readjudication of
claims would place an administrative burden
on the Agency's resources, as well as impact
the public's reliance on the government's
decision. Our regulations state that four
years is a reasonable time limit for us to
identify and correct any error on our
records. Correcting a record more than four
years in the past could cause undue hardship
for our beneficiaries, as well as create
extensive public relations issues for the
Agency. We are concerned that making
decisions to correct and reduce beneficiary
payments beyond the four year time span may
erode public trust for our Social Security
programs. Any changes in the existing rules
would need to be carefully weighed to
determine the potential impact of any
changes on both the beneficiaries and the
Agency. At this time we do not agree that it
would be in the Social Security program's
best interest to perform ongoing OASDI
benefit recalculations, as to do so would
require additional administrative resources
and/or the deferral of other Agency work.
Pages 6-7 (Office of Inspector General's
comments on the Social Security
Administration's letter dated June 19,
2007):
We are disappointed that SSA disagreed with
our recommendation and, instead, decided
that the Agency's administrative finality
rules should remain unchanged without first
conducting additional analysis. Not only is
the decision to continue with the status quo
inconsistent with the Agency's mantra of
continuous improvement, it impedes the
Agency's ability to optimize its efficiency.
According to SSA, the Agency established its
4-year administrative finality regulations
in 1949 in part "due to the need to limit
reopenings because of their serious impact
on SSA's workloads." SSA speculated that it
would "incur significant operational costs
by not having administrative finality,"
stating that our recommendation would
require the Agency to make "many additional
benefit amount recalculations and
readjudications." However, we note that SSA
has automated much of the work that was-at
the time the regulations were initially
adopted-performed manually by employees. The
Agency has an automated system in place
which examines the earnings of every
retired, disabled and deceased worker each
year to determine whether the worker's
primary insurance amount may be recomputed.
In these situations, the actual cost to the
Agency to effectuate the change in the
benefit amounts after the recalculations are
performed may, in fact, be insignificant.
The Agency stated that "correcting a record
more than four years in the past could cause
undue hardship for our beneficiaries."
However, our recommendation focuses on the
ongoing monthly payments and not the
benefits that were paid in the past, before
the payment errors were discovered. We
realize that the administrative finality
rules limit the circumstances under which
the Agency will revise prior determinations.
We believe SSA should explore the
possibility of making new payment
determinations-and correcting the monthly
benefit amounts going forward-whenever new
information comes to surface that questions
the accuracy of the amount of benefits being
paid, and revisions to the previously-issued
payments are not possible because of
administrative finality.
SSA expressed concern that changing the
administrative finality rules and correcting
and reducing benefit payments "may erode
public trust for our Social Security
programs." However, the Agency's decision to
not take action to correct administrative
errors when they are discovered may also
have a negative impact. Because of the
Agency's discretionary administrative
finality rules, some beneficiaries are
knowingly paid more in benefits than they
were intended to receive based on the
formulas provided in the Social Security
Act. Public confidence in the programs may
be diminished when some individuals are paid
additional benefits, while others are not.
[190] Transcript: "NBC Nightly News" (6:30
PM ET). NBC, February 26, 2004.
BRIAN WILLIAMS reporting: Inside this small
private elementary school in Manhattan, Mimi
Baso came to work this morning thinking
about retirement. She has no plans to retire
but these days worries about getting back
all the Social Security money she paid in.
Ms. MIMI BASO: I am entitled to the money.
It's my money. I've saved it.
NOTE: Just Facts has found numerous comments
of this type scattered throughout the
Internet. The following footnote provides an
example of imprecise rhetoric from a
politician that could establish and/or
reinforce such beliefs.
[191] Web Page: Presidential Statements,
Jimmy Carter." United States Social Security
Administration. Accessed January 4, 2011.
http://www.ssa.gov/history/carterstmts.html
"Social Security Amendments of 1977
Written
Statement on Signing S.305 Into Law.
December 20, 1977
Most importantly, it
[the bill]
further assures today's workers
that the hard-earned taxes they are paying
into the system today will be available upon
their retirement."
[192] "2010 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds." Board of Trustees of the
Federal OASDI Trust Funds, August 9, 2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/2010/tr2010.pdf
Page 221: "Funds not withdrawn for current
monthly or service benefits, the financial
interchange, and administrative expenses are
invested in interest-bearing Federal
securities, as required by law; the interest
earned is also deposited in the trust
funds."
[193] Research Note #20: "The Social
Security Trust Funds and the Federal
Budget." By Larry DeWitt. United States
Social Security Administration, Historian's
Office, March 4, 2005, Updated 6/18/07.
http://www.ssa.gov/history/BudgetTreatment.html
Since the assets in the Social Security
trust funds consists of Treasury securities,
this means that the taxes collected under
the Social Security payroll tax are in
effect being lent to the federal government
to be expended for whatever present purposes
the government requires. In this indirect
sense, one could say that the Social
Security trust funds are being spent for
non-Social Security purposes. However, all
this really means is that the trust funds
hold their assets in the form of Treasury
securities.
[194] Web page: "Debt versus Deficit: What's
the Difference?" United States Department of
the Treasury, Bureau of the Public Debt.
Last updated August 5, 2004. Last Updated
October 10, 2008.
http://www.treasurydirect.gov/news/pressroom/...
"Additionally, the Government Trust Funds
are required by law to invest accumulated
surpluses in Treasury securities. The
Treasury securities issued to the public and
to the Government Trust Funds
(intragovernmental holdings) then become
part of the total debt."
NOTE: More facts about how Social Security
surpluses become part of the national debt
are contained in the section:
Impact on
National Debt.
[195] An accounting of all Social Security
tax receipts and expenditures since the
program's inception is
provided here.
[196] Web page: "Supreme Court Case: Flemming vs. Nestor." United States Social
Security Administration. Accessed January 5,
2011 at
http://www.ssa.gov/history/nestor.html
There
has been a temptation throughout the
program's history for some people to suppose
that their FICA payroll taxes entitle them
to a benefit in a legal, contractual sense.
That is to say, if a person makes FICA
contributions over a number of years,
Congress cannot, according to this
reasoning, change the rules in such a way
that deprives a contributor of a promised
future benefit. Under this reasoning,
benefits under Social Security could
probably only be increased, never decreased,
if the Act could be amended at all. Congress
clearly had no such limitation in mind when
crafting the law. Section 1104 of the 1935
Act, entitled "RESERVATION OF POWER,"
specifically said: "The right to alter,
amend, or repeal any provision of this Act
is hereby reserved to the Congress." Even
so, some have thought that this reservation
was in some way unconstitutional. This is
the issue finally settled by Flemming v.
Nestor.
[197] Ruling: Flemming v. Nestor. U.S.
Supreme Court, June 20, 1960. Case 363 U.S.
603. Decided 5-4. Majority: Harlan, Clark,
Frankfurter, Stewart, Whittaker. Dissenting:
Black. Separate dissent: Douglas. Separate
Dissent: Brennan, Warren, Douglas.
http://caselaw.lp.findlaw.com/scripts/getcase.pl?court=...
It is apparent that the noncontractual
interest of an employee covered by the Act
cannot be soundly analogized to that of the
holder of an annuity, whose right to
benefits is bottomed on his contractual
premium payments.
To engraft upon the Social Security system a
concept of "accrued property rights" would
deprive it of the flexibility and boldness
in adjustment to ever-changing conditions
which it demands.
It was doubtless out of
an awareness of the need for such
flexibility that Congress included in the
original Act, and .. has since retained, a
clause expressly reserving to it "[t]he
right to alter, amend, or repeal any
provision" of the Act.
We must conclude that a person covered by
the Act has not such a right in benefit
payments as would make every defeasance of
"accrued" interests violative of the Due
Process Clause of the Fifth Amendment.
[198] Comment by "Kilfarsnar," March 12,
2009.
http://cunningrealist.blogspot.com/2009/03/...
NOTE: Just Facts has found numerous comments
of this type scattered throughout the
Internet. The following footnote provides an
example of imprecise rhetoric from a
politician that could establish and/or
reinforce such beliefs.
[199] Article: "Government Statistics and
Lies." By Ron Paul. Campaign for Liberty,
November 3, 2009.
http://www.campaignforliberty.com/article.php?view=323
"I have introduced legislation to keep
politicians in Washington from ever raiding
the Social Security trust fund again. HR 219
The Social Security Preservation Act would
assure that all monies collected by the
Social Security Trust Fund would only be
used in payments to beneficiaries, or be
placed in interest bearing certificates of
deposit."
[200] "2010 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds." Board of Trustees of the
Federal OASDI Trust Funds, August 9, 2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/2010/tr2010.pdf
Page 142: "The Social Security Act does not
permit expenditures from the OASI [Old-Age &
Survivors Insurance] and DI [Disability
Insurance] Trust Funds for any purpose not
related to the payment of benefits or
administrative costs for the OASDI [Social
Security] program."
[201]
The
Social Security Administration's Office of
the Chief Actuary publishes annual receipts,
expenditures, and assets for both of the
Social Security trust funds, which are the
"Old-Age and Survivors Insurance Trust
Fund"* and the "Disability Insurance Trust
Fund." Just Facts has examined and
recalculated this data, and in each year,
trust fund assets increase or decrease by
the differential between receipts and
expenditures for the year. Also,
correspondingly, the U.S. Treasury
Department publishes a "Monthly Statement of
the Public Debt"§ that details the
components of the national debt, which
includes amounts owed to the trust funds
equaling Social Security's finances.# More
details as to how the trust funds affect the
national debt are contained in the section:
Impact on
National Debt.
* Dataset: "Old-Age and Survivors Insurance
Trust Fund, 1937-2009 [In millions]." United
States Social Security Administration,
Office of the Chief Actuary. Last reviewed
or modified Friday February 12, 2010.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/OACT/STATS/table4a
Dataset: "Disability Insurance Trust Fund,
1957-2009 [In millions]." United States
Social Security Administration, Office of
the Chief Actuary. Last reviewed or modified
Friday February 12, 2010.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/OACT/STATS/table4a2.html
NOTE: Because the disability component of
Social Security was not established until
1957, no data on the Disability Trust Fund
is available prior to this year.
An Excel file containing the data and
calculations is available
upon
request. Note
that in 1982, the Old-Age and Survivors
Insurance Trust Fund borrowed money from the
Disability Insurance Trust Fund, and repaid
the borrowed amounts in 1985 and 1986.
§ Report: "Monthly Statement of the Public
Debt of the United States." United States
Department of the Treasury, Bureau of the
Public Debt.
http://www.treasurydirect.gov/govt/reports/pd/mspd/mspd.htm
# For example, the Monthly Statement of the
Public Debt for December 31, 2008
(http://www.treasurydirect.gov/govt/reports/pd/mspd/...)
shows that the federal government owes
$215,810 million to the "Federal Disability
Insurance Trust Fund" and $2,203,404 million
to the "Federal Old-Age and Survivors
Insurance Trust Fund" (see page 9). These
figures are within one quarter of 1% of the
2008 trust fund end-of-year assets in the
Social Security datasets cited above
($215,773 million for the Disability
Insurance Trust Fund and $2,202,886 million
for the Old-Age and Survivors Insurance
Trust Fund). Such minor disparities are
typically the result of slightly different
accounting methodologies.
[202] "2010 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds." Board of Trustees of the
Federal OASDI Trust Funds, August 9, 2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/2010/tr2010.pdf
Page 221: "Funds not withdrawn for current
monthly or service benefits, the financial
interchange, and administrative expenses are
invested in interest-bearing Federal
securities, as required by law; the interest
earned is also deposited in the trust
funds."
[203] Web page: "Debt versus Deficit: What's
the Difference?" United States Department of
the Treasury, Bureau of the Public Debt.
Last updated August 5, 2004. Last Updated
October 10, 2008.
http://www.treasurydirect.gov/news/pressroom/...
"Additionally, the Government Trust Funds
are required by law to invest accumulated
surpluses in Treasury securities. The
Treasury securities issued to the public and
to the Government Trust Funds
(intragovernmental holdings) then become
part of the total debt."
[204] "Social Security Act of 1935." United
States Social Security Administration.
http://www.ssa.gov/history/35act.html
Section 201(b): "It shall be the duty of the
Secretary of the Treasury to invest such
portion of the amounts credited to the
Account as is not, in his judgment, required
to meet current withdrawals. Such investment
may be made only in interest-bearing
obligations of the United States or in
obligations guaranteed as to both principal
and interest by the United States."
NOTE: Also, as shown in the next two
footnotes, an official Social Security Trust
Fund was established in 1939.
[205] Web page: "Reports & Studies, 1938
Advisory Council" United States Social
Security Administration. Accessed January 6,
2011 at
http://www.ssa.gov/history/reports/38advise.html
The Advisory Council on Social Security was
appointed by the Senate Special Committee on
Social Security and the Social Security
Board in May, 1937.
[T]he recommendations
of the [Social Security Advisory] Council
were largely enacted into law in the 1939
Amendments.
The following is the text of the Report
issued by the Council.
REPORT
At the time the Social Security Act was
drafted it was deemed necessary for
constitutional reasons to separate legally
the taxation and benefit features of the
program. It is believed that in the light of
subsequent court decisions such legal
separation is no longer necessary. Since the
taxes levied are essentially contributions
intended to finance the benefit program, it
is not only logical but expedient to provide
for automatic crediting of tax proceeds to
the old age insurance fund. It is believed
by the Council that such a procedure would
enhance public understanding of the
contributory insurance system. Since the tax
proceeds thus credited are intended for
payment of benefits, it is recommended that
they be deposited in a trust fund under the
control of designated trustees in accordance
with appropriate legal provisions. The trust
fund should be dedicated to the payment of
benefits and, to a restricted amount, to the
costs necessary to the administration of the
program. It is recommended that these funds
should continue to be invested in securities
of the Federal government as at present.
December 10, 1938.
[206] Public Law 379: "Social Security Act
Amendments of 1939." 76th U.S. Congress.
Signed into law by Franklin Delano Roosevelt
on August 10, 1939.
http://www.ssa.gov/history/pdf/1939Act.pdf
Sec. 201. (a) There is hereby created on the
books of the Treasury of the United States a
trust fund to be known as the 'Federal
Old-Age and Survivors Insurance Trust Fund'
(hereinafter in this title called the 'Trust
Fund').
There is hereby appropriated to
the Trust Fund for the fiscal year ending
June 30, 1941, and for each fiscal year
thereafter, out of any moneys in the
Treasury not otherwise appropriated, amounts
equivalent to 100 per centum of the taxes
(including interest, penalties, and
additions to the taxes) received under the
Federal Insurance Contributions Act and
covered into the Treasury.
[207] Research Note #20: "The Social
Security Trust Funds and the Federal
Budget." By Larry DeWitt. United States
Social Security Administration, Historian's
Office, March 4, 2005, Updated 6/18/07.
http://www.ssa.gov/history/BudgetTreatment.html
Finally, just note once again that the
financing procedures involving the Social
Security program have not changed in any
fundamental way since they were established
in the original Social Security Act of 1935
and amended in 1939. These changes in
federal budgeting rules govern how the
Social Security program is accounted for in
the federal budget, not how it is financed.
[208] "2010 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds." Board of Trustees of the
Federal OASDI Trust Funds, August 9, 2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/2010/tr2010.pdf
Page 24: "All securities held by the trust
funds are backed by the full faith and
credit of the United States Government, as
required by law."
Page 221: "Funds not withdrawn for current
monthly or service benefits, the financial
interchange, and administrative expenses are
invested in interest-bearing Federal
securities, as required by law; the interest
earned is also deposited in the trust
funds."
Page 5: "In 2009, the combined trust fund
assets earned interest at an effective
annual rate of 4.9 percent."
[209] The Social Security Administration's
Office of the Chief Actuary publishes annual
receipts, expenditures, and assets for both
of the Social Security trust funds.* These
data show that in years in which the trust
funds run a deficit, they receive back
monies that the trust funds have loaned to
federal government.
* Dataset: "Old-Age and Survivors Insurance
Trust Fund, 1937-2009 [In millions]." United
States Social Security Administration,
Office of the Chief Actuary. Last reviewed
or modified Friday February 12, 2010.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/OACT/STATS/table4a
Dataset: "Disability Insurance Trust Fund,
1957-2009 [In millions]." United States
Social Security Administration, Office of
the Chief Actuary. Last reviewed or modified
Friday February 12, 2010.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/OACT/STATS/table4a2.html
NOTE: Because the disability component of
Social Security was not established until
1957, no data on the Disability Trust Fund
is available prior to this year.
[210] Web page: "Social Security Trust
Funds: Frequently Asked Questions." United
States Social Security Administration,
Office of the Chief Actuary. Last reviewed
or modified August 5, 2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/ProgData/fundFAQ.html
"The government has always repaid Social
Security, with interest."
[211]
See here.
[212] Web page: "FAQ's: Debunking some
Internet Myths. Myths and Misinformation
about Social Security." United States Social
Security Administration. Last reviewed or
modified February 1, 2010.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/history/InternetMyths.html
Starting in 1969 (due to action by the
Johnson Administration in 1968) the
transactions to the Trust Fund were included
in what is known as the "unified budget."
This means that every function of the
federal government is included in a single
budget. This is sometimes described by
saying that the Social Security Trust Funds
are "on-budget." This budget treatment of
the Social Security Trust Fund continued
until 1990 when the Trust Funds were again
taken "off-budget." This means only that
they are shown as a separate account in the
federal budget. But whether the Trust Funds
are "on-budget" or "off-budget" is primarily
a question of accounting practices--it has
no affect on the actual operations of the
Trust Fund itself.
[213] Table VI.F7:
"Operations of the Combined OASI and DI
Trust Funds, in CPI-indexed 2012 Dollars,
Calendar Years 2012-90 [In billions]."
United States Social Security
Administration, Office of the Chief Actuary.
Last reviewed or modified April 23, 2012.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/2012/lr6f7.html
"The combined OASI and DI Trust Funds become
exhausted in 2033 under the intermediate
assumptions
."
NOTE: The "combined OASI and DI Trust Funds"
comprise the Social Security Trust Fund.
[214] "2012 Annual
Report of the Board of Trustees of The
Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and
Disability Insurance Trust Funds." United
States Social Security Administration, April
25, 2012.
http://www.ssa.gov/oact/tr/2012/tr2012.pdf
Page 11: "Figure II.D2.OASDI Income, Cost,
and Expenditures as Percentages of Taxable
Payroll [Under Intermediate Assumptions]"
NOTE: The "Cost" curve exceeds the
"Expenditures" curve for all years starting
in 2033. This graph ends in 2090. For the
years beyond this, see the following excerpt
from the same report.
Pages
15-16: "Extending the horizon beyond 75
years increases the measured unfunded
obligation. Through the infinite horizon,
the unfunded obligation, or shortfall,
equals $20.5 trillion in present value,
which represents 3.9 percent of future
taxable payroll or 1.3 percent of future
GDP. The summarized shortfalls for the
75-year period and through the infinite
horizon both reflect annual cash-flow
shortfalls for all years after trust fund
exhaustion."
[215] Result of an independent study
performed by Just Facts. All data used in
the study was obtained from the United
States Social Security Administration. Our
actual calculations show that the program
would have become insolvent in 1977, but
because approximations were used in the
study, we added an extra 3 years as a margin
of safety. The original Social Security Act
of 1935 specified different tax rates that
were supposed to become effective at certain
points in time. Over the course of time, the
law was changed. Between 1940 and 1962, the
tax rates were lower than the Social
Security Act of 1935 originally specified.
Since 1963, the tax rates have been higher
than originally specified. This study
accounts for both of these situations. If
the study reflected only the extra taxes
paid by the younger generations, the
insolvency date would have occurred years
earlier. This study did not account for the
extra taxes and expenses that have resulted
from the government adding disability
benefits to the Social Security program. If
these numbers were added into the
calculation, the insolvency date would have
occurred years earlier. This study did not
account for extra taxes that have resulted
from the government increasing the wage
threshold. If these numbers were added into
the calculation, the insolvency date would
have occurred years earlier.
[216] "2010 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds." United States Social Security
Administration, August 9, 2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/2010/tr2010.pdf
Page 138: "The Federal Old-Age and Survivors
Insurance (OASI) Trust Fund was established
on January 1, 1940 as a separate account in
the United States Treasury. The Federal
Disability Insurance (DI) Trust Fund,
another separate account in the United
States Treasury, was established on August
1, 1956. All the financial operations of the
OASI and DI programs are handled through
these respective funds."
[217] "2010 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds." Board of Trustees of the
Federal OASDI Trust Funds, August 9, 2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/2010/tr2010.pdf
Page 221: "Funds not withdrawn for current
monthly or service benefits, the financial
interchange, and administrative expenses are
invested in interest-bearing Federal
securities, as required by law; the interest
earned is also deposited in the trust
funds."
[218] Web page: "Debt versus Deficit: What's
the Difference?" United States Department of
the Treasury, Bureau of the Public Debt,
August 5, 2004. Last updated October 10,
2008.
http://www.treasurydirect.gov/news/pressroom/...
"Additionally, the Government Trust Funds
are required by law to invest accumulated
surpluses in Treasury securities. The
Treasury securities issued to the public and
to the Government Trust Funds
(intragovernmental holdings) then become
part of the total debt."
[219] Web page: "Social Security Trust
Funds: Frequently Asked Questions." United
States Social Security Administration,
Office of the Chief Actuary. Last reviewed
or modified August 5, 2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/ProgData/fundFAQ.html
By law, income to the trust funds must be
invested, on a daily basis, in securities
guaranteed as to both principal and interest
by the Federal government. All securities
held by the trust funds are "special issues"
of the United States Treasury. Such
securities are available only to the trust
funds.
In the past, the trust funds have held
marketable Treasury securities, which are
available to the general public. Unlike
marketable securities, special issues can be
redeemed at any time at face value.
Marketable securities are subject to the
forces of the open market and may suffer a
loss, or enjoy a gain, if sold before
maturity. Investment in special issues gives
the trust funds the same flexibility as
holding cash.
[220] Web page: "Social Security Online
History: Presidential Statements. George W.
Bush- 2nd Quarter 2005. President Tours
Bureau of Public Debt." United States Social
Security Administration, April 5, 2005.
http://www.ssa.gov/history/gwbushstmts5b.html#04052005
THE PRESIDENT: See, what's interesting is a
lot of people believe that the Social
Security trust is -- the government takes a
person's money, invests it, and then pays it
back to them upon retirement. It doesn't
work that way.
MS. CHAPMAN: That's right, that's exactly
right.
THE PRESIDENT: This is what exists. And it's
very important, then, to make sure that in
the future that there's real assets for
retirees.
[221] Article: " 'Trust Fund' is Locked in
Filing Cabinet." By Dennis Cauchon. USA
Today, April 5, 2005.
http://www.usatoday.com/news/washington/...
The papers in the cabinet are
computer-generated replicas of $1.7 trillion
in Treasury bonds the amount the
government has promised to repay Social
Security for spending payroll taxes that
finance the retirement system on other
programs such as defense and education.
The imitation bonds are signed by Chapman,
division director of the Office of Public
Accounting in the Trust Fund Management
Branch of the Bureau of the Public Debt. The
bureau is part of the Treasury Department.
[222] "2010 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds." Board of Trustees of the
Federal OASDI Trust Funds, August 9, 2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/2010/tr2010.pdf
Page 221: "Funds not withdrawn for current
monthly or service benefits, the financial
interchange, and administrative expenses are
invested in interest-bearing Federal
securities, as required by law; the interest
earned is also deposited in the trust
funds."
[223] Web page: "Debt versus Deficit: What's
the Difference?" United States Department of
the Treasury, Bureau of the Public Debt.
Last updated August 5, 2004. Last Updated
October 10, 2008.
http://www.treasurydirect.gov/news/pressroom/...
"Additionally, the Government Trust Funds
are required by law to invest accumulated
surpluses in Treasury securities. The
Treasury securities issued to the public and
to the Government Trust Funds
(intragovernmental holdings) then become
part of the total debt."
[224] Report: "Monthly Statement of the
Public Debt of the United States, December
31, 2010." United States Department of the
Treasury, Bureau of the Public Debt.
http://www.treasurydirect.gov/govt/reports/pd/mspd/...
NOTE: The money that the federal government
owes to the Social Security program is
itemized in the line items for the "Federal
Disability Insurance Trust Fund" and the
"Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance
Trust Fund." Both of these appear on page 9
in "Table III - Detail of Treasury
Securities Outstanding."
[225] "2012 Annual
Report of the Board of Trustees of The
Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and
Disability Insurance Trust Funds." United
States Social Security Administration, April
25, 2012.
http://www.ssa.gov/oact/tr/2012/tr2012.pdf
Page
7: "In 2011, the combined trust fund assets
earned interest at an effective annual rate
of 4.4 percent."
Page 27: "Section 201(d) of the Social
Security Act provides that the obligations
issued for purchase by the OASI and DI Trust
Funds shall have maturities fixed with due
regard for the needs of the funds. The usual
practice has been to spread the holdings of
special issues, as of each June 30, so that
the amounts maturing in each of the next 15
years are approximately equal."
[226] Web page: "Frequently Asked Questions
About the Public Debt." United States
Department of the Treasury, Bureau of the
Public Debt. Last Updated November 26, 2010.
http://www.treasurydirect.gov/govt/resources/faq/faq_publicdebt.htm
What is the Debt Held by the Public?
The Debt Held by the Public is all federal
debt held by individuals, corporations,
state or local governments, foreign
governments, and other entities outside the
United States Government less Federal
Financing Bank securities. Types of
securities held by the public include, but
are not limited to, Treasury Bills, Notes,
Bonds, TIPS, United States Savings Bonds,
and State and Local Government Series
securities.
What are Intragovernmental Holdings?
Intragovernmental Holdings are Government
Account Series securities held by Government
trust funds, revolving funds, and special
funds; and Federal Financing Bank
securities. A small amount of marketable
securities are held by government accounts.
[227] NOTE: There is considerable confusion
regarding the terminology associated with
the national debt. Just Facts has come
across numerous instances in which
politicians and reporters use terms that
refer to the overall national debt, when in
fact, they are only referring to this
portion of the debt. Listed below are some
frequently used terms categorized by their
proper meaning:
(a) Overall national debt national debt,
public debt, gross debt, debt
(b) Portion of the national debt owed to
federal entities Nonmarketable debt, Intragovernmental holdings, debt held by the
government, government held debt
(c) Portion of the national debt owed to
non-federal entities Marketable debt, debt
held by the public, publicly held debt
[228] United States Code
Title 31, Subtitle III, Chapter 31,
Subchapter II, Section 3123: Payment of
obligations and interest on the public
debt. Accessed April 7, 2011 at
http://www4.law.cornell.edu/uscode/31/3123.html
Section (a): "The faith of the United States
Government is pledged to pay, in legal
tender, principal and interest on the
obligations of the Government issued under
this chapter."
[229] Report: "Monthly
Statement of the Public Debt of the United
States, December 31, 2011." United States
Department of the Treasury, Bureau of the
Public Debt.
http://www.treasurydirect.gov/govt/reports/pd/mspd/...
[231] Speech: "Address of the President to
Joint Sessions of Congress." President
George W. Bush, February 27, 2001.
http://georgewbush-whitehouse.archives.gov/news/...
[232] Report: "A Blueprint for New
Beginnings A Responsible Budget for
America's Priorities." Executive Office of
the President of the United States, February
28, 2001.
http://www.gpoaccess.gov/usbudget/fy02/pdf/blueprnt.pdf
Page 11: "At the end of 2001, there will be
$3.2 trillion in publicly held debt. About
$2.0 trillion can actually be retired over
the next 10 years."
NOTE: The 2 trillion dollars to be retired
is "publicly held debt." The numbers cited
do not include the debt owed to federal
entities.
[233] Report: "A Blueprint for New
Beginnings A Responsible Budget for
America's Priorities." Executive Office of
the President of the United States, February
28, 2001.
http://www.gpoaccess.gov/usbudget/fy02/pdf/blueprnt.pdf
NOTE: Page 201 contains a chart with a
section labeled, "Held By." Compare the
following two line items:
(a) "Debt securities held as assets by
Government accounts." This is the debt owed
to federal entities. Between 2001 and 2011,
it rises by 3,782 billion dollars (goes from
$2,219 billion to 6,001 billion).
(b) "Debt held by the public (gross)."
This is the debt owed to non-federal
entities. Between 2001 and 2011, it falls by
2,252 billion dollars (goes from $3,410
billion to $1,158 billion).
The net effect is an increase in the
national debt:
3,782 billion dollar increase in debt owed
to federal entities
2,252 billion decrease in debt owed to
non-federal entities
= 1,530 billion increase to the national
debt.
[234] Report: "A Blueprint for New
Beginnings A Responsible Budget for
America's Priorities." Executive Office of
the President of the United States, February
28, 2001.
http://www.gpoaccess.gov/usbudget/fy02/pdf/blueprnt.pdf
NOTE: Page 201 contains a chart with a
section labeled, "Debt Outstanding, End of
Year." Examine the line item, "Total, gross
federal debt." This is the national debt.
Between 2001 and 2011, it increases by 1,530
billion dollars. Observe that this figure
matches the result of the calculation in the
previous footnote.
[235] Article: "The Impact of Social
Security on the National Debt." By James D.
Agresti. Just Facts, September 1, 2001.
http://justfacts.com/news.impactSS.asp
"I will put Social Security into a lockbox."
Examine this scenario from Social Security's
standpoint. Social Security loans money to
the federal government and will collect on
the money and interest in the future.
Now
look at this from the federal government's
standpoint. The federal government borrows
money from Social Security and uses it to
pay off debt that it owes to someone else.
This leaves the national debt exactly as it
was.
[236] Article: "Al Gore's Social Security
Confusion." By Peter J. Ferrara. Cato
Institute. October 26, 2000.
http://www.cato.org//dailys/10-06-00.html
"During the presidential debate, Vice
President Gore told the nation, 'I will keep
Social Security in a lockbox, and that pays
down the national debt.' Well, which is it?
If you take the Social Security surplus each
year and use it to pay down the national
debt, you're not exactly keeping Social
Security funds in a lockbox."
[237] Article: "The Impact of Social
Security on the National Debt." By James D.
Agresti. Just Facts, September 1, 2001.
http://justfacts.com/news.impactSS.asp
When Social Security loans money to the
federal government, the government can
either spend the money or use it to pay off
someone else that the federal government
owes money to. If the federal government
spends the money, this action is what some
people refer to as, "raiding the Social
Security Trust Fund."
This is an inaccurate description of what is
taking place because not one dime is taken
out of the Social Security Trust Fund.
Examine this scenario from Social Security's
standpoint. Social Security loans money to
the federal government and will collect on
the money and interest in the future. Now
examine it from the federal government's
standpoint. The federal government borrows
money from Social Security and spends it.
This increases the national debt.
[238] Press release: "Pence Calls on
Congress to Stop Raiding Social Security
Trust Fund." U.S. Congressman Mike Pence,
June 22, 2005.
http://mikepence.house.gov/index.php?option=...
"It has simply been wrong these last four
decades for the Congress of the United
States to take the Social Security surplus
and apply it to spending on big government.
"We need to stop raiding the Social Security
trust fund.
"
[239] "2010 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds." Board of Trustees of the
Federal OASDI Trust Funds, August 9, 2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/2010/tr2010.pdf
Page 24: "All securities held by the trust
funds are backed by the full faith and
credit of the United States Government, as
required by law."
Page 142: "The Social Security Act does not
permit expenditures from the OASI [Old-Age &
Survivors Insurance] and DI [Disability
Insurance] Trust Funds for any purpose not
related to the payment of benefits or
administrative costs for the OASDI [Social
Security] program."
Page 221: "Funds not withdrawn for current
monthly or service benefits, the financial
interchange, and administrative expenses are
invested in interest-bearing Federal
securities, as required by law; the interest
earned is also deposited in the trust
funds."
[240] Web page: "Social Security Trust
Funds: Frequently Asked Questions." United
States Social Security Administration,
Office of the Chief Actuary. Last reviewed
or modified August 5, 2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/ProgData/fundFAQ.html
"[T]he investments held by the trust funds
are backed by the full faith and credit of
the U. S. Government. The government has
always repaid Social Security, with
interest."
[241] Article: "The Impact of Social
Security on the National Debt." By James D.
Agresti. Just Facts, September 1, 2001.
http://justfacts.com/news.impactSS.asp
When Social Security loans money to the
federal government, the government can
either spend the money or use it to pay off
someone else that the federal government
owes money to. If the federal government
spends the money, this action is what some
people refer to as, "raiding the Social
Security Trust Fund."
This is an inaccurate description of what is
taking place because not one dime is taken
out of the Social Security Trust Fund.
Examine this scenario from Social Security's
standpoint. Social Security loans money to
the federal government and will collect on
the money and interest in the future. Now
examine it from the federal government's
standpoint. The federal government borrows
money from Social Security and spends it.
This increases the national debt.
"I will put Social Security into a lockbox."
Examine this scenario from Social Security's
standpoint. Social Security loans money to
the federal government and will collect on
the money and interest in the future.
Now
look at this from the federal government's
standpoint. The federal government borrows
money from Social Security and uses it to
pay off debt that it owes to someone else.
This leaves the national debt exactly as it
was.
[242] Web page: "Debt versus Deficit: What's
the Difference?" United States Department of
the Treasury, Bureau of the Public Debt.
Last updated August 5, 2004. Last Updated
October 10, 2008.
http://www.treasurydirect.gov/news/pressroom/...
"Additionally, the Government Trust Funds
are required by law to invest accumulated
surpluses in Treasury securities. The
Treasury securities issued to the public and
to the Government Trust Funds
(intragovernmental holdings) then become
part of the total debt."
[243] Report: "Monthly Statement of the
Public Debt of the United States, December
31, 2010." United States Department of the
Treasury, Bureau of the Public Debt.
http://www.treasurydirect.gov/govt/reports/pd/mspd/...
NOTE: The money that the federal government
owes to the Social Security program is
itemized in the line items for the "Federal
Disability Insurance Trust Fund" and the
"Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance
Trust Fund." Both of these appear on page 9
in "Table III - Detail of Treasury
Securities Outstanding."
[244] "2010 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds." Board of Trustees of the
Federal OASDI Trust Funds, August 9, 2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/2010/tr2010.pdf
Page 142: "The Social Security Act does not
permit expenditures from the OASI [Old-Age &
Survivors Insurance] and DI [Disability
Insurance] Trust Funds for any purpose not
related to the payment of benefits or
administrative costs for the OASDI [Social
Security] program."
NOTE: This includes the national debt.
[245] "Internal Revenue Manual." Internal
Revenue Service. Accessed January 11, 2011
at
http://www.irs.gov/irm/index.html
Part 1, Chapter 34, Section 1
(http://www.irs.gov/irm/part1/irm_01-034-001.html):
"The main financing component of the Federal
funds group is referred to as the General
Fund, which is used to carry out the general
purposes of Government rather than being
restricted by law to a specific program and
consists of all collections not earmarked by
law to finance other funds."
[246] United States Code Title 42, Chapter
7, Subchapter II, Section 401: "Trust
Funds."
NOTE: As per the link on this page entitled,
How current is this?, "Title 42 of the US
Code as currently published by the US
Government reflects the laws passed by
Congress as of Feb. 1, 2010, and it is this
version that is published here."
(a) Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance
Trust Fund
There is hereby created on the books of the
Treasury of the United States a trust fund
to be known as the "Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance Trust Fund".
There is
hereby appropriated to the Federal Old-Age
and Survivors Insurance Trust Fund for the
fiscal year ending June 30, 1941, and for
each fiscal year thereafter, out of any
moneys in the Treasury not otherwise
appropriated, amounts equivalent to 100 per
centum of
(1) the taxes (including interest,
penalties, and additions to the taxes)
received under subchapter A of chapter 9 of
the Internal Revenue Code of 1939
.
(b) Federal Disability Insurance Trust Fund
There is hereby created on the books of the
Treasury of the United States a trust fund
to be known as the "Federal Disability
Insurance Trust Fund."
There is hereby
appropriated to the Federal Disability
Insurance Trust Fund for the fiscal year
ending June 30, 1957, and for each fiscal
year thereafter, out of any moneys in the
Treasury not otherwise appropriated, amounts
equivalent to 100 per centum
.
[247] Calculated with data from: "Historical
Budget Data, Fiscal Years 1962-2006."
Congressional Budget Office, September 2008.
http://cbo.gov/
NOTES:
- This report is no longer available on the
Congressional Budget Office's web site, but
the data tables are still posted in pdf
format at
http://cbo.gov/budget/historical.shtml and
in .xls format at
http://cbo.gov/budget/data/historical.xls
- The specific data used in the calculations
are from the table entitled, "Revenues by
Major Source, 1962 to 2006."
- An Excel file containing the data and
calculations is available
upon
request.
[248] House Resolution 1259: "Social
Security and Medicare Safe Deposit Box Act
of 1999." 106th Congress, United States
House of Representatives, March 24, 1999.
http://thomas.loc.gov/
Sec 2 (b): "Purpose: It is the purpose of
this Act to prohibit the use of Social
Security surpluses for any purpose other
than reforming Social Security and
Medicare."
[249] Report: "Filibusters and Cloture in
the Senate." By Richard S. Beth & Stanley
Bach. Library of Congress, Congressional
Research Service. Updated March 28, 2003.
http://www.senate.gov/reference/resources/pdf/RL30360.pdf
Page 2 (in PDF):
The filibuster is widely viewed as one of
the Senate's most characteristic procedural
features. Filibustering includes any use of
dilatory or obstructive tactics to block a
measure by preventing it from coming to a
vote. The possibility of filibusters exists
because Senate rules place few limits on
Senators' rights and opportunities in the
legislative process.
Senate Rule XXII, however, known as the
"cloture rule," enables Senators to end a
filibuster on any debatable matter the
Senate is considering. Sixteen Senators
initiate this process by presenting a motion
to end the debate. The Senate does not vote
on this cloture motion until the second day
after the motion is made. Then it usually
requires the votes of at least three-fifths
of all Senators (normally 60 votes) to
invoke cloture. Invoking cloture on a
proposal to amend the Senate's standing
rules requires the support of two-thirds of
the Senators present and voting.
Page10:
Invoking cloture usually requires a
three-fifths vote of the entire
Senate"three-fifths of the Senators duly
chosen and sworn." If there are no
vacancies, therefore, 60 Senators must vote
to invoke cloture. In contrast, most other
votes require only a simple majority (that
is, 51%) of the Senators present and voting,
assuming that those Senators constitute a
quorum. In the case of a cloture vote, the
key is the number of Senators voting for
cloture, not the number voting against.
Failing to vote on a cloture motion has the
same effect as voting against the motion: it
deprives the motion of one of the 60 votes
needed to agree to it.
There is an important exception to the
three-fifths requirement to invoke cloture.
Under Rule XXII, an affirmative vote of
two-thirds of the Senators present and
voting is required to invoke cloture on a
measure or motion to amend the Senate rules.
This exception has its origin in the recent
history of the cloture rule. Before 1975,
two-thirds of the Senators present and
voting (a quorum being present) was required
for cloture on all matters. In early 1975,
at the beginning of the 94th Congress,
Senators sought to amend the rule to make it
somewhat easier to invoke cloture. However,
some Senators feared that if this effort
succeeded, that would only make it easier to
amend the rule again, making cloture still
easier to invoke. As a compromise, the
Senate agreed to move from a maximum of 67
votes (two-thirds of the Senators present
and voting) to a minimum of 60 votes
(three-fifths of the Senators duly chosen
and sworn) on all matters except future
rules changes, including changes in the
cloture rule itself.11"
[250] Standing Rules of the Senate, Rule
XXII: "Precedence Of Motions." Accessed June
20, 2008 at
http://rules.senate.gov/senaterules/rule22.php
2. Notwithstanding the provisions of rule II
or rule IV or any other rule of the Senate,
at any time a motion signed by sixteen
Senators, to bring to a close the debate
upon any measure, motion, other matter
pending before the Senate, or the unfinished
business, is presented to the Senate, the
Presiding Officer, or clerk at the direction
of the Presiding Officer, shall at once
state the motion to the Senate, and one hour
after the Senate meets on the following
calendar day but one, he shall lay the
motion before the Senate and direct that the
clerk call the roll, and upon the
ascertainment that a quorum is present, the
Presiding Officer shall, without debate,
submit to the Senate by a yea-and-nay vote
the question:
"Is it the sense of the Senate that the
debate shall be brought to a close?" And if
that question shall be decided in the
affirmative by three-fifths of the Senators
duly chosen and sworn -- except on a measure
or motion to amend the Senate rules, in
which case the necessary affirmative vote
shall be two-thirds of the Senators present
and voting -- then said measure, motion, or
other matter pending before the Senate, or
the unfinished business, shall be the
unfinished business to the exclusion of all
other business until disposed of.
Thereafter no Senator shall be entitled to
speak in all more than one hour on the
measure, motion, or other matter pending
before the Senate, or the unfinished
business, the amendments thereto, and
motions affecting the same, and it shall be
the duty of the Presiding Officer to keep
the time of each Senator who speaks. Except
by unanimous consent, no amendment shall be
proposed after the vote to bring the debate
to a close, unless it had been submitted in
writing to the Journal Clerk by 1 o'clock
p.m. on the day following the filing of the
cloture motion if an amendment in the first
degree, and unless it had been so submitted
at least one hour prior to the beginning of
the cloture vote if an amendment in the
second degree. No dilatory motion, or
dilatory amendment, or amendment not germane
shall be in order. Points of order,
including questions of relevancy, and
appeals from the decision of the Presiding
Officer, shall be decided without debate.
After no more than thirty hours of
consideration of the measure, motion, or
other matter on which cloture has been
invoked, the Senate shall proceed, without
any further debate on any question, to vote
on the final disposition thereof to the
exclusion of all amendments not then
actually pending before the Senate at that
time and to the exclusion of all motions,
except a motion to table, or to reconsider
and one quorum call on demand to establish
the presence of a quorum (and motions
required to establish a quorum) immediately
before the final vote begins. The thirty
hours may be increased by the adoption of a
motion, decided without debate, by a
three-fifths affirmative vote of the
Senators duly chosen and sworn, and any such
time thus agreed upon shall be equally
divided between and controlled by the
Majority and Minority Leaders or their
designees. However, only one motion to
extend time, specified above, may be made in
any one calendar day.
[251] U.S. Senate roll call vote number 170:
"On the Motion to Invoke Cloture on
H.R.1259." 106th Congress, United States
Senate, June 16, 1999.
http://www.senate.gov/legislative/LIS/roll_call_lists/...
NOTE: A total of 60 yes votes were needed to
invoke cloture and allow a vote on the bill.
[252] Report: "Monthly
Statement of the Public Debt of the United
States, December 31, 2011." United States
Department of the Treasury, Bureau of the
Public Debt.
http://www.treasurydirect.gov/govt/reports/pd/mspd/...
Page 9: "Table III - Detail of Treasury
Securities Outstanding
Amount in Millions
of Dollars
Federal Disability Insurance
Trust Fund [=] $153,996
Federal Old-Age
and Survivors Insurance Trust Fund [=]
$2,524,898"
CALCULATION: $153,996,000,000 +
$2,524,898,000,000 = $2,678,894,000,000
[253] Dataset: "Monthly
Population Estimates for the United States:
April 1, 2010 to March 1, 2012." U.S. Census
Bureau, Population Division, April 2012.
http://www.census.gov/popest/data/national/totals/2011/index.html
"Resident Population
January 1, 2012
[=]
312,780,968"
CALCULATION: $2,678,894,000,000 /
312,780,968 people = $8,565 debt/person
[254] Dataset: "Average
Number of People per Household, by Race and
Hispanic Origin, Marital Status, Age, and
Education of Householder: 2011." U.S. Census
Bureau, November 2011.
http://www.census.gov/population/...
Total households = 118,682,000
CALCULATION: $2,678,894,000,000 debt /
118,682,000 households = $22,572
debt/household
[255] "2012 Annual
Report of the Board of Trustees of The
Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and
Disability Insurance Trust Funds." United
States Social Security Administration, April
25, 2012.
http://www.ssa.gov/oact/tr/2012/tr2012.pdf
Page 10: "As it has since 2010, projected
cost exceeds non-interest income throughout
the short-range period."
[256] "2008 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds." United States Social Security
Administration, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf
Page 2: "Annual cost will exceed tax income
at which time the annual gap will be
covered with cash from redemptions of
special obligations of the Treasury that
make up the trust fund assets
."
Page 8: "Redemption of trust fund assets
will allow continuation of full benefit
payments on a timely basis until
when the
trust funds are projected to become
exhausted. This redemption process will
require a flow of cash from the General Fund
of the Treasury."
[257] Table VI.F7:
"Operations of the Combined OASI and DI
Trust Funds, in CPI-indexed 2012 Dollars,
Calendar Years 2012-90 [In billions]."
United States Social Security
Administration, Office of the Chief Actuary.
Last reviewed or modified April 23, 2012.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/2012/lr6f7.html
"The combined OASI and DI Trust Funds become
exhausted in 2033 under the intermediate
assumptions
."
NOTE: The "combined OASI and DI Trust Funds"
comprise the Social Security Trust Fund.
[258] Report: "Analytical Perspectives:
Budget of the United States Government,
Fiscal Year 2000." Executive Office of the
President of the United States, 1999.
http://www.gpoaccess.gov/usbudget/fy00/pdf/spec.pdf
Page 337:
These balances are available to finance
future benefit payments and other trust fund
expendituresbut only in a bookkeeping
sense. These funds are not set up to be
pension funds, like the funds of private
pension plans. They do not consist of real
economic assets that can be drawn down in
the future to fund benefits. Instead, they
are claims on the Treasury that, when
redeemed, will have to be financed by
raising taxes, borrowing from the public, or
reducing benefits or other expenditures. The
existence of large trust fund balances,
therefore, does not, by itself, have any
impact on the Government's ability to pay
benefits.
[259] Report: "Federal Debt and Interest
Costs." Congressional Budget Office,
December 2010.
http://cbo.gov/ftpdocs/119xx/doc11999/12-14-FederalDebt.pdf
Page IX:
At the end of [Fiscal Year] 2010, gross
federal debt totaled $13.5 trillion the
$9.0 trillion in debt held by the public
plus $4.5 trillion in debt held by
government accounts. More than half of the
latter amount is held by the Social Security
trust funds. Because those trust funds and
other government accounts are part of the
federal government, transactions between
them and the Treasury are intragovernmental;
that is, the government securities in those
funds are an asset to the individual
programs but a liability to the rest of the
government. The resources needed to redeem
the government securities in the trust funds
and other accounts in some future year must
be generated from taxes, income from other
government sources, or borrowing by the
government in that year.
[260] A detailed
accounting of these debts, liabilities, and
obligations is published in Just Facts'
research on the
national debt.
[261] Publication number 05-10024:
"Understanding the Benefits." United States
Social Security Administration, January
2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/pubs/10024.html
The current Social Security system works
like this: when you work, you pay taxes into
Social Security. The tax money is used to
pay benefits to:
People who already have retired;
People who are disabled;
Survivors of workers who have died; and
Dependents of beneficiaries.
The money you pay in taxes is not held in a
personal account for you to use when you get
benefits. Your taxes are being used right
now to pay people who now are getting
benefits. Any unused money goes to the
Social Security trust funds, not a personal
account with your name on it.
[262] "The 1936 Government Pamphlet on
Social Security." United States Social
Security Administration.
http://www.ssa.gov/history/ssn/ssb36.html
"The checks will come to you as a right. You
will get them regardless of the amount of
property or income you may have. They are
what the law calls "Old-Age Benefits" under
the Social Security Act."
[263] Report: "Summary of Major Changes in
the Social Security Cash Benefits Program:
1935-1996." By Geoffrey Kollmann. Library of
Congress, Congressional Research Service.
Updated December 20, 1996.
http://www.ssa.gov/history/pdf/crs9436.pdf
Pages 2-3: "1939 Amendments
The provision
for lump-sum payments of 3.5% of accumulated
wages for workers who died before age 65, or
attained age 65 but were ineligible for
benefits, was repealed
."
[264] "Social Security Act of 1935." United
States Social Security Administration.
http://www.ssa.gov/history/35act.html
"SEC. 1104. The right to alter, amend, or
repeal any provision of this Act is hereby
reserved to the Congress."
[265] Web page: "Supreme Court Case: Flemming vs. Nestor." United States Social
Security Administration. Accessed January 5,
2011 at
http://www.ssa.gov/history/nestor.html
There has been a temptation throughout the
program's history for some people to suppose
that their FICA payroll taxes entitle them
to a benefit in a legal, contractual sense.
That is to say, if a person makes FICA
contributions over a number of years,
Congress cannot, according to this
reasoning, change the rules in such a way
that deprives a contributor of a promised
future benefit. Under this reasoning,
benefits under Social Security could
probably only be increased, never decreased,
if the Act could be amended at all. Congress
clearly had no such limitation in mind when
crafting the law. Section 1104 of the 1935
Act, entitled "RESERVATION OF POWER,"
specifically said: "The right to alter,
amend, or repeal any provision of this Act
is hereby reserved to the Congress." Even
so, some have thought that this reservation
was in some way unconstitutional. This is
the issue finally settled by Flemming v.
Nestor.
[266] Publication No. 05-10006: "A
'Snapshot'." United States Social Security
Administration, May 2009.
http://ssa.gov/pubs/10006.pdf
Page 4: "The Social Security and Medicare
taxes you pay are not put in a special
account for you. They are used to pay
benefits for people getting benefits today,
just as your future benefits will be paid
for by future workers."
[267] Table VI.F7:
"Operations of the Combined OASI and DI
Trust Funds, in CPI-indexed 2012 Dollars,
Calendar Years 2012-90 [In billions]."
United States Social Security
Administration, Office of the Chief Actuary.
Last reviewed or modified April 23, 2012.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/2012/lr6f7.html
"The combined OASI and DI Trust Funds become
exhausted in 2033 under the intermediate
assumptions
."
NOTE: The "combined OASI and DI Trust Funds"
comprise the Social Security Trust Fund.
[268] Calculated with
data from Table 8 Alt2: "Trust Fund
Operations in Current Dollars, 2012-2090,
Intermediate Assumptions, 2012 Trustees
Report." United States Social Security
Administration, Office of the Chief Actuary.
Transmitted to Just Facts on May 14, 2012.
NOTE: An Excel file containing the data and
calculations is available
upon
request.
[269] Report: "Strengthening Social Security
and Creating Personal Wealth for All
Americans." The President's Commission to
Strengthen Social Security, December 21,
2001.
http://govinfo.library.unt.edu/csss/reports/Final_report.pdf
Page 72: "Under a personal account program,
workers would be given the option to invest
a portion of their payroll taxes in accounts
that they would own."
Page 74: "All of the plans presented by the
Commission provide individuals the option to
invest in personal accounts. In all cases,
these accounts are at least partially
financed by a redirection of payroll tax
revenue from the existing system. In return
for the opportunity to pursue higher
expected returns through personal accounts,
individuals who choose the account agree to
forgo the benefit that would have been
financed by these payroll taxes (plus
interest)."
[270] Memorandum: "Estimated Financial
Effects of the 'Social Security Personal
Savings Guarantee and Prosperity Act of
2008.'" By Stephen C. Goss. United States
Social Security Administration, Office of
the Chief Actuary. May 21, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/solvency/PRyan_20080521.pdf
Page 2:
Under the plan specifications described
below the Social Security program would be
expected to be solvent and to meet its
benefit obligations throughout the
long-range period 2008 through 2082. The
long-range [Social Security] actuarial
deficit of 1.70 percent of payroll and the
[Social Security] long-range unfunded
obligation of $4.3 trillion in present value
would be eliminated. In addition, trust fund
assets expressed as a percentage of annual
program cost are projected to be rising at
the end of the 75-year period. Thus, the
proposal meets the long-range criteria for
sustainable solvency and would be expected
to remain solvent for the foreseeable
future. General Fund transfers are, however,
expected to be needed under the plan in
years 2032 through 2063, totaling $4.1
trillion in present discounted value. All
estimates are based on the intermediate
assumptions of the 2008 Trustees Report plus
additional assumptions described below.
NOTE: The financial details of several other
personal ownership proposals are available
at
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/solvency/index.htm
[271] Report: "Strengthening Social Security
and Creating Personal Wealth for All
Americans." President's Commission to
Strengthen Social Security, December 2001.
http://govinfo.library.unt.edu/csss/reports/Final_report.pdf
Page 11: "Personal accounts can also
contribute towards the fiscal sustainability
of the Social Security system. While there
are multiple paths to fiscal sustainability
that are consistent with the President's
principles for Social Security reform, we
have chosen to include three reform models
in the report that improve the fiscal
sustainability of the current system, are
costed honestly, and are preferable to the
current Social Security system."
[272] Senate Bill 1302: "Stop the Raid on
Social Security Act of 2005." Introduced by
Senator Jim DeMint and cosponsored by
Senators Santorum, Graham, Crapo, Coburn,
Sununu, Isakson, Enzi, Cornyn, Lott,
Brownback, And Craig. 109th U.S. Congress,
June 23, 2005.
http://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/BILLS-109s1302is/...
Section 255:
(a) Designation of Certified Account
Managers- Under the Program, a certified
account manager shall be designated by or on
behalf of each participating individual to
hold for investment under this section such
individual's social security personal
retirement account assets.
(b) Procedure for Designation- Any
designation made under subsection (a) shall
be made in such form and manner as shall be
prescribed in regulations prescribed by the
Board. Such regulations shall provide for
annual selection periods during which
participating individuals may make
designations pursuant to subsection (a).
Designations made pursuant to subsection (a)
during any such period shall be irrevocable
for the one-year period following such
period, except that such regulations shall
provide for such interim designations as may
be necessitated by the decertification of a
certified account manager. Such regulations
shall provide for such designations made by
the Board on behalf of a participating
individual in any case in which a timely
designation is not made by the participating
individual.
(c) Investment- Any balance held in a
participating individual's social security
personal retirement account under this part
which is not necessary for immediate
withdrawal shall be invested on behalf of
such participating individual by the
certified account manager as follows:
(1) INVESTMENT IN MARKETABLE GOVERNMENT
SECURITIES- In a representative mix of fixed
marketable interest-bearing obligations of
the United States then forming a part of the
public debt which are not due or callable
earlier than 4 years after the date of
investment.
(2) ADDITIONAL AND ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS-
Beginning with 2008, in such additional and
alternative investment options in
broad-based index funds that are similar to
the index fund investment options available
within the Thrift Savings Fund established
under section 8437 of title 5, United States
Code, as the Board determines would be
prudent sources of retirement income that
could yield greater amounts of income than
the investment described in paragraph (1)
and a participating individual may elect.
[273] "Biographical Directory of the United
States Congress 1774-Present." United States
Congress. Accessed January 20, 2011at
http://bioguide.congress.gov/
NOTE: This dictionary was used to determine
party affiliation.
[274] Article: "Personal Accounts and the
Stock Market Collapse." By Andrew G. Biggs.
American Enterprise Institute, November 21,
2008.
http://www.aei.org/publications/filter.all,pubID.28971/pub_detail.asp
The portfolio would be managed on a
"life-cycle" basis, meaning that the
proportion of stocks and bonds would
automatically be adjusted as the individual
aged. Following Shiller, accounts would hold
85 percent stocks through age twenty-nine,
then gradually decline to 15 percent stocks
by age sixty, with annual rebalancing of
assets to maintain these proportions. In
Bush's 2005 personal account proposal,
individuals would automatically be switched
to a life-cycle account as of age
forty-seven. It is likely that future
personal account proposals would make a
life-cycle portfolio the default option at
all ages, and it is assumed that accounts
would be managed in that way throughout the
individual's working career.
[275] Report: "Financial Statements of the
Thrift Savings Fund 2009 and 2008."
Federal Retirement Thrift Investment Board,
2010.
https://www.tsp.gov/PDF/formspubs/financial-stmt.pdf
Page 5: "The Plan offers its participants
various investment funds that are exposed to
different types and amounts of risk,
including interest rate, credit, and market
risk. The funds (except for the G Fund,
which is invested in a way to avoid losses)
can be expected to experience greater or
lesser volatility over time, depending upon
each fund's individual risk profile, thus
affecting the fund balances from one period
to the next."
[276] Report: "Financial
Statements of the Thrift Savings Fund 2010
and 2011." Federal Retirement Thrift
Investment Board, April 20, 2012.
https://www.tsp.gov/PDF/formspubs/financial-stmt.pdf
Page 5: "As of December 31, 2011, there were
approximately 4.5 million participants in
the Plan, with approximately 2.9 million
contributing their own money."
[277] Report: "Financial
Statements of the Thrift Savings Fund 2010
and 2011." Federal Retirement Thrift
Investment Board, April 20, 2012.
https://www.tsp.gov/PDF/formspubs/financial-stmt.pdf
Page 3: "Thrift Savings Fund Statements of
Net Assets Available for Benefits As of
December 31, 2011 And 2010 (In thousands)
2011 Net Assets Available for Benefits [=]
$298,112,910
Page 3: "THRIFT SAVINGS FUND STATEMENTS OF
NET ASSETS AVAILABLE FOR BENEFITS AS OF
DECEMBER 31, 2009 AND 2008 (In thousands)
2009 NET ASSETS AVAILABLE FOR BENEFITS [=]
$244,431,311"
[278] "Summary of the Thrift Savings Plan."
Federal Retirement Thrift Investment Board,
August 2010.
https://www.tsp.gov/PDF/formspubs/tspbk08.pdf
Page 3: "If you are a FERS [Federal
Employees' Retirement System*] employee,
beginning the first time you are paid, your
agency will contribute an amount equal to 1%
of your basic pay each pay period to your
account. These contributions are called
Agency Automatic (1%) Contributions. Agency
Automatic (1%) Contributions are not taken
out of your pay. Nor do they decrease the
dollar amount of your pay for income tax or
Social Security purposes."
Page 4:
If you are a FERS participant, you receive
Agency Matching Contributions on the first
5% of pay that you contribute each pay
period. The first 3% of pay that you
contribute will be matched
dollar-for-dollar; the next 2% will be
matched at 50 cents per dollar.
Contributions above 5% will not be matched.
If you stop making regular employee
contributions, your matching contributions
will also stop.
Like Agency Automatic (1%) Contributions,
Agency Matching Contributions are not taken
out of your pay. They also do not increase
the dollar amount of your pay for income tax
or Social Security purposes.
* NOTE "Federal employees, who are
participants of FERS [Federal Employees'
Retirement System], the Civil Service
Retirement System (CSRS), or equivalent
retirement systems, as provided by statute,
and members of the uniformed services, are
eligible to join the Plan immediately upon
being hired. Generally, FERS employees are
those employees hired on or after January 1,
1984, while CSRS employees are employees
hired before January 1, 1984, who have not
elected to convert to FERS. Each group has
different rules that govern contribution
rates." [Report: "Financial Statements of
the Thrift Savings Fund 2009 and 2008."
Federal Retirement Thrift Investment Board,
2010.
https://www.tsp.gov/PDF/formspubs/financial-stmt.pdf.
Page 4.]
[279] Report: "Financial
Statements of the Thrift Savings Fund 2009
and 2008." Federal Retirement Thrift
Investment Board, 2010.
https://www.tsp.gov/PDF/formspubs/financial-stmt.pdf
Page 7: On June 22, 2009, the Thrift Savings
Plan Enhancement Act (the Act or P.L.
111-31) was signed into law by President
Obama. The Act provides for immediate Agency
Automatic (1%) and Matching contributions
for FERS employees (implemented in August
2009). The Act also requires civilian
Federal Agencies to automatically enroll
newly hired (and rehired) eligible employees
unless the employee makes an affirmative
election not to participate in the Fund.
[280] Report: "Financial
Statements of the Thrift Savings Fund 2009
and 2008." Federal Retirement Thrift
Investment Board, 2010.
https://www.tsp.gov/PDF/formspubs/financial-stmt.pdf
Page 5: "Individual accounts are maintained
for each Plan participant. Each
participant's account is credited with the
participant's contributions, agency
automatic and matching contributions, and
charged with withdrawals. The value of the
participant's account reflects the number of
shares and the daily share prices of the
funds in which the participant is invested.
Administrative expenses are a component of
the share price calculation."
[281] "Summary of the
Thrift Savings Plan." Federal Retirement
Thrift Investment Board, August 2010.
https://www.tsp.gov/PDF/formspubs/tspbk08.pdf
Page 18: "In the event of your death, your
account will be distributed to the
beneficiary or beneficiaries you designate
on the TSP's Designation of Beneficiary
form."
[282] Report: "Financial
Statements of the Thrift Savings Fund 2009
and 2008." Federal Retirement Thrift
Investment Board, 2010.
https://www.tsp.gov/PDF/formspubs/financial-stmt.pdf
Page 4: "Participants may allocate any
portion of their contributions among the
five investment funds and the [five] TSP
Lifecycle Funds."
Page 4:
The Agency contracted with Barclays Global
Investors (Barclays) for investment in the
collective investment trusts in which the F,
C, S, and I Fund assets are invested. On
December 1, 2009, BlackRock Inc. acquired
Barclays Global Investors and the
contracting party was renamed BlackRock
Institutional Trust Company, N.A.
(BlackRock). The acquisition has not changed
the provisions of the investment management
contract.
In 2005, the Agency initiated the TSP L
(Lifecycle) Funds. These are asset
allocation portfolios designed for the TSP
by Mercer Investment Consulting, Inc.
(Mercer) with investment mixes, based on the
Plan's existing investment funds, tailored
to a target time horizon when the
participant intends to withdraw the funds.
[283] "Summary of the
Thrift Savings Plan." Federal Retirement
Thrift Investment Board, August 2010.
https://www.tsp.gov/PDF/formspubs/tspbk08.pdf
Page 8:
The assumption underlying the L Funds is
that participants with longer investment
time horizons are able to tolerate more risk
while seeking higher returns. The funds
automatically adjust to reflect a lower
tolerance for risk as the investment time
horizon approaches.
Each L Fund invests in a mix of the five
individual TSP funds. The mix is chosen by
experts based on each fund's time horizon.
The L Funds are designed to achieve the
highest possible rate of return for the
amount of risk taken. If the time horizon is
a long time from now, the L Fund will be
more heavily weighted toward stocks (C, S,
and I Funds). As that fund's time horizon
shortens, the allocation will gradually
shift toward Government securities and bonds
(G and F Funds).
[284] Editorial: "No 'Fool's Paradise'." By
Donald Luskin. National Review, December 21,
2004.
http://www.nationalreview.com/nrof_luskin/kts200412210858.asp
"I used to be an executive of Barclays
Global Investors, the firm that has run all
the index funds for the Thrift Retirement
System since the program was first started
in the 1980s. First, I can tell you that no
government officials made any investment
decisions whatsoever. My company ran the
funds and every individual federal
employee decided for himself or herself
which of the funds to invest in."
[285] Ibbotson 2010 Valuation Yearbook:
Market Results for Stocks, Bonds, Bills, and
Inflation, 1926-2009. Morningstar, 2010.
Pages 53-54: "The stock market benchmark
chosen should be a broad index that reflects
the behavior of the stock market as a whole.
The S&P 500 was selected as the
appropriate market benchmark because it is
representative of a large sample of
companies across a large number of
industries.
In short, the S&P 500 is a
good measure of the equity market as a
whole."
Page 23: "Total return is equal to the sum
of three component returns; income return,
capital appreciation return, and
reinvestment return."
Page 203 (Glossary): "Real Return The
inflation-adjusted return on an investment.
It measures the growth of purchasing power.
The real return of an investment is
calculated by geometrically subtracting
inflation from the investment's nominal
return."
Page 201 (Glossary): "Geometric Mean Return
The compound rate of return. The geometric
mean of a return series is a measure of the
actual average performance of a portfolio
over a given time period."
Page 202 (Glossary): "The Consumer Price
Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), not
seasonally adjusted, is used to measure
inflation."
[286] Calculated with data from: Ibbotson
2010 Valuation Yearbook: Market Results for
Stocks, Bonds, Bills, and Inflation,
1926-2009. Morningstar, 2010.
Pages 164-165: "Table B-1: Large Company
Stocks: Total Returns"
NOTE: The data used to make these
calculations comprise a substantial portion
of a copyrighted work, and thus, per the
"fair use" provision of copyright law, Just
Facts cannot republish this data.* However,
an Excel file containing the calculations
sans the copyrighted data is available
upon
request.
* United States Code Title 17, Chapter 1,
Section 107: "Limitations on exclusive
rights: Fair use."
http://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/17/107.shtml
Notwithstanding the provisions of sections
106 and 106A, the fair use of a copyrighted
work, including such use by reproduction in
copies or phonorecords or by any other means
specified by that section, for purposes such
as criticism, comment, news reporting,
teaching (including multiple copies for
classroom use), scholarship, or research, is
not an infringement of copyright. In
determining whether the use made of a work
in any particular case is a fair use the
factors to be considered shall include
(3) the amount and substantiality of the
portion used in relation to the copyrighted
work as a whole; and
(4) the effect of the use upon the potential
market for or value of the copyrighted work.
NOTE: As per the link on this page entitled,
How current is this?, "Title 17 of the US
Code as currently published by the US
Government reflects the laws passed by
Congress as of Feb. 1, 2010, and it is this
version that is published here."
[287] Calculated with data from: Ibbotson
2010 Valuation Yearbook: Market Results for
Stocks, Bonds, Bills, and Inflation,
1926-2009. Morningstar, 2010.
Page 202 (Glossary): "Intermediate Term
Government Bonds A one-bond portfolio with
a maturity near five years."
Page 202 (Glossary): "Long-Term Corporate
Bonds Citigroup long-term, high-grade
corporate bond index."
202 (Glossary): "Long-Term Government Bonds
A one-bond portfolio with a maturity near 20
years."
Pages 172-173: "Table B-5: Long-Term
Corporate Bonds: Total Returns"
Pages 174-175: "Table B6: Long-Term
Government Bonds: Total Returns"
Pages 182-183: "Table B-10:
Intermediate-Term Government Bonds: Total
Returns"
Pages 192-193: "Table B-15: Inflation"
NOTE: The data used to make these
calculations comprise a substantial portion
of a copyrighted work, and thus, per the
"fair use" provision of copyright law, Just
Facts cannot republish this data.* However,
an Excel file containing the calculations
sans the copyrighted data is available
upon
request.
* United States Code Title 17, Chapter 1,
Section 107: "Limitations on exclusive
rights: Fair use."
http://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/17/107.shtml
Notwithstanding the provisions of sections
106 and 106A, the fair use of a copyrighted
work, including such use by reproduction in
copies or phonorecords or by any other means
specified by that section, for purposes such
as criticism, comment, news reporting,
teaching (including multiple copies for
classroom use), scholarship, or research, is
not an infringement of copyright. In
determining whether the use made of a work
in any particular case is a fair use the
factors to be considered shall include
(3) the amount and substantiality of the
portion used in relation to the copyrighted
work as a whole; and
(4) the effect of the use upon the potential
market for or value of the copyrighted work.
NOTE: As per the link on this page entitled,
How current is this?, "Title 17 of the US
Code as currently published by the US
Government reflects the laws passed by
Congress as of Feb. 1, 2010, and it is this
version that is published here."
[288] Report: "Social Security: A Primer."
Congressional Budget Office, September 2001.
http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/32xx/doc3213/EntireReport.pdf
Page 62: "Any pension system costs something to
administer. Staff must perform such tasks as
collecting funds, keeping records, managing
assets, calculating and paying benefits,
overseeing and enforcing rules, and (in some
cases) marketing and selling the plans."
[289] Study: "Administrative Costs of
Private Accounts in Social Security." By Ben
Page under the direction of Douglas Hamilton
and Robert Dennis. Congressional Budget
Office, Macroeconomic Analysis Division,
March 2004.
http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/52xx/doc5277/Report.pdf
Page 1: "A key consideration in evaluating
proposals for establishing a system of
private accounts is the cost of
administering the system. The operation of
any system of accounts involves basic
administrative tasks such as collecting and
processing contributions, managing assets,
and paying benefitsall of which require
recordkeeping. Each of those tasks carries
costs, which will ultimately affect a
retiree's account balance."
[290] Study: "Administrative Costs of
Private Accounts in Social Security." By Ben
Page under the direction of Douglas Hamilton
and Robert Dennis. Congressional Budget
Office, Macroeconomic Analysis Division,
March 2004.
http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/52xx/doc5277/Report.pdf
Page 1:
The costs of administering the systems vary,
in large part because of differences in the
level of services and range of asset choices
the systems provide. The current Social
Security system, for example, restricts
participants to one "asset"promised
benefitsand provides, on an annual basis,
limited information about expected benefits.
By contrast, most mutual funds offer a wide
variety of services, including a broad range
of asset choices and daily updates on
account balances.
Another important factor that can affect
administrative costs is the degree to which
a system is centralized. For example, a
centralized system such as the federal
government's Thrift Savings Plan may
generate few or no costs for marketing and
sales. In a decentralized system that
operates at the retail level, such as mutual
funds, the cost of those tasks may be
substantial. Decentralized systems, however,
also allow for competition, which can lead
to better services and more efficient
operation over time.
[291] Report: "Social Security: A Primer."
Congressional Budget Office, September 2001.
http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/32xx/doc3213/EntireReport.pdf
Pages 62-63:
Some lessons can be learned by looking at
the administrative costs of a range of
institutions that offer retirement savings
accounts or that manage programs to provide
income in retirement. Those institutions
include mutual funds, defined-contribution
pension plans, Social Security, and
private-account plans in other countries.
The experience of those institutions
suggests that the administrative costs of a
system of private accounts would depend
greatly on the structure of the program.
Under some proposals, administrative costs
would be modest; but those costs could be
high if an account system provided many
services to investors and gave them a wide
choice of investments.[Footnote omitted]
Of course, administrative costs may pay for
services that people value. Some people may
want to choose whether to participate in the
program, how much to contribute, the mix of
assets in their portfolio, and the frequency
with which they adjust their portfolio. When
they are at or near retirement, they may
want choices about whether and when to
convert their assets into an annuity and the
kinds of annuities to buy. Restricting the
freedom to make financial choices reduces
administrative costs, but it may also reduce
the value that people place on their
accounts.
Another issue for policymakers to consider
is how administrative costs would be
allocated among participants. Two concerns
arise. First, if people do not face the
marginal costs of their transactions, they
may take actions--such as churning
(short-term buying and selling) of assets in
their portfolios--that raise administrative
costs. Second, if some of the fixed
administrative costs are not spread among
accounts, they could absorb much of the
income of people who have small accounts
(because of low incomes or intermittent work
histories).
[292] Book: Costs and Benefits of Collective
Pension Systems. Edited by Onno W. Steenbeek
and S. G. van der Lecq. Springer-Verlag,
2007.
Page 55: "The table shows that
administrative costs expressed as percentage
of total assets are negatively related to
the size of pension funds."
[293] "Summary of the Thrift Savings Plan."
Federal Retirement Thrift Investment Board,
August 2010.
https://www.tsp.gov/PDF/formspubs/tspbk08.pdf
Page 12: "The effect of administrative
expenses (after forfeitures) on the earnings
of the
Funds is expressed as the expense
ratio of each fund. The expense ratio for a
fund is comprised of the total
administrative expenses charged to that fund
during a specific period, divided by that
fund's average balance for that period."
[294] This figure could also be expressed as
"50 basis points," a basis point being one
one-hundredth of a percentage point.
[295] Study: "Administrative Costs of
Private Accounts in Social Security." By Ben
Page under the direction of Douglas Hamilton
and Robert Dennis. Congressional Budget
Office, Macroeconomic Analysis Division,
March 2004.
http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/52xx/doc5277/Report.pdf
Page 2:
The size of the account is crucial in
determining the percentage impact of
administrative costs on account balances.
Because large accounts are unlikely to cost
much more to administer than small accounts,
administrative costs would affect their
balances proportionately less. For example,
balances in accounts receiving 4 percent of
taxable earnings would probably be affected
by administrative costs only half as much,
in percentage terms, as accounts receiving 2
percent of taxable earnings.
[296] Report: "Social Security Privatization
and the Annuities Market." Congressional
Budget Office, February 1998.
http://www.cbo.gov/doc.cfm?index=348&type=0
"In addition, the smaller the market, the
larger the administrative costs per customer
tend to be
."
[297] Book: Costs and Benefits of Collective
Pension Systems. Edited by Onno W. Steenbeek
and S. G. van der Lecq. Springer-Verlag,
2007.
Page 55:
Economies of scale result from high fixed
costs and other operating costs that
increase less than proportionally with
pension fund size. Examples include the
costs arising from policy development, data
management systems, reporting requirements
and the hiring of experts such as actuaries,
accountants, lawyers, and consultants.
The lower part of Table 1 presents the
(weighted) average administrative costs for
different size categories in terms of total
assets. The table shows that administrative
costs expressed as percentage of total
assets are negatively related to the size of
pension funds. While the smallest funds have
operating costs of 1.23% of total assets,
this percentage is only 0.10% for the
largest funds.
In summary, Table 1 shows
that the operating costs of pension funds
are characterized by strong economies of
scale, irrespective of whether the size of
the institution is expressed in terms of
participant numbers or total assets.
[298] Memo: "Estimated Financial Effects of
'The Progressive Personal Account Plan." By
Stephen C. Goss. United States Social
Security Administration, Office of the Chief
Actuary, December 1, 2003.
http://www.ssa.gov/oact/solvency/PFerrara_20031201.html
Starting in 2005, all workers who will reach
their 55th birthday on January 1, 2005 or
later will have the option to enroll in the
personal account plan. Enrollees with
earnings in OASDI (Social Security) covered
employment will have a portion of their
payroll tax contribution (12.4 percent of
taxable earnings in total) redirected from
the OASDI Trust Funds to an individual
account. The percentage of taxable earnings
to be redirected in 2005 will be 10 percent
of the first $10,000 of covered earnings for
the year, plus 5 percent of earnings in
excess of $10,000 up to the OASDI taxable
maximum amount (which is $87,000 for 2003).
The $10,000 threshold would be indexed by
increases in the SSA national Average Wage
Index (AWI) for years after 2005. The
progressive scale for IA contributions
redirected from the OASDI Trust Funds is
estimated to amount to about 6.4 percentage
points of the 12.4 percent payroll tax rate
on average. The total amount redirected from
the OASDI contribution rate indicated in
Table 1 is less than 6.4 percent of payroll
for years through 2029, because workers age
55 and older at the beginning of 2005 have
no IA contributions.
Under the plan, individual account (IA)
assets, once credited, would be
automatically invested by workers through a
central administrative authority that would
maintain all records of individual
transactions and balances. Participants
would be offered a range of investment
options provided by qualified private
investment companies.
Unless otherwise
specified, IA balances would be maintained
in a default portfolio with 65 percent in a
specified broad index fund consisting of
private equities for corporations based in
the United States (such as the Wilshire
5000) and 35 percent in a broad index of
corporate bonds issued by companies based in
the United States. Due to the nature of the
accounts, an ultimate administrative cost of
0.25 percent of assets is assumed to be
reasonable.
[299] Cost Estimate: "H.R. 3821, Bipartisan
Retirement Security Act of 2004."
Congressional Budget Office, February 24,
2004.
http://www.cbo.gov/doc.cfm?index=5667&type=0
Page 1: "H.R. 3821, the Bipartisan
Retirement Security Act of 2004, introduced
by Representatives [Jim] Kolbe [Republican,
Arizona] and [Charles] Stenholm [Democrat,
Texas], would make numerous changes to the
Social Security system.
[It] would
redirect approximately 2.3 percentage points
of the current 12.4 percent payroll tax for
Old-Age, Survivors and Disability Insurance
(OASDI) to individual accounts, which would
belong to covered workers."
Page 7: "H.R. 3821 would establish a new
system of individual accounts (labeled
individual security accounts), which would
be funded primarily through receipts from
the existing payroll tax and earnings on the
accounts' investments."
Page 18: "In general, H.R. 3821 copies many
features of the proposed IAs [individual
accounts] from the federal employees' Thrift
Savings Plan (TSP), the government's
401(k)-type program, a giant venture that
now manages more than $100 billion in assets
on behalf of 3 million current and former
federal employees."
CALCULATION: 2.3 / 12.4 = 18.5%
[300] "Biographical Directory of the United
States Congress 1774-Present." United States
Congress. Accessed January 20, 2011at
http://bioguide.congress.gov/
NOTE: This dictionary was used to determine
party affiliations.
[301] Study: "Administrative Costs of
Private Accounts in Social Security." By Ben
Page under the direction of Douglas Hamilton
and Robert Dennis. Congressional Budget
Office, Macroeconomic Analysis Division,
March 2004.
http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/52xx/doc5277/Report.pdf
Page 12:
The administrative costs of the TSP [Thrift
Savings Plan] are held in check by several
factors: investment choices are restricted;
the system is quite large, and investments
are bundled and made centrally; and all
covered workers operate under the same
payroll system, which simplifies
recordkeeping. In addition, all records
provided by the employing agencies are in
electronic form. An annual cost of $25 would
reduce the assets in an account receiving 2
percent of earnings by about 5 percent at
retirement. However, the administrative
costs of a universal system that offered the
same services as the TSP could be higher
because a different set of employers and
employees would be covered. For example,
many employers provide Social Security with
paper earnings records, which are more
costly to process than electronic records.
NOTE: The following factors
could cause Social Security personal
ownership systems to meet or better the
Thrift Savings Plan administrative costs:
The increasing ubiquity of computers
and/or a requirement that participating
employers submit the required data
electronically.
Overall assets in the personal ownership
system would dwarf those in the Thrift
Savings Plan, thus introducing economies of
scale.
Large individual account balances would
accrue under personal ownership systems in
which people were allowed to save and invest
larger percentages of their payroll taxes.
[302] "Summary of the Thrift Savings Plan."
Federal Retirement Thrift Investment Board,
August 2010.
https://www.tsp.gov/PDF/formspubs/tspbk08.pdf
Page 12: "The effect of administrative
expenses (after forfeitures) on the earnings
of the
Funds is expressed as the expense
ratio of each fund. The expense ratio for a
fund is comprised of the total
administrative expenses charged to that fund
during a specific period, divided by that
fund's average balance for that period."
NOTE: The table on this page shows that
during 2009, the administrative expenses for
all of the funds were 0.028%.
[303] CALCULATION: ($50,000/year) X (45
years) X 12.4% = $279,000
[304] Publication No. 05-10006: "A
'Snapshot'." United States Social Security
Administration, May 2009.
http://ssa.gov/pubs/10006.pdf
Page 4: "The Social Security and Medicare
taxes you pay are not put in a special
account for you. They are used to pay
benefits for people getting benefits today,
just as your future benefits will be paid
for by future workers."
[305] Table VI.F7:
"Operations of the Combined OASI and DI
Trust Funds, in CPI-indexed 2012 Dollars,
Calendar Years 2012-90 [In billions]."
United States Social Security
Administration, Office of the Chief Actuary.
Last reviewed or modified April 23, 2012.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/2012/lr6f7.html
"The combined OASI and DI Trust Funds become
exhausted in 2033 under the intermediate
assumptions
."
NOTE: The "combined OASI and DI Trust Funds"
comprise the Social Security Trust Fund.
[306] An Excel file containing the data and
calculations is available
upon
request.
NOTE: For projecting future returns, there
is considerable question over whether the
geometric or arithmetic return of the past
is more instructive.* Thus, to provide
information that portrays the strengths and
weaknesses of both measures, Just Facts
cites the worst- and best-case geometric
return scenarios for all 45-year periods
since 1926. This allows readers to see the
full range of historical variation for the
investment period.
With regard to the "average" scenario, Just
Facts cites the geometric return (which is
by mathematical law always lower than the
arithmetic return) because our
Standards of
Credibility require that we give
"preferentiality to figures that are
contrary to our viewpoints" and use "the
most cautious plausible interpretations of
such data."
* Paper: "Forecasting U.S. Equity Returns in
the 21st Century." By John Y. Campbell
(Professor of Economics Harvard University).
In "Estimating the Real Rate of Return on
Stocks Over the Long Term." U.S. Social
Security Advisory Board, August 2001.
http://www.ssab.gov/Publications/Financing/estimated rate of return.pdf
Page 3: "The geometric average return is the
cumulative past return on U.S. equities,
annualized.
The arithmetic average return
is the average of one-year past returns on
U.S. equities.
When returns are serially
uncorrelated, the arithmetic average
represents the best forecast of future
return in any randomly selected future year.
For long holding periods, the best forecast
is the arithmetic average compounded up
appropriately.
When returns are negatively
serially correlated, however, the arithmetic
average is not necessarily superior as a
forecast of long-term future returns."
Ibbotson 2010 Valuation Yearbook: Market
Results for Stocks, Bonds, Bills, and
Inflation, 1926-2009. Morningstar, 2010.
Page 100.
[307] An Excel file containing the data and
calculations is available
upon
request.
NOTE: For projecting future returns, there
is considerable question over whether the
geometric or arithmetic return of the past
is more instructive.* Thus, to provide
information that portrays the strengths and
weaknesses of both measures, Just Facts
cites the worst- and best-case geometric
return scenarios for all 45-year periods
since 1926. This allows readers to see the
full range of historical variation for the
investment period.
With regard to the "average" scenario, Just
Facts cites the geometric return (which is
by mathematical law always lower than the
arithmetic return) because our
Standards of
Credibility require that we give
"preferentiality to figures that are
contrary to our viewpoints" and use "the
most cautious plausible interpretations of
such data."
* Paper: "Forecasting U.S. Equity Returns in
the 21st Century." By John Y. Campbell
(Professor of Economics Harvard University).
In "Estimating the Real Rate of Return on
Stocks Over the Long Term." U.S. Social
Security Advisory Board, August 2001.
http://www.ssab.gov/Publications/Financing/estimated rate of return.pdf
Page 3: "The geometric average return is the
cumulative past return on U.S. equities,
annualized.
The arithmetic average return
is the average of one-year past returns on
U.S. equities.
When returns are serially
uncorrelated, the arithmetic average
represents the best forecast of future
return in any randomly selected future year.
For long holding periods, the best forecast
is the arithmetic average compounded up
appropriately.
When returns are negatively
serially correlated, however, the arithmetic
average is not necessarily superior as a
forecast of long-term future returns."
Ibbotson 2010 Valuation Yearbook: Market
Results for Stocks, Bonds, Bills, and
Inflation, 1926-2009. Morningstar, 2010.
Page 100.
[308] An Excel file containing the data and
calculations is available
upon
request.
NOTE: For projecting future returns, there
is considerable question over whether the
geometric or arithmetic return of the past
is more instructive.* Thus, to provide
information that portrays the strengths and
weaknesses of both measures, Just Facts
cites the worst- and best-case geometric
return scenarios for all 45-year periods
since 1926. This allows readers to see the
full range of historical variation for the
investment period.
With regard to the "average" scenario, Just
Facts cites the geometric return (which is
by mathematical law always lower than the
arithmetic return) because our
Standards of
Credibility require that we give
"preferentiality to figures that are
contrary to our viewpoints" and use "the
most cautious plausible interpretations of
such data."
* Paper: "Forecasting U.S. Equity Returns in
the 21st Century." By John Y. Campbell
(Professor of Economics Harvard University).
In "Estimating the Real Rate of Return on
Stocks Over the Long Term." U.S. Social
Security Advisory Board, August 2001.
http://www.ssab.gov/Publications/Financing/estimated rate of return.pdf
Page 3: "The geometric average return is the
cumulative past return on U.S. equities,
annualized.
The arithmetic average return
is the average of one-year past returns on
U.S. equities.
When returns are serially
uncorrelated, the arithmetic average
represents the best forecast of future
return in any randomly selected future year.
For long holding periods, the best forecast
is the arithmetic average compounded up
appropriately.
When returns are negatively
serially correlated, however, the arithmetic
average is not necessarily superior as a
forecast of long-term future returns."
Ibbotson 2010 Valuation Yearbook: Market
Results for Stocks, Bonds, Bills, and
Inflation, 1926-2009. Morningstar, 2010.
Page 100.
[309] Publication number 05-10024:
"Understanding the Benefits." United States
Social Security Administration, January
2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/pubs/10024.html
Survivors benefits
When you die, your family may be eligible
for benefits based on your work.
Family members who can collect benefits
include a widow or widower who is:
60 or older; or
50 or older and disabled; or
Any age if he or she is caring for your
child who is younger than 16 or disabled and
entitled to Social Security benefits on your
record.
Your children can receive benefits, too, if
they are unmarried and:
Younger than 18 years old; or
Between 18 and 19 years old, but in an
elementary or secondary school as full-time
students; or
Age 18 or older and severely disabled (the
disability must have started before age 22).
Additionally, your parents can receive
benefits on your earnings if they were
dependent on you for at least half of their
support.
Payment after death
If you have enough credits, a one-time
payment of $255 also will be made after your
death. This benefit may be paid to your
spouse or minor children if they meet
certain requirements.
If you are divorced
If you are divorced, your ex-spouse may be
eligible for survivors benefits based on
your earnings when you die. He or she must:
Be at least age 60 years old (or 50 if
disabled) and have been married to you for
at least 10 years; or
Be any age if he or she is caring for a
child who is eligible for benefits based on
your earnings; and
Not be eligible for an equal or higher
benefit based on his or her own work; and
Not be currently married, unless the
remarriage occurred after age 60 or after
age 50 if disabled.
Benefits paid to an ex-spouse will not
affect the benefit rates for other survivors
receiving benefits on your earnings record.
[310] Report: "Strengthening Social Security
and Creating Personal Wealth for All
Americans." The President's Commission to
Strengthen Social Security, December 21,
2001.
http://govinfo.library.unt.edu/csss/reports/Final_report.pdf
Page 7:
One egregious failing of the present system
is its effect on minorities with shorter
life spans than the white majority. For
black men age 20, only some 65 percent can
be expected to survive to age 65. Thus, one
of every three black youths will pay for
retirement benefits they will never collect.
No one intends this; and with time the gap
may close. But it is not closed now. And
because Social Security provides no property
rights to its contributors the Supreme
Court has twice so ruled a worker could
easily work forty years then die and own not
a penny of the contributions he has made for
retirement benefits he will never collect.
There are, to be sure, survivors and
dependents benefits, but many workers die
before eligibility for these is established.
Disability insurance was added during the
Eisenhower Administration so that workers
are covered during their working years. But
far too many never receive any retirement
benefits and leave no estate.
Page 32:
Almost one in five 20-year-olds will not
live to age 65. Among African American
males, this percentage is even higher. While
Social Security offers survivors benefits to
spouses who have reached retirement age and
to children under the age of 16, Social
Security which constitutes the total
saving for many lower-income workers
offers no opportunity for workers to build
and pass on any substantial wealth to their
heirs, even if the worker died prior to
receiving any benefits at all. The only lump
sum wealth Social Security provides to pass
on is a one-time payment of a $255 death
benefit.
[311] Publication number 05-10024:
"Understanding the Benefits." United States
Social Security Administration, May 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/pubs/10024.html
"For those born after 1959, the full
retirement age to qualify for Social
Security benefits is 67 years old."
NOTE: Individuals who turned 40 years-old in
2010 were born in 1970. Thus, their full
retirement age is 67.
[312] Report: "United States Life Tables by
Hispanic Origin." U.S. Centers for Disease
Control and Prevention, National Center for
Health Statistics, October 2010.
http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/series/sr_02/sr02_152.pdf
Page 10 (page 16 in pdf): "Table G.
Expectation of life by age, sex, Hispanic
origin, and race for the non-Hispanic white
and non-Hispanic black populations: United
States, 2006
Age [=] 40
Life Expectancy
Hispanic male [=] 40.2
Hispanic female
[=] 44.3
Non-Hispanic white male [=] 37.9
Non-Hispanic white female [=] 41.8
Non-Hispanic black male [=] 33.2
Non-Hispanic black female [=] 38.7"
NOTE: The life expectancy for 40-year-olds
beyond their full retirement age of 67 is
determined by the formula: 40 years-old +
life expectancy for 40-year-olds (shown
above) 67 years
[313] Report: "Strengthening Social Security
and Creating Personal Wealth for All
Americans." The President's Commission to
Strengthen Social Security, December 21,
2001.
http://govinfo.library.unt.edu/csss/reports/Final_report.pdf
Page 11: "Personal accounts improve
retirement security by facilitating wealth
creation and providing participants with
assets that they own and that can be
inherited, rather than providing only claims
to benefits that remain subject to political
negotiation."
[314] Report: "Social Security Reform:
Current Issues and Legislation." By Dawn Nuschler. Congressional Research Service,
September 14, 2010.
http://aging.senate.gov/crs/ss6.pdf
Page 25: "Legislation Introduced in the
110th Congress
H.R. 2002 (which is similar
to H.R. 530 in the 109th Congress), H.R.
4181, S. 2765 (which is similar to S. 540 in
the 109th Congress) and H.R. 6110 would have
established individual accounts funded with
a redirection of current payroll taxes,
among other program changes.
There was no
congressional action on these measures
during the 110th Congress."
Page 26: "H.R. 2002. Representative Sam
Johnson introduced H.R. 2002 (Individual
Social Security Investment Program Act of
2007) on April 23, 2007. The measure would
have established individual accounts funded
with 6.2 percentage points of the current
Social Security payroll tax. Participation
in the individual account system would have
been voluntary for workers aged 22 to 54 (in
2007) and mandatory for younger
individuals."
27: "S. 2765. Senator Chuck Hagel introduced
S. 2765 (Saving Social Security Act of 2008)
on March 13, 2008. The measure would have
allowed workers born in 1963 or later
(workers aged 45 or younger in 2008) to
redirect 4 percentage points of the current
Social Security payroll tax to an individual
account (a SAFE account). Eligible workers
would have been enrolled automatically in
the individual account system and allowed to
waive their eligibility for a SAFE account."
27: "H.R. 107. Representative Jeff Flake
introduced H.R. 107 (Securing Medicare and
Retirement for Tomorrow Act of 2009) on
January 6, 2009.[Footnote 36] Among other
provisions, the measure would establish
individual accounts funded with 6.2
percentage points of the current Social
Security payroll tax. Participation in the
individual account system would be mandatory
for workers below the Social Security full
retirement age.* [Footnote 36: H.R. 107 is
similar to H.R. 4181 introduced by
Representative Flake in the 110th
Congress.]"
29: "H.R. 4529. Representative Paul Ryan
introduced H.R. 4529
.[Footnote 41] Title IV
of the bill
would allow workers who are
aged 55 or younger in 2012 to redirect a
portion of their payroll tax contributions
to voluntary individual accounts. [Footnote
41: H.R. 4529 is similar to H.R. 6110
introduced by Representative Ryan in the
110th Congress and includes provisions
similar to H.R. 1776 introduced by
Representative Ryan in the 109th Congress.]"
NOTE: * In 2009, the year this bill was
sponsored, people who were born in 1943
turned 66 years-old, which is the full
retirement age for people born in 1943.
[Publication number 05-10024: "Understanding
the Benefits." United States Social Security
Administration, May 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/pubs/10024.html]
[315] "Biographical Directory of the United
States Congress 1774-Present." United States
Congress. Accessed January 20, 2011at
http://bioguide.congress.gov/
NOTE: This dictionary was used to determine
party affiliations.
[316] Report: "2008 Republican Platform."
Republican National Committee, September
2008.
http://www.gop.com/2008Platform/2008platform.pdf
Page 19: "We believe the solution [to Social
Security's financial problems] should give
workers control over, and a fair return on,
their contributions. No changes in the
system should adversely affect any current
or near retiree."
[317] Report: "2008 Democratic Party
Platform." Democratic National Committee,
August 25, 2008.
http://www.democrats.org/about/party_platform
"We will fulfill our obligation to
strengthen Social Security and to make sure
that it provides guaranteed benefits
Americans can count on, now and in future
generations. We will not privatize it."
[318] Web page: "Obama '08, Seniors and
Social Security" Obama for America. Accessed
November 11, 2008 at
http://www.barackobama.com/
"In the midst of the 2005 debate over Social
Security privatization, Obama gave a major
speech at the National Press Club forcefully
arguing against privatization. He also
repeatedly voted against Republican
amendments that aimed to privatize Social
Security or cut benefits."
[319] Speech: "A Hope to Fulfill." Barack
Obama, April 26th, 2005.
"I think we will save Social Security from
privatization this year."
[320] Web page: "Reform Group." Josι Piρera,
2010.
http://www.josepinera.com/pr/penref_refgroup.htm
Chile [1980] - Peru [1993] - Australia,
Colombia [1994] - Uruguay [1996] - Mexico
[1997] - Bolivia, El Salvador, Hungary,
Kazhakstan [1998] - Hungary [1998] - Poland,
Sweden [1999] - Hong Kong [2000] - Costa
Rica, Latvia [2001] - Bulgaria, Croatia,
Estonia, Russia [2002] - Dominican Rep.,
Kosovo [2003] - Korea, Lithuania [2004] -
Nigeria, Slovakia [2005] - Macedonia [2006]
- Romania [2008]
[321] "The President's News Conference."
George W. Bush, March 16, 2005.
http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=63360
David [David Gregory, NBC News].
Social Security Reform
Q. Mr. President, you say you're making
progress in the Social Security debate. Yet
private accounts, as the centerpiece of that
plan, something you first campaigned on 5
years ago and laid before the American
people, remains, according to every measure
we have, poll after poll, unpopular with a
majority of Americans. So the question is,
do you feel that this is a point in the
debate where it's incumbent upon you, and
nobody else, to lay out a plan to the
American people for how you actually keep
Social Security solvent for the long term?
NOTE: Credit for bringing this fact to our
attention belongs to the Media Research
Center ["Gregory Insists Personal Accounts
'Unpopular', Poll Differs." March 17, 2005.
http://www.mediaresearch.org/cyberalerts/2005/cyb20050317.asp]
[322] "Washington Post-ABC News Poll: Social
Security/Iraq." Washington Post,
Tuesday, March 15, 2005.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/...
This Washington Post-ABC News poll was
conducted by telephone March 10 - 13, 2005
among 1,001 randomly selected adults
nationwide. Margin of sampling error for
overall results is plus or minus three
percentage points.
9g. Would you support or oppose a plan in
which people who chose to could invest some
of their Social Security contributions in
the stock market?
NOTE: Credit for bringing this fact to our
attention belongs to the Media Research
Center ["Gregory Insists Personal Accounts
'Unpopular', Poll Differs." March 17, 2005.
http://www.mediaresearch.org/cyberalerts/2005/cyb20050317.asp]
[323] "Washington Post-ABC News Poll: Social
Security/Iraq." Washington Post,
Tuesday, March 15, 2005.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/...
"9g. Would you support or oppose a plan in
which people who chose to could invest some
of their Social Security contributions in
the stock market?"
[324] Article: "Skepticism of Bush's Social
Security Plan Is Growing." By Jonathan
Weisman. Washington Post, March 15, 2005.
Page A01.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/...
NOTE: Credit for bringing this fact to our
attention belongs to the Media Research
Center ["Gregory Insists Personal Accounts
'Unpopular', Poll Differs." March 17, 2005.
http://www.mediaresearch.org/cyberalerts/2005/cyb20050317.asp]
[325] Article: "Study Says Disabled Would
Lose Benefits Under New Social Security
Plan." By Robert Pear. New York Times,
February 7, 2001.
http://query.nytimes.com/gst/fullpage.html?res=...
[326] Calculated with data from the report:
"Social Security Reform: Potential Effects
on SSA's Disability Program and
Beneficiaries," United States General
Accounting Office, January 2001.
http://www.gao.gov/new.items/d0135.pdf
Page 43: "This scenario maintains
current-law benefits while increasing
payroll tax rates to levels that support
those benefits."
Page 44: Data from "Table 9: Payroll Tax
Rates."
CALCULATION: (2.69 1.80) / 1.80 = .49
[327] Report: "Social Security Reform:
Potential Effects on SSA's Disability
Programs and Beneficiaries," United States
General Accounting Office, January 2001.
http://www.gao.gov/new.items/d0135.pdf
Page 36: "In the cases we studied, our
analyses indicate that most disabled
beneficiaries would receive higher benefits
under Social Security reform proposals than
under a solvency scenario that maintained
payroll tax rates while reducing benefits."
[328] Article: "Study Says Disabled Would
Lose Benefits Under New Social Security
Plan." By Robert Pear. New York Times,
February 7, 2001.
http://query.nytimes.com/gst/fullpage.html?res=...
President Bush has said he wants to let
workers put some of their Social Security
payroll taxes into personal investment
accounts, but at the same time he has
championed the rights of people with
disabilities.
The new study, by the General Accounting
Office, an investigative arm of Congress,
concludes that "even under the best of
circumstances, Social Security reform
proposals would reduce benefits" for people
with disabilities.
[329] Web page: "Social Security: Governor
Bush's Approach." Bush/Cheney 2000. Accessed
at http://www.georgebush.com/ in September
2000.
[330] Report: "Strengthening Social Security
and Creating Personal Wealth for All
Americans." President's Commission to
Strengthen Social Security, December 2001.
http://govinfo.library.unt.edu/csss/reports/Final_report.pdf
Page 149.
[331] Web page: "History: Frequently asked
questions." United States Social Security
Administration. Last reviewed or modified
August 12, 2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/history/hfaq.html
Q21: When did Social Security cards bear
the legend "NOT FOR IDENTIFICATION"?
A: The first Social Security cards were
issued starting in 1936, they did not have
this legend. Beginning with the sixth design
version of the card, issued starting in
1946, SSA added a legend to the bottom of
the card reading "FOR SOCIAL SECURITY
PURPOSES -- NOT FOR IDENTIFICATION."
[332] Web page: "Social Security Number
Chronology." United States Social Security
Administration. Updated November 9, 2005.
http://www.ssa.gov/history/ssn/ssnchron.html
1961
The Civil Service Commission adopted the SSN
as an official Federal employee identifier.
Internal Revenue Code Amendments (P.L.
87-397) required each taxpayer to furnish
identifying number for tax reporting.
1962
The Internal Revenue Service adopted the SSN
as its official taxpayer identification
number.
1964
Treasury Department, via internal policy,
required buyers of Series H savings bonds to
provide their SSNs.
1965
Internal Revenue Amendments (P.L. 89-384)
enacted Medicare. It became necessary for
most individual s age 65 and older to have
an SSN.
1966
The Veterans Administration began to use the
SSN as the hospital admissions number and
for patient record keeping.
1969
The Department of Defense adopted the SSN in
lieu of the military service number for
identifying Armed Forces personnel.
1970
Bank Records and Foreign Transactions Act
(P.L. 91-508) required all banks, savings
and loan associations, credit unions and
brokers/dealers in securities to obtain the
SSNs of all of their customers. Also,
financial institutions were required to file
a report with the IRS, including the SSN of
the customer, for any transaction involving
more than $10,000.
[333] Web page: "History: Frequently asked
questions." United States Social Security
Administration. Last reviewed or modified
August 12, 2010.
http://www.ssa.gov/history/hfaq.html
"Q21: When did Social Security cards bear
the legend "NOT FOR IDENTIFICATION"?
A:
The legend has not been on any new
cards issued since 1972."
[334] Bill Summary and Status for Public Law
103-465: "Uruguay Round Agreements Act."
103rd Congress. Signed into law by Bill
Clinton on December 8, 1994.
http://thomas.loc.gov/
[335] Public Law
103-465: "Uruguay Round Agreements Act."
103rd Congress. Signed into law by Bill
Clinton on December 8, 1994.
http://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/BILLS-103hr5110enr/...
Section 742:
TAXPAYER IDENTIFICATION NUMBERS
REQUIRED AT BIRTH.
(a) EARNED INCOME CREDIT- Clause (i) of
section 32(c)(3)(D) is amended to read as
follows:
(i) IN GENERAL- The requirements of this
subparagraph are met if the taxpayer
includes the name, age, and TIN of each
qualifying child (without regard to this
subparagraph) on the return of tax for the
taxable year.
(b) DEPENDENCY EXEMPTION- Subsection (e) of
section 6109 is amended to read as follows:
"(e) FURNISHING NUMBER FOR DEPENDENTS- Any
taxpayer who claims an exemption under
section 151 for any dependent on a return
for any taxable year shall include on such
return the identifying number (for purposes
of this title) of such dependent."
(c) EFFECTIVE DATE-
(1) IN GENERAL- Except as provided in
paragraph (2), the amendments made by this
section shall apply to returns for taxable
years beginning after December 31, 1994.
(2) EXCEPTION- The amendments made by this
section shall not apply to--
(A) returns for taxable years beginning in
1995 with respect to individuals who are
born after October 31, 1995, and
(B) returns for taxable years beginning in
1996 with respect to individuals who are
born after November 30, 1996.
[336] Web page: "When am I legally required
to provide my Social Security number?"
United States Social Security
Administration. Updated December 14, 2010.
http://ssa-custhelp.ssa.gov/cgi-bin/ssa.cfg/php/...
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Information provided by Just Facts is not
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